January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[yoda]

You may see its in the teens in RIC and ask how sleet?  Huge warm nose at 700mb

[DDweatherman]

Randy, if that’s not a folks, you need psychiatric intervention. 

[winter_warlock]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Folks 

 Jesus H Christ!! Wrecked!!!

[stormtracker]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Folks 

Well damn.   That would be a Folks.  Man

[SnowenOutThere]

Whoever is riding the mixing line on the CMC is in for the time of their lives. Its actually not too dissimilar than that GFS sounding from its 60 inch snowstorm in PA

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

This is gonna be a gaudy clown map for dc geeeeze 

[stormtracker]

Just now, DDweatherman said:

Randy, if that’s not a folks, you need psychiatric intervention. 

It is man.  It is.

I'm just gun shy and not used to it.   It's hard to believe

[DDweatherman]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Yup.  That was my issue.   We all know no point in hanging on to thermals this far out...point is, we get a system on top of us and an another op that joins the AIs and not have this thing slide s and e of us

It’s a folks run, stop giving us this explanation for a d6 run. Might not be anywhere close to what happens, but it’s a folks and a half. I’m gooning over it as we speak

[Stormchaserchuck1]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

Folks 

1040mb High to the north would probably make that warrant blizzard warnings

[SnowenOutThere]

Hour 150 with light snow exiting the region

[Eskimo Joe]

Canadian is definitely the most amped, but wow.  

It would be a Top 10 snowfall for IAD and DCA.

[stormtracker]

snow map should be porn worthy...looks like DC north stays snow for the. most part...it gets super close tho

[bncho]

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

Hour 150 with light snow exiting the region

FOLKS!

[TSSN+]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Canadian is definitely the most amped, but wow.  

Wrong ais and ukmet at 0z is similar. 

[DDweatherman]

Just now, winter_warlock said:

Looks like a Jan 25th 2000 redo bro!!!

No it doesn’t

[mappy]

2 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

Looks like a Jan 25th 2000 redo bro!!!

Not even close 

[SnowenOutThere]

6 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Almost looks like its going for a triple phase in the plains. Or it could just crush it... NVM

Funniest part is it almost pulls it off but remains too positively tilted to capture the low. Ironically there is a larger storm out there.

[mattie g]

12 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Gfs AI is a triple header lol

#2

 

#3

 

 

Our last heater was 2015. WDI? Lol

 

This is an absolutely ludicrous run. Basically drops 30+” areawide for the 10-day period starting on the 24th.

[Ralph Wiggum]

GFS bringing the baja ull out for something around the 28-29 timeframe. 

Takeaway....if storm 1 fails, we still get chances. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

CMC precip distribution looks similar to the AI’s

[DDweatherman]

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Funniest part is it almost pulls it off but remains too positively tilted to capture the low. Ironically there is a larger storm out there.

Good point, to be honest the Canadian showed a “middle ground” outcome. Could’ve been a HECS in all honesty lol. Just another model run but damn.

[Ji]

Well damn.   That would be a Folks.  Man

We don’t do folks for the garbage cmc do we ?

[Eskimo Joe]

2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

GFS bringing the baja ull out for something around the 28-29 timeframe. 

Takeaway....if storm 1 fails, we still get chances. 

Earlier this month, Tomer Burg (PolarWx) on Twitter posited that DC - NYC could see something on the order of ~20" for the month of January and people laughed at him. He might be right.

[Eskimo Joe]

12z Canadian is about as amped as I want at this range. Inside of 48 hrs? Sure.

[Eskimo Joe]

12z Canadian ENS open the freezer post storm.

 

 

[winter_warlock]

9 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

No it doesn’t

I know after I posted it I checked and I deleted the post when I saw the difference! 

[Scraff]

Freaking LOVE poutine! 

[bncho]

lol at the CMC. imagine getting 2' of snow in the fuckin teens. lol

[winter_warlock]

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

We don’t do folks for the garbage cmc do we ?

Leave it to Ji to bring us back down  lol

[SnowenOutThere]

GEFS looks like it should be improved to some extent