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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Yup.  That was my issue.   We all know no point in hanging on to thermals this far out...point is, we get a system on top of us and an another op that joins the AIs and not have this thing slide s and e of us

It’s a folks run, stop giving us this explanation for a d6 run. Might not be anywhere close to what happens, but it’s a folks and a half. I’m gooning over it as we speak

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1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Funniest part is it almost pulls it off but remains too positively tilted to capture the low. Ironically there is a larger storm out there.

500hv.conus.png

Good point, to be honest the Canadian showed a “middle ground” outcome. Could’ve been a HECS in all honesty lol. Just another model run but damn.

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2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

GFS bringing the baja ull out for something around the 28-29 timeframe. 

Takeaway....if storm 1 fails, we still get chances. 

Earlier this month, Tomer Burg (PolarWx) on Twitter posited that DC - NYC could see something on the order of ~20" for the month of January and people laughed at him. He might be right.

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