George001 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Imagine the melts if it turns into a snow to rain situation...lol Mixing getting into SNE is absolutely possible. In huge storms like this it can and does happen a lot, and the trough axis is pretty far west. I’m not saying it’s going to happen, but I’m keeping an open mind about the possibility given the setup and model trends. That said, if it happens it is what it is. I will be happy for the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Hello Goofus my old friend. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GFS is pretty sweet for EMA 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, George001 said: Mixing getting into SNE is absolutely possible. In huge storms like this it can and does happen a lot, and the trough axis is pretty far west. I’m not saying it’s going to happen, but I’m keeping an open mind about the possibility given the setup and model trends. Think 1993-94 style. Basically weak lows with tons of moisture. PD2 as well. Yes mix is possible but this is not probable once inland from the south coast. Then again, I’ve been humbled by Mother Nature often enough…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, George001 said: Mixing getting into SNE is absolutely possible. In huge storms like this it can and does happen a lot, and the trough axis is pretty far west. I’m not saying it’s going to happen, but I’m keeping an open mind about the possibility given the setup and model trends. That said, if it happens it is what it is. I will be happy for the north. If the 850 low is going to Buffalo like the Euro is showing, mixing would absolutely be on the table for parts of SNE, much less NYC southward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 100 hours to go… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Cmc would be a kick to the nuts down here. Good for interior though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago CMC even further north.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Keep in mind that I think the recon Baja low data is only in the GFS and Euro at 00z, so I'd probably wait to see what the Euro does to assess the full suite and whether the other models are out of alignment with the GFS/Euro. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ocean Effect Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The Ukie is sending their own aircraft 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago On 1/20/2026 at 4:22 PM, wxsniss said: Agree I've been browsing through NARR there are H5 similarities to Jan 1994 and Feb 2013... it's nice to be in a favorable setup for a change... in the what's-more-important cold vs. qpf debate for optimizing chances, we're rolling with cold for a few weeks and I think we do well 18 minutes ago, weathafella said: Think 1993-94 style. Basically weak lows with tons of moisture. PD2 as well. Yes mix is possible but this is not probable once inland from the south coast. Then again, I’ve been humbled by Mother Nature often enough…. I like the comparisons, was lucky to experience both In terms of phase interactions, 0z GFS resembles 12z GFS as well as 0z ICON (ie., 18z GFS disconnect was hopefully an anomaly) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 31 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's not going inland with that PV there. GEFS is like 4 runs away from saying “what PV?” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Some serious good bud being smoked in here. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, jbenedet said: GEFS is like 4 runs away from saying “what PV?” So where do you think this is going? Over ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I could see it going over the Cape...about it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Ukie - bit of a weird evolution but low captures similarly to icon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago UK snow map kind of looks like GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, MuddyWx said: GFS, AIGFS, ICON, UKIE, all showing solid hits, especially when factoring +10:1 rates. We take. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago UK snow map kind of looks like GFSGFS snow map with ICON development, can't argue that bridge Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: UK snow map kind of looks like GFS kinda like my snowmap too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Does CoastalWx have a PT for the 00z ICON? Kuchera 34" ern MA! UKMET trying to show the same thing! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Euro Skynet bringing the goods. We’re back to the reignition for a time Monday similar to guidance maybe 2 days ago? A lot of juice for sure it seems. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Yeah EC AIFS followed same pattern as GFS... 0z and 12z similar, 18z outlier 0z and 12z better phase, coastal redevelopment, big hit SNE especially east 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago heh, 10:1 too… wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, vortex95 said: Does CoastalWx have a PT for the 00z ICON? Kuchera 34" ern MA! UKMET trying to show the same thing! Real question every post you mention Scott. Do you know him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The geographic scale of this storm is just so impressive. Euro should cook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The geographic scale of this storm is just so impressive. Euro should cook. 15 to 20 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 15 to 20 I’d sign for the Euro right now. It’s beautiful all the way up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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