TSSN+ Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Time to put a fork in this one for snow. Gfs is on an island by itself with any chance. Rgem looks like a light qpf event as well. I was never expecting snow from this. It’s sleet and zr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 15 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Time to put a fork in this one for snow. Gfs is on an island by itself with any chance. Rgem looks like a light qpf event as well. Never was a snow event. More about ice with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 0z GFS decent shift north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago WB 6Z GFS and NBM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Every system is dry bones anymore. Should just get used to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro says no. No ice or precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Ji said: Euro says no. No ice or precip The drought looks super healthy on that run lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 hours ago, TSSN+ said: I was never expecting snow from this. It’s sleet and zr Wasn't expecting it, but was certainly hoping for it. And without hope, what do we have? You see Rusty... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 15 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Wasn't expecting it, but was certainly hoping for it. And without hope, what do we have? You see Rusty... Idk but I’ll take my consolation watch lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago RRFS says I’m getting 3” of sleet lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, WxUSAF said: RRFS says I’m getting 3” of sleet lol Post it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Not snow per precip map. It’s a ton of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Something is up with the Srefs. Next to no snow up north and precip is mainly across the MA. Check out Pivotal maps for latest 2 runs. Gotta be wrong. Here's the link to 9z total qpf off Srefs. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=qpf_acc-mean-imp&rh=2025122409&fh=87&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago 44 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Something is up with the Srefs. Next to no snow up north and precip is mainly across the MA. Check out Pivotal maps for latest 2 runs. Gotta be wrong. Here's the link to 9z total qpf off Srefs. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=qpf_acc-mean-imp&rh=2025122409&fh=87&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 You thinking the mesos are trying to key in on a last minute Mid Altantic victory? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted 41 minutes ago Share Posted 41 minutes ago RRFS covering itself in glory before it is even used in forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 41 minutes ago Share Posted 41 minutes ago 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: Something is up with the Srefs. Next to no snow up north and precip is mainly across the MA. Check out Pivotal maps for latest 2 runs. Gotta be wrong. Here's the link to 9z total qpf off Srefs. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=qpf_acc-mean-imp&rh=2025122409&fh=87&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 A lot of that is from the Christmas Day rain if you look at the hour 27 6 hour QPF mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 40 minutes ago Share Posted 40 minutes ago 17 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: You thinking the mesos are trying to key in on a last minute Mid Altantic victory? lol @ at the very concept of “last minute mid Atlantic victory” 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 36 minutes ago Share Posted 36 minutes ago 21 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: You thinking the mesos are trying to key in on a last minute Mid Altantic victory? No. Just wondering what's going on with them. Never saw them be so contrary to other guidance. Maybe some usual members missing? Idk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 34 minutes ago Share Posted 34 minutes ago Looks about right. A non issue for most on the board. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 33 minutes ago Share Posted 33 minutes ago Decent vertical velocities approaching the area at 57hrs on the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 28 minutes ago Share Posted 28 minutes ago Nam total qpf a yawner again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 28 minutes ago Share Posted 28 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, snowfan said: Looks about right. A non issue for most on the board. Ummm, that’s incorrect. Looks like a pretty decent deal for me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted 27 minutes ago Share Posted 27 minutes ago 2 hours ago, dailylurker said: The drought looks super healthy on that run lol Going into January with a coating and an inch (based on what my neighbor told me from the last storm) would be kinda underwhelming imo based on the start we had in the temps department. Gotta see if we can start getting some MJO-driven (which I haven’t checked) southern stream systems. Maybe this energy coming onshore to the southwest (which I’m experiencing now) will translate east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 22 minutes ago Share Posted 22 minutes ago 6 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nam total qpf a yawner again. Significant increase over last run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted 22 minutes ago Share Posted 22 minutes ago FV3 still believes in some snow before a changeover, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 17 minutes ago Share Posted 17 minutes ago 4 minutes ago, baltosquid said: FV3 still believes in some snow before a changeover, lol. It’s similar to the rrfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted 14 minutes ago Share Posted 14 minutes ago FV3 shows that rates can overcome upper level warmth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 13 minutes ago Share Posted 13 minutes ago 8 minutes ago, baltosquid said: FV3 still believes in some snow before a changeover, lol. Then it must be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted 12 minutes ago Share Posted 12 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: It’s similar to the rrfs No wonder the RRFS has it going south when it wants to juice up the suppression so much leading into things. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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