The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[wncsnow]

AIFS is good too 

[eyewall]

Euro

[chris624wx]

1 minute ago, eyewall said:

Euro

Is it still snowing over SE VA during that grab? Or is that after everything has fallen?

[eyewall]

1 minute ago, chris624wx said:

Is it still snowing over SE VA during that grab? Or is that after everything has fallen?

that is pretty much all but one frame

 

[Omen]

2 minutes ago, chris624wx said:

Is it still snowing over SE VA during that grab? Or is that after everything has fallen?

[BooneWX]

FOLDED LIKE A DIRTY DISH RAG. WE RIDE

[wncsnow]

Tonight's NAM could be an all timer

[KChuck]

1 hour ago, DTP said:

That would produce some serious sound- and ocean-enhanced snow given surface temps north of Hatteras up to SE VA.... not something you see very often 

Fetch running straight down the Chesapeake N/S

Some coastal flooding to the south with the onshore, and a mega foam special at my house in OKI

Am ocean effect snow storm! 

[HKY_WX]

3 minutes ago, chris624wx said:

Is it still snowing over SE VA during that grab? Or is that after everything has fallen?

If this works out to it's full potential, to me, it's probably unlikely to just go out to sea to that extent. It will likely go up the coast some. The models are still in the process of figuring out the phase.

[NYweatherguy]

Atlanta metro (especially eastern areas) is back in the game. A couple more west trending runs and all of NE GA will be in on the action. 

[CheoahBald1]

Maze just doubled down and said he’s leaning toward the euro


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Go sit down in time out and hush


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[neatlburbwthrguy]

1 minute ago, NYweatherguy said:

Atlanta metro (especially eastern areas) is back in the game. A couple more west trending runs and all of NE GA will be in on the action. 

Agree.  I think guy chirping earlier about ATL being done plummeted off Stone Mountain 

[NorthHillsWx]

8 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

Maze just doubled down and said he’s leaning toward the euro


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Anyone surprised? 

[Snowncanes]

31 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

Maze just doubled down and said he’s leaning toward the euro


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Well I guess his forecast is changing drastically now then lol

[TYFNGUY]

1 minute ago, Snowncanes said:

Well I guess his forecast is changing drastically now then lol

I was wondering if anyone else was thinking it. 

[UpstateSCBud]

Isn’t the old rule that you don’t want to be in the bullseye at this time range? That being said, wouldn’t be shocked if that almost 11” spot over Columbia, SC moves closer to the upstate in a few more runs. 

[StantonParkHoya]

Anyone surprised? 

He’s a drone who can’t think for himself


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[DTP]

35 minutes ago, EarlGrey said:

If it pulls moisture off the Atlantic what is the water temperature to be able to an “ocean effect” increase or is that even a thing?

It can happen, and has, both off of the Atlantic and Pimlico Sound. It would take normal ocean temp for this time of year (40's to low 50's) for it to occur, as well as a strong NNE wind coming in over a long fetch of water (several dozen to hundreds of miles).  Warmer ocean temps relative to land enhance the mechanism, but air temps have to be really cold (mid 20's and lower) to have optimal conditions...hard to put both of those together in the Carolinas.  It is much more common on Cape Cod than NC 

Lake effect snow has happened downwind from Kerr Lake, believe it or not 

[StantonParkHoya]

Isn’t the old rule that you don’t want to be in the bullseye at this time range? That being said, wouldn’t be shocked if that almost 11” spot over Columbia, SC moves closer to the upstate in a few more runs. 

It’s like 78 hours from first flakes. It’s our time. #whynotus


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[KrummWx]

2 minutes ago, UpstateSCBud said:

Isn’t the old rule that you don’t want to be in the bullseye at this time range? That being said, wouldn’t be shocked if that almost 11” spot over Columbia, SC moves closer to the upstate in a few more runs. 

Rule #1, 2 and 3. I would be shocked if the NW trend doesn't fuck us over w 3+ days to go, but man my fingers are crossed. 

 

EPS looks good too, ~8" at RDU w 10:1

[NorthHillsWx]

Just now, StantonParkHoya said:

He’s a drone who can’t think for himself


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Wanna hear the explanation when i wake up and his forecast is for 8-12” 

[DTP]

9 minutes ago, KChuck said:

Am ocean effect snow storm! 

Rare, but it does happen if the air mass is cold enough and the wind direction is right

[Grayman]

18 minutes ago, cbmclean said:

This is amping up way too early, I wanted this to hold off until Thursday.

We always fight that fine line. We will be worried about temps soon. 

[Omen]

[Grayman]

3 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

He’s a drone who can’t think for himself


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I sure do miss the GoAT . Fischel 

[NorthHillsWx]

Just now, Omen said:

Dear lord it’s beautiful 

[BornAgain13]

Man what if the Euro and GFS continue the trend and the UK and CMC go crazy to at 0z lol

[stormtracker]

Hi @Wow

[QC_Halo]

30 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

If I only had a dollar…

[SUNYGRAD]

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Hi @Wow

Double or nothing...