DDweatherman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 It’s really all because of the GL energy. Without that or of course with a phase in, we’d be in biz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 hour ago, anotherman said: That was at 3:00 AM And…? You think one run of the 6z GFS made him flip his entire narrative from the past few days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: It’s really all because of the GL energy. Without that or of course with a phase in, we’d be in biz. I dunno... maybe this is more for SNE... but Will said this just now 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If we can get that MN kicker s/w to keep digging west, that is going to help. You want to do anything to help the southern vort gain latitude without sacrificing too much eastward longitude. NAM is digging it further west which was good…not that the NAM is good, but that’s what you’ll want to see on other model guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Didn't someone post the list of model accuracy stats that had the EpsAI on top, or near the top? Anyway, here's the 6z slp positions from it...we're wasting our time if it's near or at the top of the list for accuracy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I hate everyone and everything 3 1 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, Ji said: I hate everyone and everything Ok, but when you leave, don't forget to take your diaper bag. 1 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, Ji said: I hate everyone and everything who cares about what you think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 36 minutes ago, bncho said: you've been WHAT about? 30 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Somebody forgot to blow on the Cartridge. OH BOY. I'm like a kid in a candy store. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 4 minutes ago, Ji said: I hate everyone and everything And yet this post is allowed… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 12 minutes ago, Ji said: I hate everyone and everything You really need to get off the keyboard and go get yourself some snow. I'll be on the Tug in a week or so. What's your kink? Snow on snow? Snow falling super hard? Snow flakes tickling your nipples? Dark digital blue? The Tug can do it all for you lol 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Icon looks to be a step back, kicker is keeping things more positively tilted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I'll take me some 12z RGEM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, yoda said: I'll take me some 12z RGEM Yeah. Just gunna' say... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Rgem's a hit on Saturday with front and coastal. But not huge it doesn't appear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I'm just as annoyed as the next guy at the pull back in trends, but in this case I don't think the GL low is to blame. If it were an arctic high, I think it would be even more suppressive/OTS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Rgem's a hit on Saturday with front and coastal. But not huge it doesn't appear. Its a 1-2" for some... mostly Sunday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 hour ago, 87storms said: True. Last storm helped a bit, but the general theme is the same. After the 1.20" of rain last week, my rate of fall leveled off a little. For a 7 day period from 12-19 to 12-26 , my water table dropped .73 Ft. For the 7 day period from 1-08 to 1-15 my water table only dropped .43 Ft. Glorious drought mitigation!!! 1.20" last week was 12% of rainfall needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 So at 18 notice just an ass hair bit of ridging out ahead vs 6z. It's noticeable, but nothing huge so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Backside of the forming trof out west is a bit more wester. But again, nothing to get excited about so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, stormtracker said: Backside of the forming trof out west is a bit more wester. But again, nothing to get excited about so far Not even sure if that’s the issue anymore it’s what does the so called kicker do to that energy as it moves east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Not even sure if that’s the issue anymore it’s what does the so called kicker do to that energy as it moves east. Yeah, just describing what's going on. I don't really even know what we need (other than a miracle) to do this tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, stormtracker said: Yeah, just describing what's going on. I don't really even know what we need to do this tbh 50 Hail Marys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Virtually no differences from 6Z thru 51 hrs on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Not seeing any meaningful differences so far at the sfc. I'm at hour 63 btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 If anything it's a hair flatter out front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Next 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Next folks. The pattern later next week is our best chance of the year; and probably with a simpler recipe to win. Overrunning type of setups. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Still got the aigfs haha this supposed to be about better version of gfs? Cause it’s probably worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 gfs is kaka Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, TSSN+ said: Still got the aigfs haha this supposed to be about better version of gfs? Cause it’s probably worse. All versions of the GFasS aren’t great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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