winter_warlock Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, stormtracker said: If GFS keeps leading the way, a 50-75 mile jog N and W isn't crazy. I like the slow trends till game day tbh. GFS kinda trending to what it showed for that day about 5 days ago if I remember correctly! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 cmc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Glad the gfs doubled down on the track/orientation of precip. Need GEFS to have more hits, and having the euro mildly enthused would be great. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: cmc? Looks good for a few inches assuming thats snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: The CMC always matches the RGEM so I’d be shocked if it doesn’t at least make a play for a light event in DC yeah, it looks like the RGEM. Snow maps have about an inch or so at 90 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: You looking at an old run bud? 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: The CMC always matches the RGEM so I’d be shocked if it doesn’t at least make a play for a light event in DC My bad I misinterpreted the maps. Frankly I thought that with the CMC consolidating a vort max north of where we would prefer it would kill the storm and crush it. Instead of just sorta didn’t matter too much. Either way I believe there’s a lot of potential left on the table with its run. I do apologize though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, stormtracker said: yeah, it looks like the RGEM We need Dr. No to come aboard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Every single bit of the GFS's snow output is sticking and turning into glacier 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: yeah, it looks like the RGEM It’s weird with it being mixy here then blows more to the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, bncho said: Every single bit of the GFS's snow output is sticking and turning into glacier I like that!! No chance of any mixing or the dreaded rain/snow line!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 So here’s a question. When is it that we can actually start to trust the garbage GooFuS? I feel like it’s about in its wheelhouse from here on out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: We need Dr. No to come aboard I'm not even going to hope with the Euro. It never does what we want and if it does, it'll be closer to game time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I'm not even going to hope with the Euro. It never does what we want and if it does, it'll be closer to game time.Nothing is more stubborn more than that sob model 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 So what is our least snowiest model attm? Euro? Just curious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, Scraff said: So here’s a question. When is it that we can actually start to trust the garbage GooFuS? I feel like it’s about in its wheelhouse from here on out? When other models agree lol. CMC close that’s a start let’s see ukmet and euro come in as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, TSSN+ said: When other models agree lol. CMC close that’s a start let’s see ukmet and euro come in as well. Yeah it's just plain old looking to see if there's agreement. And this evening that has moved in a positive direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 This looks very similar to what it was showing 7 days ago when we were tracking storm number 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 21 minutes ago, nj2va said: Nice moisture in the Gulf Wow that’s an ages old remembrance of cold air plunging and something gets going around tx/la and moves right toward us like that purple is pointing to 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GEFS is might be a smack down. Already crushing the SE… 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GEFS is almost 3" for DC 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 0z GEFS wow 4 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Oh crap. After seeing the GFS.. now I gotta wait up for the euro lol.. looks like I'll be groggy at work tomorrow!!! Ahh the pains of being a weather nut!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: GEFS is might be a smack down. Already crushing the SE… Is that gulf moisture trying to connect to pacific ? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, bncho said: 0z GEFS wow Wow that is an improvement over 18z GEFS!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, winter_warlock said: Oh crap. After seeing the GFS.. now I gotta wait up for the euro lol.. looks like I'll be groggy at work tomorrow!!! Ahh the pains of being a weather nut!!! Hey at least it runs a half hour earlier now, lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: Oh crap. After seeing the GFS.. now I gotta wait up for the euro lol.. looks like I'll be groggy at work tomorrow!!! Ahh the pains of being a weather nut!!! Go to bed happy now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Hey at least it runs a half hour earlier now, lol Well that a lil better !! I'll have to get the real potent coffee in the morning !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, TSSN+ said: Go to bed happy now. Yessir!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 26 minutes ago, T. August said: Glad the gfs doubled down on the track/orientation of precip. Need GEFS to have more hits, and having the euro mildly enthused would be great. Alright step #1 complete. Number of 2”+ hits dramatically increased, while retaining a few big dogs too. Nice to see that upper end still exists. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 UKIE making the right moves through 72 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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