LP08 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: GFS may be up to something here for the Cape timeframe.. H5 looks sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: GFS may be up to something here for the Cape timeframe.. It’s snowing folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Yeah, GFS develops something...a bit disorganized but we have snow over the area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 God this is gonna sting like a b*** when its all taken away by tomorrow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Hello 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, Alfoman said: God this is gonna sting like a b*** when its all taken away by tomorrow Great post thanks 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 It's actually not a bad hit. Nothing huge, but...modest. 2 to 5 thing. EDIT: got a lil better with the name frame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Fan of this run. Just glad to see a coastal pop like that in the vicinity. Digital snow for this is worthless at this range. Establish the feature first, then reel it in. The storm a few days later is a great look too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's actually not a bad hit. Nothing huge, but...modest. 2 to 5 thing. EDIT: got a lil better with the name frame. At this point 2-5” is a HECS 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Not bad at all!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: you get the honors for the snow map this time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 HR216-222 on the 12z GFS has a solid banana high and decent western ridge at 500mb. Key ingredients for cold air. Very happy to see this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Hello This is just right!! I told my newsletter crowd yesterday afternoon that Sat or Sun., 17th or 18th, was the first genuine threat!!!!!!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 27 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Hope I'm wrong, but at 129hrs it just looks like a cold front. Maybe Euro is right with the 19th? Ok, Euro says 19th and Gfs says 18th. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Everyone wins with the 1/18 event on the 12z GFS. No rain/snow line. A solid, plowable snowfall on a holiday weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Not bad at all for 200 hours out!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 12Z GFS gets it done for the 18th. Yay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: This oughta' send JI into a fit of rage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Gotta love the GFS 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Also think that the CMC looks like it might get a hit at the end of its run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Now only have to hold or improve for over a week. What could go wrong?… ducks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Also think that the CMC looks like it might get a hit at the end of its run. It's loaded for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I have nothing to add regarding any of the specific threats, they are all too far out for me to waste time on run to run permutations. But my general thoughts regarding the overall pattern is that it's been pretty rare for us to time up a good h5 pattern with our snowiest climo period (which is by far mid Jan to mid Feb). One of our problems, among many, over the last 10 years as been that our best chances for snow have come outside that period. We've been fighting for scraps along the edges of the cold season in many years. Right now the pattern across all guidance for the second half of January looks very favorable. It's supported by tropical forcing. If we get an extended cold pattern from mid January into Feb I'll take my chances. It won't help us with the STJ, we're going to have to deal with phasing and NS issues and it will still be a struggle, but one we have a much better chance of winning if we get a good pattern timed up during our snowiest climo period. 17 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 CMC was wester with the gulf piece but NS did not cooperate and it was too positive. Hopeful it can evolve positively from there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, baltosquid said: CMC was wester with the gulf piece but NS did not cooperate and it was too positive. Hopeful it can evolve positively from there though. Ya it’s like a cold front but does have a thick snow band haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 8 minutes ago, mitchnick said: This oughta' send JI into a fit of rage. Not hard to do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Ya it’s like a cold front but does have a thick snow band haha It strings out the energy, way too far out to worry about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Ya it’s like a cold front but does have a thick snow band haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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