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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread


John1122
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1 hour ago, TellicoWx said:

18z Goofy would be wild to see (highly improbable)....stalled arctic front with an STJ continuously overriding it...never ending snow showers lol.

One thing seems certain is that the next two weeks are going to be night and day different than this week 

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I was just thinking that we are entering the period where models sometimes lose systems or change them in some way only to come back 72 hours out or so. 
 

Something to do with wonky stakeouts data sometimes in the polar/ N. pac regions maybe? 
 

I also want to add that I’m sorry for what your going through Powell 

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39 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Ya'll need to see where the 18z GEFS ended its run...nice trend.  We saw that once or twice yesterday, and now it's back.

Anything like the 18z Ai where it snows for 2 weeks ?

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You can  teleconnect  with what the GEFS shows into East Asia,while you have some possible winter in the long range,this should just be transient cold and a warm up afterwards.But this is also with the MJO related sorta speaking

So this is gonna crash the good PNA as heights lower into Russia/Mongolia608905189_pna-gefs-sprd2-png-12001400--01-09-2026_10_27_PM.thumb.png.12524a44cb3c26b8b2157eb76bb45c5f.png

 

GEFS-Model-–-500mb-Height-Anomaly-for-Western-Pacific-Tropical-Tidbits-01-09-2026_10_26_PM.png

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