January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[MJO812]

Gefs is way north of the op.

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, slowing and allowing the N Stream to phase more to trigger Miller B redevelpment is a different ballgame.

 

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You clearly do not understand e MA climo and while the model had that snowfall distribution. 

These first two are not mutually exclusive....there is mesoscale risk with arctic air pinning the CF like that. Issue for a few days from now, but this is a setup conducive to that.

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Bingo…….

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Gefs is way north of the op.

Figured.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You clearly do not understand e MA climo and while the model had that snowfall distribution. 

Don’t really care to understand the micro climate factors up there just yet, just been stating that there are ways to get big qpf up there , still early in the game 

[Typhoon Tip]

Looks like this GGEM's gonna carry the 30th bomb ...or close to it judging by this 500 mb evolution. 

It's the index storm we're waiting on the dailies to get around to ... not that they have to of course.

[MJO812]

Ukie

[Damage In Tolland]

44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That picture of Kevin with lipstick on at a gtg several years ago. 

That was chap stick

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

These first two are not mutually exclusive....there is mesoscale risk with arctic air pinning the CF like that. Issue for a few days from now, but this is a setup conducive to that.

 

I think it’s time you move somewhere with less potential for screw jobs so we can have more fun on this board 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

That was chap stick

Maybe he’s born with it? Maybe it’s maybelline?

[Damage In Tolland]

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Redevelops like the euro had with all that backside energy.

That’s likely going to happen now 

[CoastalWx]

GEFS aren’t much different than 6z considering how bad the op was.

[MJO812]

Ukie snows from Sunday to Tuesday just like Euro and CMC.

[Damage In Tolland]

16 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Kevins dream storm, it may never end, no one will ever know

Nothing better than days and days of light - moderate snows . Yes please 

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Don’t really care to understand the micro climate factors up there just yet, just been stating that there are ways to get big qpf up there , still early in the game 

IF it redevelops, sure.....I said that. But we still aren't sure it's going in that direction. My sentiment about a graze was if it stays primarily overrunning with a weak surface reflection. Regardless of whether or not you understand that mesoscale aspect or not, it makes sense with that airmass in place. It doesn't take a particularly skilled pro met to see that even at this range if he/she has any knowledge of local climo whatsoever.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I think it’s time you move somewhere with less potential for screw jobs so we can have more fun on this board 

They have an ignore feature, have at it.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

IF it redevelops, sure.....I said that. But we still aren't sure it's going in that direction. My sentiment about a graze was if it stays primarily overrunning with a weak surface reflection. Regardless of whether or not you understand that mesoscale aspect or not, it makes sense with that airmass in place. It doesn't take a particularly kills pro met to see that even a this range if he/she has any knowledge of local climo whatsoever.

How did your current area do in that event in early Jan 2014 that has Boxford like 2’ of OE fluff? 

[cut]

1 hour ago, tamarack said:

On Jan 18, 1982 it was -34 at our back settlement home in Fort Kent, accompanied by gusts 35+ and 2-mile vis. in teeny-grain SN.  Old WCI chart showed -101 that morning, new chart about -70.  Got up to -14 that Monday afternoon.
The day before we took half of a Bible college men's quartet to our church as temps plummeted thru the minus teens in howling gales.  As they lifted their jackets from our car, the dry-cleaner's thin plastic covers were shattered by wind and cold.

I'm getting a 2002-03 vibe this winter.  That snow season was our 2nd coldest DJF of 27 (behind 2014-15), but also the driest.   Total snow was 21" BN as we watched the big dogs from afar.

Cape Cod Bay froze over that year and my pipes froze in my new house. I think I remember something like 21 or more days without getting above freezing.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

How did your current area do in that event in early Jan 2014 that has Boxford like 2’ of OE fluff? 

Nothing like that...I remember I was like WTF when I heard that.

[Damage In Tolland]

We’ve got a fight on our hands here!! Let’s f’ing go!

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

They have an ignore feature, have at it.

Tried that but you post too much it still shows up 

[Lucy Pull]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GEFS aren’t much different than 6z considering how bad the op was.

Looks like they linger precip in the area a bit longer. Wonder if some individuals are similar to the CMC. 

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

We’ve got a fight on our hands here!! Let’s f’ing go!

This is what happens when Richmond gets feet of snow. If we can’t have it, nobody can. 

[ORH_wxman]

GFS seems on its own right now. 

[ariof]

Congrats SAV on the op GFS. BUFKIT has 5.5" of snow. Annual record is 4.6, daily record 3.6.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Tried that but you post too much it still shows up 

Tough shit. Sey-Mour 40/70andlikeit

[Damage In Tolland]

Body punches exchanged !

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

She coming again this weekend and most likely coming harder. She’ll even come for Ray if he’s in a good mood. 

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

She coming again this weekend and most likely coming harder. She’ll even come for Ray if he’s in a good mood. 

“Forgettable” event for Ray as he gets 13” and Sey-Mour gets 18”?

[JKEisMan]

People, snow is on the way.  Chill

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Tough shit. Sey-Mour 40/70andlikeit

See that’s why I like you , anyways exciting times ahead.