The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[StantonParkHoya]

Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

Not sure that can be shared on a family friendly forum 

Age restriction. Porn ban.

[lilj4425]

2 minutes ago, Omen said:

I’d like to cash in all of my poker chips. 

[UpstateSCBud]

2 minutes ago, Omen said:

Amazing run even for us Upstate SC folk. I’ll go ahead and cash out my chips now

[BornAgain13]

CMC is a Monster Hit!

[ADB83]

CMC and GFS very similar. I don’t think I’m getting 14 inches of snow in the Triad. But 6 to maybe pockets of 8 to 10? Starting to feel doable. Don’t know about likely but doable.


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[BooneWX]

It’s like if the 2003 storm and the Carolina crusher had a baby

[Ravens94]

I'd like to see the euro come in with a bomb today.  But looking at the upper levels fgen is off the charts and the 500mb pass on both the GFS and CMC is just textbook.  Some good ratios believe it or not. 

[StantonParkHoya]

Just now, BooneWX said:

It’s like if the 2003 storm and the Carolina crusher had a baby

No, it's March 1980

[NorthHillsWx]

It’s Wednesday. This starts early Saturday morning. I’m not sure I can take the anxiety that comes with potential like this. The wait is literally going to feel like a decade

[olafminesaw]

1 minute ago, ADB83 said:

CMC and GFS very similar. I don’t think I’m getting 14 inches of snow in the Triad. But 6 to maybe pockets of 8 to 10? Starting to feel doable. Don’t know about likely but doable.


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3-6"+feels like a good bet right now. 8-16" is within reach but models still have lots to resolve, so trying to stay reasonable about the more extreme solutions

[Blacksburg Coach]

1 hour ago, Buddy1987 said:

Time for the GFS to confuse us even more lol

I'm still thinking we see a westward shift, this thing comes up the coast right beside Hatteras.

[Buddy1987]

Just now, Blacksburg Coach said:

I'm still thinking we see a westward shift, this thing comes up the coast right beside Hatteras.

Hope you're right because we're darn near smoking cirrus currently if the trough keeps trending more positively tilted.

[Ravens94]

UK is catching on but for now coastal snowstorm 6z had nothing

[NorthHillsWx]

Need EURO to keep this going. The ceiling here is clear 

[ADB83]

Need EURO to keep this going. The ceiling here is clear 

You look like you’re in a great spot. Genuinely excited for you because there’s been so much pain lol. I know there’s a lot of anxiety coming with the next few model runs, but it would take a model failure on a cataclysmic level now. Unfortunately, still doable as we all know. But getting less likely!


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[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, Ravens94 said:

UK is catching on but for now coastal snowstorm 6z had nothing

UK is possible. It keeps the southern energy its own entity longer and phases late. That balancing act between the low spawned SE of the NS lobe and that southern stream energy is going to be critical and give insanely different results. But UK has same overall setup 

[DTP]

7 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

The deformation band possible with this system gets the hair on the back of my neck to stand up. This is the setup to have a deformation band that rivals some of the all timers

Deform band, if it stalls/trains, is where you get 2'+ totals @ 3-4"+ an hr

Wouldn't believe it here if I hadn't seen it happen in the Piedmont- 04' storm in CLT- you could literally hear the faint ticking of the snow it was falling so hard....Mom got 24" by the airport in Rock Hill

I was up on North Face at Mt Crested Butte when there was nearly 10" in one hour- craziest thing I ever saw- chair ride up is ~20 minutes to the top- chair was clear at the bottom- ~5" deep by the time I got off

[Blacksburg Coach]

4 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Hope you're right because we're darn near smoking cirrus currently if the trough keeps trending more positively tilted.

That Canadian run just shifted west about 50 miles

[Ravens94]

Gefs finally shifting south

[NCSU_Pi]

I think someone needs to unplug DTP and plug him back in...

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, Ravens94 said:

Gefs finally shifting south

If you live east of I-77 in NC there isn’t much more you can ask for than that 

[buckeyefan1]

4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

UK is possible. It keeps the southern energy its own entity longer and phases late. That balancing act between the low spawned SE of the NS lobe and that southern stream energy is going to be critical and give insanely different results. But UK has same overall setup 

The key is the placement of the 50/50  

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, NCSU_Pi said:

I think someone needs to unplug DTP and plug him back in...

My notifications keep ringing bc it keeps quoting me lol

[DTP]

2 minutes ago, NCSU_Pi said:

I think someone needs to unplug DTP and plug him back in...

Lol- weird triple post thing- it didn't show the first one or the second go through

[btownheel]

AIGFS

Bear in mind all, those are 10:1 as well. Basically painting the state with a foot


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[BornAgain13]

Central NC looks like ground zero right now in my opinion

[Orange county]

3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Central NC looks like ground zero right now in my opinion

This is why you know its wrong   lol

[Ravens94]

3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Central NC looks like ground zero right now in my opinion

I agree Central to Eastern.  Eastern atm is going to get crushed when the coastal cranks up.  This may turn into a area wide monster if it bombs off Charleston. 

[StantonParkHoya]

1 minute ago, Ravens94 said:

I agree Central to Eastern.  Eastern atm is going to get crushed when the coastal cranks up.  This may turn into a area wide monster if it bombs off Charleston. 

Yes, everyone leaves ENC out of conversations because this board is so Piedmont/Foothills leaning. I think Greenville, NC gets blasted to hell.

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Yes, everyone leaves ENC out of conversations because this board is so Piedmont/Foothills leaning. I think Greenville, NC gets blasted to hell.

Eastern, especially NE NC is way underrated with regards to snowstorm performance. Perfect location when these cold coastals get cranking if they can avoid the warm nose. Elizabeth city has seen some of the biggest storms in the state. Recently they’ve done better than most on the board