cbmclean Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 3 hours ago, BooneWX said: Good to see yall score. It’s warm but based on the short range guidance, I think rates will overcome and you should get some solid dynamic cooling from the top down. Too soon. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted June 19 Share Posted June 19 Some potential for non-trivial rain on Monday. Keeping fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Friday at 09:22 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 09:22 PM Through 15 days…. We’ve got problems ahead . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Monday at 03:51 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 03:51 PM On 6/19/2026 at 8:32 AM, cbmclean said: Some potential for non-trivial rain on Monday. Keeping fingers crossed. Anddddd it went poof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted Monday at 03:53 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:53 PM Ladies and gentleman, the broiler is about to be turned on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Monday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:06 PM 10 minutes ago, UnionCountyNCWX said: Ladies and gentleman, the broiler is about to be turned on. So much for the cool and rainy El Nino summer. Looks like our drought could get even worse. This was at Falls Lake yesterday (main sections still have water but even that is looking quite shallow in places): 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Monday at 06:41 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:41 PM 2 hours ago, UnionCountyNCWX said: Ladies and gentleman, the broiler is about to be turned on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted Monday at 08:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:54 PM 2 hours ago, olafminesaw said: F#%K 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Monday at 09:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:06 PM 12 minutes ago, Snowacane said: F#%K This gif came to mind 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Monday at 09:41 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 09:41 PM On 6/19/2026 at 5:22 PM, BooneWX said: Through 15 days…. We’ve got problems ahead . Taps sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Tuesday at 12:25 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:25 PM Raleigh will put in place level 2 water restrictions once Falls Lake drops to 45% full. According to the graphs at the following link, that happens between 241 and 242 feet. The current forecast suggests that would happen in September but that is basically extrapolation. https://epec.saw.usace.army.mil/falls_summ.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted Tuesday at 04:37 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:37 PM 4 hours ago, eyewall said: Raleigh will put in place level 2 water restrictions once Falls Lake drops to 45% full. According to the graphs at the following link, that happens between 241 and 242 feet. The current forecast suggests that would happen in September but that is basically extrapolation. https://epec.saw.usace.army.mil/falls_summ.htm One hopes that before that happens the developing super-ultra-mega-El Nino will break through with a southern stream fire hose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Tuesday at 04:58 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:58 PM 13 minutes ago, cbmclean said: One hopes that before that happens the developing super-ultra-mega-El Nino will break through with a southern stream fire hose. The fairly reliable S stream super-Nino fire hose pattern doesn’t typically start til after the end of the active part of the tropical season, i.e. not til November usually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted yesterday at 11:18 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:18 AM Yesterday's rainfall resulted in about a 1 inch rise in Falls Lake water levels. I am guessing it will start dropping again over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted yesterday at 12:20 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:20 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted yesterday at 12:21 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:21 PM High risk not issued very often this far out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago No significant changes with drought in NC with today's update- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago July fourth temps are scorching. An appropriate portend these days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 7 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: July fourth temps are scorching. An appropriate portend these days I’d be quite surprised if KATL has a high on 7/4 of 103 and 104 on 7/5 as this (6Z) gfs run shows because of recent good rains there and the tendency for the GFS and to a lesser extent the Euro to be too hot for summer highs in much of the SE outside of RDU. An important variable on how hot it will get will be the amount of rainfall there between now and then. Regardless, heat indices look to be awful either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago As mentioned the drought has largely remained the same since last week's update. With that said with a brutal heatwave coming, this is likely to worsen again and Falls Lake levels are going to drop some more outside of pop up storms. May the odds be ever in our favor. As mentione Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago This weeks rainfall was helpful as generally 1-2.5” fell across the exceptional drought area though we would need to see repeated systems do the same to see any real progress. Sadly looks to be going back into the fryer this coming week with no signs of additional widespread rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago 2 hours ago, GaWx said: I’d be quite surprised if KATL has a high on 7/4 of 103 and 104 on 7/5 as this (6Z) gfs run shows because of recent good rains there and the tendency for the GFS and to a lesser extent the Euro to be too hot for summer highs in much of the SE outside of RDU. An important variable on how hot it will get will be the amount of rainfall there between now and then. Regardless, heat indices look to be awful either way. I believe the highest temperature ever recorded in Raleigh, North Carolina was 106 °F which occurred just two years on July 5, 2024. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted 8 minutes ago Share Posted 8 minutes ago I believe an all-time of 104 is in jeopardy in Greensboro either JULY 3rd or the 4th, we shall see- 2 hours ago, GaWx said: I’d be quite surprised if KATL has a high on 7/4 of 103 and 104 on 7/5 as this (6Z) gfs run shows because of recent good rains there and the tendency for the GFS and to a lesser extent the Euro to be too hot for summer highs in much of the SE outside of RDU. An important variable on how hot it will get will be the amount of rainfall there between now and then. Regardless, heat indices look to be awful either way. I believe the highest temperature ever recorded in Raleigh, North Carolina was 106 °F which occurred just two years on July 5, 2024. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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