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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post


Weather Will
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51 minutes ago, CAPE said:

For the upcoming weekend threat, the majority of the members on the GEFS have a low tracking into the OV, then coastal transfer- but exactly where is a crapshoot. Some right over us, some further north, some along the NC coast. Plenty of spread. All the snow maps tell you at this point is that it is possible for it to snow somewhere in the region.

Mixed bag on the EPS but a low moving across the south and off the SE coast is most prominent.

 Low across the south and off the SE coast would be what we want  at this point in time, but the way storms are playing out this winter ,   anything is possible. Probably really won't have any handle on a real track till about Wednesday... At the earliest IMO

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1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

You all have been paying more attention to this than I, but it seems there's an interesting difference between the physics-based models and the AI models in the overnight runs.  Physics-models all have a weak northern stream shortwave pop a low that gives some snow to VA (again...) around Friday.  Then they sort of shred the Baja low and don't bring it out coherently.  AI models don't have that weak northern stream s/w that gives VA snow on Friday and bring the Baja low out more coherently, especially Euro AI.  

Thanks for this coherent explanation!  It is appreciated. 

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