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1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread

AMZ8990

By AMZ8990,
in Tennessee Valley

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John1122
John1122

I feel like this is a trap. I'm having 2017 ptsd from when the Euro showed 30 inches imby 48 hours out, and I ended up with two inches. 

nrgjeff
nrgjeff

Looks like most NWS offices are up to near 40% chance of moderate impact - in line with the WPC charts above. Impressive that MRX talks like that Day 6. I have to comment on BAMWX. I've heard the

Math/Met
Math/Met

I haven't logged in for a long time. Figured this might be a good time. Hope everyone is doing well.

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John1122

John1122

Posted
Posted
15 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

I don't like that we have had feedback all over North America this winter which turned out to be false.  That 6z GFS run almost had to have been.  OTH, Juneau, Alaska, did get hammered.  Mammoth got hammered, but really...kind of normal for them to have big storms like that.  Russia got hammered.  Strong amplifications and big storms kind of seem to be slightly more prevalent in the NH this winter???  Also, Italy's Alps got hammered after weeks of news stories saying they wouldn't have snow for the winter - huge snows at the end of December.  I hope we get in on the action on some level...maybe not 2-3" of ice.

For me, I think we need to see cold high pressure maintain its presence along w/ the STJ.  Get those cooking, and see where it goes....

After watching Florida get nearly a foot last year when the prior state record was 3 inches, truly anything is possible. Maybe it's our turn finally for a crazy snow record. 

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*Flash*

*Flash*

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, GBOVolz said:


They are so triggered that an hour ago they used the CMC as their lead mod to prove to their viewers that the system is trending north.


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Not to mention wayyy too many reposts from those with little to no credibility. Blows my mind.

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Windspeed

Windspeed

Posted
Posted
You know the thing that is concerning for me is that on the 6z GFS run...we barely get above freezing at TRI from Saturday to the end of the run.  The 0z Euro (can't use the 6z as it only goes out to 144) doesn't bring us above freezing until Feb 2, and has a very severe cold snap on the 30th.  Maybe the real story(other than snow) is the duration and severity of the cold which could accompany this.  If we get heavy snow or ice, that could be significant problem in combination w/ cold which follows.  The GFS and GEM-para also both have another pretty severe cold snap around the 30th.  The 0z EPS has a 10day mean from Jan 24th to Feb 3 which is 10-15 degrees BN...incredible or an ensemble to have that.

I want snow like everyone else here. But I am in total agreement with you on this. If the berserk modeling runs this morning verify, the severe cold that follows is going to be a huge concern. Major power outages with a slow recovery to repair lines. Hopefully, the models have hit their peak and are way overloaded. But unfortunately, anything around a foot of snow, followed by severe bitter cold will cripple infrastructure for the region. Often, we have a warmup after a major snow event. The timing of the upcoming event is not so great in this regard.
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GBOVolz

GBOVolz

Posted
Posted
Not to mention wayyy too many reposts from those with little to no credibility. Blows my mind.

Not taking anything away from them, the CMC might end up being right and they pull a victory with a 5% chance. However at this point in time they are wish casting. What I do not understand with what they are doing is their audience wants snow in their backyard, I get it. But most of all there credibility is more important than predicting snow in their area that never happens using a mod that has a low output percentage and that mod is pretty much on an island by itself right now.


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Nash_LSU

Nash_LSU

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, jaxjagman said:

7-Day-Forecast-35-99N-86-83W-01-20-2026_07_44_AM.png

 

In the same vein, I have never once seen wunderground show me this much snow so close in. I don't normally put stock in wunderground precip total forecasts, but the wishcaster in me wants to this time. 

 

Screenshot 2026-01-20 074914.jpg

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GBOVolz

GBOVolz

Posted
Posted
Well I just got laid off. Hopefully this comes to fruition. Rather see some snow instead of being in pure depression.


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What? Seriously? Bro I’m so sorry. Where do you live and what do you do, like to do?


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Reb

Reb

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Scottie16 said:

Well I just got laid off. Hopefully this comes to fruition. Rather see some snow instead of being in pure depression.


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Sorry to hear that Scottie, keep your head up, everything happens for a reason. Here’s to better opportunities for you.

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Weatheriscool

Weatheriscool

Posted
Posted
32 minutes ago, Nash_LSU said:

In the same vein, I have never once seen wunderground show me this much snow so close in. I don't normally put stock in wunderground precip total forecasts, but the wishcaster in me wants to this time. 

 

Screenshot 2026-01-20 074914.jpg

Yea, I have not seen numbers like that before. Like I said in an earlier post, what concerns me is the weight of all that snow if we get that much, over the next ten days on things. 

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AMZ8990

AMZ8990

Posted
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Posted
49 minutes ago, Scottie16 said:

Well I just got laid off. Hopefully this comes to fruition. Rather see some snow instead of being in pure depression.


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Scottie, I am sorry to hear that brother.  Praying that God brings you new opportunities and the strength needed to get through this.  Let us know how we can help you.  

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housemtnTN

housemtnTN

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Scottie16 said:


Sweetwater. I’ve worked for this company for 8 years. Customers just aren’t buying fiberglass anymore.


.

Sorry to hear that man. 8 years is a long time and there are many other companies that will value you and what you bring to the table.

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Weatheriscool

Weatheriscool

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Matthew70 said:

This not going to happen but my weather channel app shows possibly 15”-22”.  Lol

Yea, mine was updated too, on the high end mine would be just over 2', I think the record for Nashville all time storm system is like 17.7" in March of 1880 something that is how rare this is 

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GBOVolz

GBOVolz

Posted
Posted
This not going to happen but my weather channel app shows possibly 15”-22”.  Lol

Look at the total QPF and ratio that. If nothing changes and the mods are right, it is not far fetched to see numbers that high as of now.


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