Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[cbmclean]

3 hours ago, BooneWX said:

Good to see yall score. It’s warm but based on the short range guidance, I think rates will overcome and you should get some solid dynamic cooling from the top down. 

Too soon.

[cbmclean]

Some potential for non-trivial rain on Monday.  Keeping fingers crossed.

[BooneWX]

Through 15 days…. We’ve got problems ahead


.

[BooneWX]

On 6/19/2026 at 8:32 AM, cbmclean said:

Some potential for non-trivial rain on Monday.  Keeping fingers crossed.

Anddddd it went poof 

[UnionCountyNCWX]

Ladies and gentleman, the broiler is about to be turned on. 

 

 

[eyewall]

10 minutes ago, UnionCountyNCWX said:

Ladies and gentleman, the broiler is about to be turned on. 

 

 

So much for the cool and rainy El Nino summer. Looks like our drought could get even worse. This was at Falls Lake yesterday (main sections still have water but even that is looking quite shallow in places):

[olafminesaw]

2 hours ago, UnionCountyNCWX said:

Ladies and gentleman, the broiler is about to be turned on. 

 

 

 

[Snowacane]

2 hours ago, olafminesaw said:

 

F#%K

[olafminesaw]

12 minutes ago, Snowacane said:

F#%K

This gif came to mind

[BooneWX]

On 6/19/2026 at 5:22 PM, BooneWX said:

Through 15 days…. We’ve got problems ahead


.

Taps sign

[eyewall]

Raleigh will put in place level 2 water restrictions once Falls Lake drops to 45% full. According to the graphs at the following link, that happens between 241 and 242 feet. The current forecast suggests that would happen in September but that is basically extrapolation. https://epec.saw.usace.army.mil/falls_summ.htm