January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential

[Ralph Wiggum]

6z euro caved with mixing up to i80. 

Thinking 4-8" here is a good bet topped with sleet. 

[mattinpa]

Still calling for 6-10” here though may still be higher if the mix line is off. Seems some compromising is happening on the models. 

[Birds~69]

26 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

6z euro caved with mixing up to i80. 

Thinking 4-8" here is a good bet topped with sleet. 

I'd be surprised if we received anything <6"...

Cold/crisp out there 6F

[Voyager]

37 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

6z euro caved with mixing up to i80. 

Thinking 4-8" here is a good bet topped with sleet. 

Up to I-80 where? With 6 hour increments, I don't see mixing anywhere near I-80 except perhaps in New Jersey.

[Hurricane Agnes]

6zs - 3k NAM & EC - 

 

[Newman]

We just have to see how hot and heavy that initial thump comes in, especially for NW of 95. HRDPS is advertising 8-10"+ in 6 hours tomorrow morning. Just based on experience, I'd imagine some places could even grab 12" in that time

[Ralph Wiggum]

13 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Up to I-80 where? With 6 hour increments, I don't see mixing anywhere near I-80 except perhaps in New Jersey.

 

[Voyager]

Ah. Gotcha. I don't have Wx Bell.

[Duca892]

Based off of what this has turned into next weeks storm can stay squashed until roughly Saturday before it wants to trend north

[Hurricane Agnes]

The GFS 6z just for completeness although we are obviously in the mesos/short term ranges.

[BlueDXer75]

15 minutes ago, Newman said:

We just have to see how hot and heavy that initial thump comes in, especially for NW of 95. HRDPS is advertising 8-10"+ in 6 hours tomorrow morning. Just based on experience, I'd imagine some places could even grab 12" in that time

I think 10-12 is a good call for Berks County.  Maybe up to 14 depending on rates and change to sleet.  Regardless, this will become a glacier.  

[Voyager]

9 minutes ago, BlueDXer75 said:

I think 10-12 is a good call for Berks County.  Maybe up to 14 depending on rates and change to sleet.  Regardless, this will become a glacier.  

And for areas that don't see sleet, some blowing and drifting will be problems with wind gusts up to 25mph after the storm passes.

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 hour ago, Birds~69 said:

I'd be surprised if we received anything <6"...

Cold/crisp out there 6F

6" is reasonable for our location. Seeing alot of posts here and FB on how we won't see less than 12" because this is a 16 hr storm. People are forgetting only about 4-5 hours of it is actually clean snow for our areas (7am-noon?). Past 12 hrs the trend now is a quicker flip as the warm tongue screams N and W. Just hoping this isnt it and 2 weeks of cold/dry -> spring. 

[Physicsteve]

Too much stj involvement after being quiet all winter? Fetch off the gulf torching the mid levels? It’s plenty cold down here as advertised.