Snow Potential Dec 26-27

[psv88]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

I've never understood it-how long are you snowed in at your house?  Maybe half a day tops?    

Unless there is a coming hurricane I don’t stock up on food. 

[DreamBig]

Can't speak for elsewhere, but in Brooklyn? I'm not going shopping over the weekend and losing my parking spot if I could go shopping this morning. Everyone's going to be plowed in and in no hurry to move.

[North and West]

At the risk of getting yelled at....

Eh, if it makes you happy, so what?


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[jm1220]

15 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

there's going to be some disappointed folks on the far NE sections of the QPF forecasts

Probably a sharper cutoff than modeled but there’s always that 700mb fronto jackpot band. 

[psv88]

1 minute ago, North and West said:

Eh, if it makes you happy, so what?


.

I think you meant, if it makes you happy, it can’t be that bad…

[weatherpruf]

1 hour ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Yeah GFS caved on this one big time from Philly to central NJ. Last run has Central NJ with almost all sleet. Looks like south of NYC is the cutoff zone. This thing wraps up pretty quickly too, should be finished by 4 AM. 

what are you talking about ?  you know something actual professionals don't ?

[Stormlover74]

18 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Unless there is a coming hurricane I don’t stock up on food. 

Its like a self fulfilling prophecy. People hear snow and think everyone is going to go the store and they're going to run out of the basics so then everyone goes to the store and they run out of the basics.

[North and West]

I think you meant, if it makes you happy, it can’t be that bad…

and if it makes us happy, why the hell are we so sad?


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[weatherpruf]

21 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Unless there is a coming hurricane I don’t stock up on food. 

most americans throw tons of food away each year. stocking up just means more for the sanitation crews to pick up when it goes bad. can't tell you how many bags of mozzarella, tubs of sour cream and cream cheese, freakin tofu my wife buys, that we throw out from costco every month. you can only eat so many bagels. i now order cold cuts by the slice, not the pound. they aren't even good after a day in the fridge. that said, who wants to shop in the snow? i was at costco for the last storm and it was nuts; i did need a new shovel, and they were nearly out....i'm ready to go for this one.

[MJO812]

25 here

Just put salt down. Im ready .

[Stormlover74]

5 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

most americans throw tons of food away each year. stocking up just means more for the sanitation crews to pick up when it goes bad. can't tell you how many bags of mozzarella, tubs of sour cream and cream cheese, freakin tofu my wife buys, that we throw out from costco every month. you can only eat so many bagels. i now order cold cuts by the slice, not the pound. they aren't even good after a day in the fridge. that said, who wants to shop in the snow? i was at costco for the last storm and it was nuts; i did need a new shovel, and they were nearly out....i'm ready to go for this one.

I tend to make several trips a week and buy as much fresh as I can so I dont have to waste anything. I hate throwing food away

 

Anyway back to the storm

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said:

Clear trend NBM trending north and east with heaviest snow band every 6 hours on the last 4 runs...

[psv88]

How much for Philly?

[weatherpruf]

Just now, Patrick-02540 said:

Just because you and your family is wasteful doesn't mean every else is.  

yeah merry christmas to you too.

[weatherpruf]

2 minutes ago, psv88 said:

How much for Philly?

are they still in this?

[psv88]

Just now, weatherpruf said:

are they still in this?

It’s a joke from the days of Eastern…

[MJO812]

Hrrr is a tick snowier for NYC and LI so far. Seems like the HRRR keeps putting the banding over eastern LI.

[weatherpruf]

9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

I tend to make several trips a week and buy as much fresh as I can so I dont have to waste anything. I hate throwing food away

 

Anyway back to the storm

i have the sense the expiration dates are much sooner than they used to be; but i have no proof of this.

[EastonSN+]

HRRR ticked colder, less sleet 

[weatherpruf]

2 minutes ago, psv88 said:

It’s a joke from the days of Eastern…

ok, i know had seen this, but didn't know where it came from...been here since around 2010...

[EastonSN+]

Wonder when Upton will update the snow map from 1 am.

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

Wonder when Upton will update the snow map from 1 am.

They should downgrade NYC to 3-5.

[Northof78]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

Wonder when Upton will update the snow map from 1 am.

If it ain't broke, don't fix it

[mob1]

3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

HRRR ticked colder, less sleet 

It's beautiful 

[weatherpruf]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

They should downgrade NYC to 3-5.

what a roller coaster here... i thought you were on board for something bigger when i read your earlier takes....

[MANDA]

47 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

I've never understood it-how long are you snowed in at your house?  Maybe half a day tops?    

Very few times I saw grocery store / supply chain issues.  The BIG ones.  Blizzard of 96 stands out as it covered large area from DC to New England and trucks were stopped and roads were clogged for 1-2 days after the storm.  March 93, same thing.  Sandy was another.  These "little" storms are an and inconvenience for a few hours.  We have enough leftovers in the house right now to last a week.  I wouldn't go near a grocery store today if I was down to my last can of soup.

Really takes a massive storm to disrupt an area these days.  The larger of an area it affects the more likely it is to be disruptive to supply chain.

We don't live on the plains of Kansas in 1930...we will make it for a day without being able to get to a grocery store.  Just nuts all the panic and mad rush.  

 

[Jt17]

what a roller coaster here... i thought you were on board for something bigger when i read your earlier takes....

When it gets to game time he lowers his expectations so if what is forecasted doesn't verify he isn't hurt. But going back to 4-8 still seems right based on all guidance for NYC which is what the Upton Winter storm warning had before bumping to 5-9 overnight.


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[Snowlover11]

4 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

what a roller coaster here... i thought you were on board for something bigger when i read your earlier takes....

Hes siding with the Euro/NAM camp. It’s go time, time to throw out the globals and focus on short term/nowcast.

[EastonSN+]

Hopefully that was the last ne tick on the EURO

[EastonSN+]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We will go Kuchie for an Arctic Clipper