StephenBH Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The nam has been so flip-floppy on the last few runs. Crazy to have this degree of uncertainty this close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The FV3 is still hanging on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADB83 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I’ve seen Winston-Salem get everything from 2 inches to 13 inches in the last 45 minutes. That’s this storm. What a roller coaster.. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago Makes a sober person wanna start drinking again. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago You guys are ridiculous. . 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: HRRR also showed it earlier, and hasn't corrected too much No doubt. You're right. Something is going to bust badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighNC Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 10 minutes ago, wake4est said: We are cooked. I will find the computers that host these models and cut their plugs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StephenBH Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowncanes Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Yeah im not liking these trends tonight. I guess all we can hope for is that they trend somewhere else. It won’t take much to get back in the game. Hopefully the ULL doesn’t cut as far south and the surface low can interact with it sooner. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aleksey Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I will say, our of all my years tracking weather and thousands of model runs, I’ve never in my life seen where the entire state of NC, every county and every city, all get accumulating snow. The entire state from N to and E to W is all going to get at least 1” minimum and over 80% of the entire state looking at 3-10”. Absolutely wild! SC has a 70% coverage for the entire state and GA around 60%. Absolutely insane storm lining and up and potential to be overall one of the biggest in the last 15 years for everyone on this forum. I’m headed to bed now, got my alarm set for 6 AM. Cheers y’all, it’s been one heck of a week tracking and can’t wait to see the forum tomorrow! Signing off from Winder, GA! Happy Snow Day!! . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Aleksey said: I will say, our of all my years tracking weather and thousands of model runs, I’ve never in my life seen where the entire state of NC, every county and every city, all get accumulating snow. The entire state from N to and E to W is all going to get at least 1” minimum and over 80% of the entire state looking at 3-10”. Absolutely wild! SC has a 70% coverage for the entire state and GA around 60%. Absolutely insane storm lining and up and potential to be overall one of the biggest in the last 15 years for everyone on this forum. I’m headed to bed now, got my alarm set for 6 AM. Cheers y’all, it’s been one heck of a week tracking and can’t wait to see the forum tomorrow! Signing off from Winder, GA! Happy Snow Day!! . Jan 2022 it happened 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago So the triad/triangle want the ULL to be faster but the western Carolinas people want it be slower? Is that right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyr__1994 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago We are cooked.This makes zero sense….it’s currently snowing (with accumulation) in the area that this run is showing zero snow….. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aleksey Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Jan 2022 it happened For NC? I was in Michigan at that time so I probably didn’t pay attention to the SE. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago RRFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago HRW WRF ARW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGA_Dawg Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Are we locked in yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolBreeze Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 minutes ago, nyr__1994 said: This makes zero sense….it’s currently snowing (with accumulation) in the area that this run is showing zero snow…. . I don't pretend to know what is going on, but if I remember correctly from a earlier post, the ULL is delayed. Since this map is valid for 05Z Sunday (Sat. midnight?), could it be that what we're seeing on this map is the ULL coming through western NC and the coastal low has not geared up yet (waiting for the transfer from the ULL)? Just a thought, I could be totally wrong... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago HRW WRF NSSL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago NWS Blend...Best it's been for MBY all day! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGardiner87 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 minute ago, NEGA_Dawg said: Are we locked in yet? If you’re near the CLT area we pretty much damn sure are! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, AGardiner87 said: If you’re near the CLT area we pretty much damn sure are! Don't say that til the snow is on the ground. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 30 minutes ago, btownheel said: You guys are ridiculous. . Viva 12/4/00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago HRW WRF ARWThat’s the HRF WRF ARW FU RAH 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, AGardiner87 said: If you’re near the CLT area we pretty much damn sure are! It's about time! Likely biggest snowstorm in 20+ years on the way for Charlotte it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGA_Dawg Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, AGardiner87 said: If you’re near the CLT area we pretty much damn sure are! Charlottes in the bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aleksey Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Are we locked in yet?I’m definitely locked in! 2-4” was my original forecast 3 days ago and I am sticking with that and like the chances of that verifying. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaPilot Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Im gonna ask ONE MORE TIME. Please if you are posting models, can you post the map for the entire Southeast. I live just off the left side of all these clown maps being posted, and in this event we are on the western edge of the precip shield. I'd like to SEE how and where the models think some of these bands may set up on the western edges. i know they arent 100% accurate, but seeing that modeled gives us a better feel for the possibility we may see some snow. For the last week, the maps getting posted mostly show SC/NC/VA. There are a bunch of us who are in or just south of ATL and these maps are useless for us. I come here for the expertise, the experience, and the maps/models which I dont have access to. Hope you guys can help a fellow weenie out. TIA! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGardiner87 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 minute ago, UnionCountyNCWX said: Don't say that til the snow is on the ground. Every global and short model has us over 6, if not more. I’m loving this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Becoming clear greenville, Pickens, and oconee counties in SC upstate are in a storm minima area; and Charlotte is in the bullseye once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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