January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread

[Reb]

ICON looked nice for the 22nd. GFS looks to be loading up the goods as well. We shall see

[WintryMixmaster]

I really thought the models were going to bust high on temperatures today given how the low last night was colder than expected, but the southwest wind really brought in the warm air and Knoxville is actually warmer than the models said it would be. Funny how the NAM is always right when it comes to any kind of warm nose but if it's the cold outlier, it's gonna be wrong 

[Wurbus]

Knoxville is warmer than most of Florida this evening. Looking at a temp map is gross right now. 

[Wurbus]

Also, that is one hell of a fantasy storm for the SE on the GFS at the end of the month. Crushes everyone except TN so it's plausible. 

[WintryMixmaster]

14 minutes ago, Wurbus said:

Knoxville is warmer than most of Florida this evening. Looking at a temp map is gross right now. 

I remember growing up in New Jersey that the "cold/dry alternating with just warm enough to rain/wet" pattern was the absolute worst, but I'm surprised how often its happened here this winter (and a bit of last winter too). 40-50 degree rain isn't unexpected but the fact that we've had a lot of cold weather - just not synced up with storms - is really frustrating