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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Idk I’m not liking the long range trends, seems like after the 16-20 favorable trough we may try and torch again as the SE ridge pumps . We need to hit between the 16-20th. 

I think that’s the battle we may face. Although it gets better again at the end. The Greenland ridge may help trying to keep it from torching. 
 

But I’m done with these farts delivering D-1” deals. Give me QPF or give me death.

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25 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I’m not liking the long range trends, seems like after the 16-20 favorable trough we may torch again as the SE ridge pumps . We need to hit between the 16-20th. 

Ugh... Don't go down that rabbit hole. The pattern is not going to flip back to a mile pattern again. Just the models doing their things.

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Yeah I’m not trusting the GFS when it’s basically on an island for next Friday. I’ll want to see other guidance get back on board for that system. 
 

Although both skynet models like next Friday too. Maybe Arnold comes through. 

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah I’m not trusting the GFS when it’s basically on an island for next Friday. I’ll want to see other guidance get back on board for that system. 
 

Although both skynet models like next Friday too. Maybe Arnold comes through. 

 

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s looking pretty good for snow. I’m not saying it’s gonna be a big un.. just that it’s likely going to snow . I still don’t think the pattern or winter is likely to deliver a big un 

I’m done with lil uns. 

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