The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[olafminesaw]

[Tony Sisk]

30 minutes ago, KrummWx said:

No, this is Patrick Kuchera

that sounds so much like a plate with cheese and olives!

[BornAgain13]

21 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

@BornAgain13 was fun while it lasted up this way my man.. 2-4" would be a win at this point. I don't trust GFS whatsoever. Idc how consistent that thing has been.

Hopefully u get a good snow to man... Im hopeful for a 4-6"ish here...

[Upstate Tiger]

GSP AFD...

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

[eyewall]

[Drummer]

4 minutes ago, eyewall said:

In CLT suburbs. Will be sharing with my wife for....reasons.  

 

She will likely respond with the confidence reading.

[olafminesaw]

[StantonParkHoya]

Not satisfied.


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[olafminesaw]

2 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Not satisfied.


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I need more maps with pretty colors injected into my veins stat! 

[eyewall]

The question is will Raleigh post a watch today or wait until the morning? 

[KrummWx]

1 minute ago, olafminesaw said:

I need more maps with pretty colors injected into my veins stat! 

You're in luck cause here comes the NAM 

[wncsnow]

1 minute ago, eyewall said:

The question is will Raleigh post a watch today or wait until the morning? 

GSP is waiting until overnight. 

[RaleighNC]

January 24, 2000?

[BornAgain13]

The next question is... Will the models continue to tick south or will they come to a hault or tick back north?

[NorthHillsWx]

2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

The next question is... Will the models continue to tick south or will they come to a hault or tick back north?

Most are fine right where they are 

[Maggie Valley Steve]

11 minutes ago, eyewall said:

The question is will Raleigh post a watch today or wait until the morning? 

GSP mentioned they were considering hoisting a Watch this afternoon, but opted to hold off until the overnight guidance came in. Seems to be a Storm totals concern more than the need a Watch/Warning issue.

[BornAgain13]

5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Most are fine right where they are 

Most certainly for you! You are definitely in a good spot right now. 

[USCG RS]

13 minutes ago, eyewall said:

The question is will Raleigh post a watch today or wait until the morning? 

Depends on how gun shy they are from last weekend. 

3 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

The deformation band possible with this system gets the hair on the back of my neck to stand up. This is the setup to have a deformation band that rivals some of the all timers

I lived through February 2013 (Nemo) in long Island. I will never forget that deformation band.. While that's extreme, this could definitely rival some of the deform bands I lived through in the NE

3 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

It’s Wednesday. This starts early Saturday morning. I’m not sure I can take the anxiety that comes with potential like this. The wait is literally going to feel like a decade

Reminds me of dark knight storm 

3 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Who is starting the February 4 South Carolina-Wilmington-East Georgia Storm thread 

I vote for @lilj4425

2 hours ago, Tony Sisk said:

I will say, you for sure brought the mojo to this thread. MUCH more active than the last storm.  This one has most people very excited!

 

2 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

You know things are getting good when Bernie Rayno actually pays attention to snow chances in the Carolinas and Southern Virginia.

 

It was HM, not him that has the big daddy hat right? 

1 hour ago, ADB83 said:

Euro freezing on its most important run in years around here is peak stuff. Have to love its flare for the dramatic.


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I sometimes wonder if Snobal from the accuwx forums is able to control important model runs 

[wncsnow]

That map is from todays storm, not Feb. 4

[SnowDawg]

How good are the models at accounting for virga in the total QPF output? On the western side we'll be fighting for every tenth of an inch we can get so that will matter.

[olafminesaw]

NAM popping a low over Arkansas at hour 33. Are we about to get NAMed?

[ADB83]

That map is from todays storm, not Feb. 4

According to the new king, NextWeather 2.0, there IS something to keep an eye on for that time frame.


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[wncsnow]

Just now, olafminesaw said:

NAM popping a low over Arkansas at hour 33. Are we about to get NAMed?

The lobe is slightly west compared to 12Z

[Curious Onlooker]

Enjoying following this thread and hoping that here in the New Bern/Crystal Coast area we have a nice (and rare) snow!

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Ethan Clark

[PeeDeeWx]

2 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Ethan Clark

If Ukie wins out I'm moving to Aspen.

[Snowncanes]

NAM slight changes through 54. Heights up a little over Ohio and just a touch southwest with the energy over Missouri 

[MHCWEATHER]

2 hours ago, NCBlizzard said:

AIFS 10:1 snowfall totals. Both AIGFS and AIFS highlighting possible precip maximum somewhere in the Charlotte vicinity.

 

My lord honey, Carteret County gets mommicked!

[BornAgain13]

18z NAM with a better tilt compared to 12z

[olafminesaw]

2 minutes ago, Snowncanes said:

NAM slight changes through 54. Heights up a little over Ohio and just a touch southwest with the energy over Missouri 

Yep, not massive changes up top but works out to a much better look on the surface.