ChescoWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 7 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Yeah this is why you don’t start threads 5 days out imo. Major negative changes on the gfs and cmc. Suppression is definitely on the table. Public hanging? Stoned to death? Firing line execution? Wood chipper (feet first)? for those who disobey IMO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 16 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Yeah this is why you don’t start threads 5 days out imo. Major negative changes on the gfs and cmc. Suppression is definitely on the table. Superstitious are ya? oh ye of little faith Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No Snow Flo Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 16 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: It is, and maybe just noise, but there were big enough differences under the hood to make me raise an eyebrow. "If atmosphere has memory, which I do believe in similar tendencies, this will likely be another minor event like either last Saturday or Sunday, respectively. " Are you starting to think atmospheric memory on this one or are the players that much different? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 6 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Public hanging? Stoned to death? Firing line execution? Wood chipper (feet first)? for those who disobey IMO... Fwiw, the tree guy is here right now with the chipper, I kid you not. Should I dive in head-first or feet-first? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Duca892 said: i mean this would just be brutal, absolutely positively brutal But ALAS, we don't shovel model snow! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GFS ensembles are nothing like OP... I suggest stepping away from the OP runs for a day or 2 and focus on ensembles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, anthonyweather said: But ALAS, we don't shovel model snow! And we still have amped models that have the sleet line to us. Im not too concerned tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, anthonyweather said: GFS ensembles are nothing like OP... I suggest stepping away from the OP runs for a day or 2 and focus on ensembles. ^^^This But hell, even the mis-timed CMC we still manage a foot+ region wide. There is ample wiggle room on either side. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I'll take the UKIE for $1000 Alex 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Ukmet is a huge hit! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: ^^^This But hell, even the mis-timed CMC we still manage a foot+ region wide. There is ample wiggle room on either side. Really, the ratios will make up for the lack of blocking. so theres a few positives going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 6 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Good spot to be on an ens mean at this lead! VA can have their jackpot, Im quite fine sitting at a half foot on a mean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 8 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: When the ensembles disagree with the OP that is a major red flag. OP is most likely out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago So it's basically GFS vs the world again? Got it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago Euro AI held course, even crept N a hair with the slp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The latest European AI slipped south cutting snow totals almost in half across PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 48 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Fwiw, the tree guy is here right now with the chipper, I kid you not. Should I dive in head-first or feet-first? Lol, what a coincidence. Hopefully we get a good storm where limbs would fall and we would hear more wood choppers. No doubt, feet. Head first would be way too easy/quick... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxradio Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Ralph says held the line, Paul says crept south? Who to believe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6z vs 12z below 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago yucky day so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Ukie had an increase over 0z 15-20+" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Euro AI held course, even crept N a hair with the slp. 3 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: The latest European AI slipped south cutting snow totals almost in half across PA The differences at 12z for the Euro AI are much more noticeable at 500. Give me the look of the 06z OP Euro at 500 all day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LehighValleyDad Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Is regular Euro still considered to be "the King" ? In years past I seem to recall it being referred to as "Dr. No". Let's hope it holds serve today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Euro is looking decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 minutes ago, wxradio said: Ralph says held the line, Paul says crept south? Who to believe Paul showing qpf, im talking actual surface low position was N 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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