NorthArlington101 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Still climbing north at 273 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Bob Chill special so far. plenty cold enough from him and up to us. 5 minutes ago, ravensrule said: If only he still lived in Rockville. 4 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Or in North Central Md So @Bob Chillmoved and took the snow with him? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 its going to slide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I'm surprised it stays so cold. Maybe models will pick up on -NAO, since we've had 4 straight months with NAO of -0.65 or lower. Also a weak 50/50 low for the Day 10 storm on GFSYou mean disappointed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 So far about 6 -8 and still going 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 You want overrun? Here it is. Right on the boundary. Too far out to even hope it is right. But this is the way to do it. I cant get the shit to paste for some reason. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=isen290K&runtime=2026010900&fh=246 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 8-10 just south of us includes Fredericksburg 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Total 4-8 for Baltimore, 6-10 for DC, 12+ fredricksburg south 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Done at 285. We can only hope to be so lucky. That was fun...now let's get out of fantasy land and try to wrangle the first thing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 She’s sliding out, but we take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 8-10 just south of us includes FredericksburgLol play by play of a storm starting at 240 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, stormtracker said: 8-10 just south of us includes Fredericksburg Acceptable. Now we only have to wait 10 days, or until next run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, bncho said: 4-8 for Baltimore, 6-10 for DC, 12+ fredricksburg south only 10-12 days away! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, bncho said: Total 4-8 for Baltimore, 6-10 for DC, 12+ fredricksburg south That would be the biggest storm I've had here in years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, Ji said: Lol play by play of a storm starting at 240 I know right? Like this is some type of forum for such things. 2 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, bncho said: Total 4-8 for Baltimore, 6-10 for DC, 12+ fredricksburg south Even though I'd love the 4-8...man that would still hurt...good thing it's fantasy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 10 minutes ago, anotherman said: You mean disappointed? Let's see how it trends next few days. I don't think it's a frigid airmass although the timing is good with West coast ridge retrograding up through western Canada and Alaska. Those High pressures dropping down are pretty serious. I just don't know that it will be that good of a H5 pattern.. although since August it has been cooler in the east so maybe there is more going for this Winter. Also Winter -AO tendency with major -SLP in the arctic 60-90N during this past warm season (correlation good since 2012). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, Ji said: Lol play by play of a storm starting at 240 it's okay since it's from the most reliable, non-volatile, non-snow bias model the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, bncho said: Total 4-8 for Baltimore, 6-10 for DC, 12+ fredricksburg south That would be my biggest storm since 2016. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 The GFS model..... It's right 30%of the time... All the time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: The GFS model..... It's right 30%of the time... All the time So 50% less than normal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 9 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Carolinas getting mauled We're pretty bad at winter maulings. We're better at mewlings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, ravensrule said: That would be my biggest storm since 2016. I've been lucky a few times in last 6-7 years. I'm hoping for an AREA WIDE major hit, it is needed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, wxdude64 said: I've been lucky a few times in last 6-7 years. I'm hoping for an AREA WIDE major hit, it is needed. Unfortunately it’s been brutal here the last 10 years. We desperately need a good 8-12” storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 it's okay since it's from the most reliable, non-volatile, non-snow bias model the GFSThat Mitch west is going to be insufferable tomorrow Epic and historic 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 That would be my biggest storm since 2016.What are we doing then man? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Im going to do a weather will Here is gfs ai at same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, Ji said: What are we doing then man? I wouldn't worry about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Jesus. I just liked one of Chuck's posts. WTF is happening here? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 If that -AO ridging occurs and trends over Greenland, the massive N. Atlantic trough will be in range of a 50/50 low. That's our hope for that Day 10 storm.. trend toward more -NAO/-AO in the medium range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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