SACRUS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1/23 06z musing Total snow / sleet Using 10:1 SREF NAM: RGEM: ICON: GFS: Euro AI AIFS: Euro was 7.1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, RU848789 said: Sleet also melts more slowly than snow, given its much lower surface area per volume ratio. thats why its a good idea to remove the snow from driveways and sidewalks before the sleet causes an issue - and it will be easier to do because this will be falling when most are awake 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYER72 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Wannabehippie said: Daily Mail is the NYP on steroids. way way way over hyped - maybe because we've been so snow starved. I'm no met but I love to observe and learn. Seen these threads so many times and you have to stay grounded. Consensus points to a snow-to-change "fair to middling" storm for the city that we've seen play out many a time, certainly sounds like nothing exceptional or historic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 12Z NAM running….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Tip of cap to Sacrus for posting the overlay comparisons of the precip/accum maps. Again verbatim - very impactful storm for the metro area coming into agreement. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 12 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said: Daily Mail is the NYP on steroids. We should like both publications as they would have the storm going more to the right. The New York Times would have the low tracking over Pennsylvania. Relax just having some fun, submitting a post without the word sleet in it, except for that one time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 26 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Who knows if the models are wrong with the warming. Lets just see how the storm progresses and take it from there. Saying no one will see double digits at this time is irresponsible. Well, that doesn’t mean that some of these areas don’t get double digits…one station in particular has a poor record in this regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1/23 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 12 minutes ago, SleetStormNJ said: Tip of cap to Sacrus for posting the overlay comparisons of the precip/accum maps. Again verbatim - very impactful storm for the metro area coming into agreement. I love how you always pop in before a sleet storm 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 HRRR 12z compared to globals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 43 minutes ago, Nibor said: Someone along the 84 corridor is gonna get over 20” I think that is closer to 287 but we’ll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: I think that is closer to 287 but we’ll see. yeah 287 all the way down into Middlesex County NJ 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, NEG NAO said: yeah 287 all the way down into Middlesex County NJ so you think im sitting pretty good in Northern Westchester? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1/23 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: yeah 287 all the way down into Middlesex County NJ In events like this, the warm nose tends to push up the Jersey coast and then up the Hudson. So Westchester might mix while interior NJ and NY stay all snow. More concerning to me today is the potential dry slot Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LehighValleyDad Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I could be wrong but in comparing 500 mb heights from 0Z NAM at 42 hrs vs 12Z at 30 hours it seems this run has ticked south a bit. Let's see how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I love how you always pop in before a sleet storm Haha. This is like a Super Bowl for me. There will be thousands of texts about the pinging/mix line on KEWR radar to family and friends Sunday afternoon/evening. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I love how you always pop in before a sleet storm i wonder why.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, LehighValleyDad said: I could be wrong but in comparing 500 mb heights from 0Z NAM at 42 hrs vs 12Z at 30 hours it seems this run has ticked south a bit. Let's see how it plays out. The mix line is further north though down in Virginia not sure what that means for us though could just be noise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 36 minutes ago, Picard said: It's going to be interesting if we get into mixing with forecast high temps for Sunday only in the upper teens to maybe 20 out this way. Surface Temps have nothing to do with mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Nam is faster with the onset of precip which will help with accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, MarcmmKU said: From southern slider to interior coastal hugger. Incredibly rough stretch for the I95 crew. At some point something has to break and we get a 1’ snow storm again Who cares Enjoy the snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, MarcmmKU said: From southern slider to interior coastal hugger. Incredibly rough stretch for the I95 crew. At some point something has to break and we get a 1’ snow storm again I mean yeah if you're looking for a big one. Most places will be over 20" on the season after this one though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Nam looks really good on Sunday. Lets see how much warmth comes into the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Nam looks really good on Sunday. Lets see how much warmth comes into the area. Mix line moving faster but we should still thump nicely first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I think everything just moved up a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Mix line moving faster but we should still thump nicely first Its 15 degrees in NYC during this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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