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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm


Jimbo!
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GEFS is going to be a bit north of OP, but further south than 12z GEFS. Heaviest totals appear to be lining up right down I40 from West to East. Also seems to be step for step with 12z EPS. Regardless, this run is going to be big for many!

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5 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said:

Can you put this in layman terms?

It's every euro model that is run, including the op, that creates the ensemble. Each colored segment is a 24 hr period of the winter goodness that specific model is showing. 50 total

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18z Euro AI got colder this run to and gives central and Southern Va a Monster Snowstorm. 

I could swear I read Van Denton out GSO saying it was showing something like 1.4-1.5” liquid equivalent. Jeeesh


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35 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Weird? Is it better to look at total snowfall mean on the GEFS or Snow Depth Mean?

Regardless of model, I have often found the "snow depth" field to better represent what you actually experience on the ground, with melting etc - almost like Kuchera+. But some like the GDPS don't use Kuchera for calculating snow depth (just 10:1). I'm not sure which models do/don't, or what site has snow depth derived with Kuchera.

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