Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[Itstrainingtime]

5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

I know it's only January 13th, but each day of this winter is slowly slipping away day by day. Hopefully we can get one big snowstorm 12 inches plus before March.

There certainly is a bit of a feelin of "here we go again" starting to settle in; however, IF, and it's a big if, if we can get the southern stream open up later this month, I like our chances.

This is an antsy time on this forum because there's enough showing on indices to keep positive people optimistic about future chances, but we're seeing enough can-kicking right now to feed the negative folks with enough sauce to start complaining. Even over the past couple of years when we were stuck in an overall unfavorable pattern, we got enough good looks that were advertised to be coming but either never did show up or if they did, did not produce. So now when the good looks get pushed back again, the I told you so comments start flying. A few weeks ago many thought that most of January would be rocking, today's sentiment is we're looking at the last week of the month into mid February. 

I really do see and empathize with both sides/viewpoints. I think there's enough showing to be optimistic and I think there's been enough can-kicking that it's natural to be skeptical. 

[mahantango#1]

9 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

There certainly is a bit of a feelin of "here we go again" starting to settle in; however, IF, and it's a big if, if we can get the southern stream open up later this month, I like our chances.

This is an antsy time on this forum because there's enough showing on indices to keep positive people optimistic about future chances, but we're seeing enough can-kicking right now to feed the negative folks with enough sauce to start complaining. Even over the past couple of years when we were stuck in an overall unfavorable pattern, we got enough good looks that were advertised to be coming but either never did show up or if they did, did not produce. So now when the good looks get pushed back again, the I told you so comments start flying. A few weeks ago many thought that most of January would be rocking, today's sentiment is we're looking at the last week of the month into mid February. 

I really do see and empathize with both sides/viewpoints. I think there's enough showing to be optimistic and I think there's been enough can-kicking that it's natural to be skeptical. 

It's like if we're not gonna get a meaningful snowfall with this cold, we might as well move along to spring. But I know that won't happen. Hopefully there's hope down the road. Time will tell.  And the only can kicking that will be taking place will be in Harrisburg. Canderson's trash cans after a 50mph wind gust on trash day. 

[Voyager]

45 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

I know it's only January 13th, but each day of this winter is slowly slipping away day by day. Hopefully we can get one big snowstorm 12 inches plus before March.

This is how I feel. I'm not big on nickel and diming with clippers. If it's going to snow, then I want it to be a worthwhile storm.

[mahantango#1]

37 minutes ago, Voyager said:

This is how I feel. I'm not big on nickel and diming with clippers. If it's going to snow, then I want it to be a worthwhile storm.

Absolutely!

[str8liner]

1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

I know it's only January 13th, but each day of this winter is slowly slipping away day by day. Hopefully we can get one big snowstorm 12 inches plus before March.

I literally have not even got the snow blower out and gassed it up yet. I winterized it last year, put it away and have not touched it.

Winters are becoming non existent in my area, except for the cold.

/rant

 

 

[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

It's like if we're not gonna get a meaningful snowfall with this cold, we might as well move along to spring. But I know that won't happen. Hopefully there's hope down the road. Time will tell.  And the only can kicking that will be taking place will be in Harrisburg. Canderson's trash cans after a 50mph wind gust on trash day. 

no offense, but that's your personal take.  Mine, not at all the same. 

I like winter and seeing snow....often.

Even if nickels n dimes.....often. 

Like every other day....often

 

peeps need to be reminded that ones perspective is often based on personal likes/dislikes, and thats just fine.  But just cause you feel something and post about it...doesnt make it happen.  I rarely post w/ my emotion (well in fun sure), but I think most know that I try to keep my personal feelings/wishes out of what I see or share, and try to use some amateur weenie knowledge into possibilities.  We've had a not horrible pattern for weeks now, and yes, it feels wasted to us true snowhounds, but up north has been basically snowcovered since thanksgiving (with the exception of a few small periods/days).

 

 

 

[pasnownut]

15 minutes ago, str8liner said:

I literally have not even got the snow blower out and gassed it up yet. I winterized it last year, put it away and have not touched it.

Winters are becoming non existent in my area, except for the cold.

/rant

 

 

I just tweaked my carb on mine this weekend.  The BEAST is ready to eat....even little crumbs.  

Unfortunately you are rather similar to us SE'rs (piedmont region) w/ your typical winter weather.  That said....we feel your pain.  

Lets hope things get going soon, and for us realists that sprinkle in some optimist for good flavor, later Jan/Feb was supposted to be the end of winter from some early calls, and if the look holds, it may just be the start of the real fun.  For how long....dunno, but it has not been a shutout whatsoever, and I'm not complaining whatsoever........yet.  

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Feels like a good time to remind everyone of the following, all of which is taken from MU's exactly 100 years of snowfall record-keeping.

MU only averages a 12"+ snowfall about once every three years and only averages a little over two events per year with >4".  They average ~9.5 measurable snowfalls a year at an average accumulation of 2.86", for a yearly average ~27".  Over 75% of the accumulated snowfall comes from events <4".  32% of the snow falls in Feb, 30% in Jan, 17% Dec, 16% Mar, 3% Nov, and 1% in April (yes I'm aware these add up to 99 and not 100 ha).  Leanest decade was the 50's with an average annual snowfall of only 21.6".  Current decade is averaging only 14.8" but that is coming on the heels of one of our snowiest from 2010-2019 with an average of 35.5".  Snowiest decade was the 60s with an annual average of 36.2".

[Itstrainingtime]

23 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Feels like a good time to remind everyone of the following, all of which is taken from MU's exactly 100 years of snowfall record-keeping.

MU only averages a 12"+ snowfall about once every three years and only averages a little over two events per year with >4".  They average ~9.5 measurable snowfalls a year at an average accumulation of 2.86", for a yearly average ~27".  Over 75% of the accumulated snowfall comes from events <4".  32% of the snow falls in Feb, 30% in Jan, 17% Dec, 16% Mar, 3% Nov, and 1% in April (yes I'm aware these add up to 99 and not 100 ha).  Leanest decade was the 50's with an average annual snowfall of only 21.6".  Current decade is averaging only 14.8" but that is coming on the heels of one of our snowiest from 2010-2019 with an average of 35.5".  Snowiest decade was the 60s with an annual average of 36.2".

Thank you for 1, providing your customary great stats and B, providing me with a headache trying to digest all of the numbers and percentages. 

You left out the percentage of times in history that Pittsburgh is looking for a new head football coach. 

[pasnownut]

11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Thank you for 1, providing your customary great stats and B, providing me with a headache trying to digest all of the numbers and percentages. 

You left out the percentage of times in history that Pittsburgh is looking for a new head football coach. 

officially or just chatter.  

officially once in last 19yrs

unofficially probably 100's.  I like Tomlin, and wish him well.  

[pasnownut]

I80 northers approve of HH NAM'in they are getting Thursday.

as many models are honing in on SLP track, looks like some snow is possible for them.  Hoping its the start of something.  If not, there's always the next one.  

[pawatch]

3 hours ago, pasnownut said:

I just tweaked my carb on mine this weekend.  The BEAST is ready to eat....even little crumbs.  

Unfortunately you are rather similar to us SE'rs (piedmont region) w/ your typical winter weather.  That said....we feel your pain.  

Lets hope things get going soon, and for us realists that sprinkle in some optimist for good flavor, later Jan/Feb was supposted to be the end of winter from some early calls, and if the look holds, it may just be the start of the real fun.  For how long....dunno, but it has not been a shutout whatsoever, and I'm not complaining whatsoever........yet.  

My blower has got a lot of use this year. Mostly on 1.5” snows. If I don’t clean my drive it turns to ice. And probably wouldn’t have melted.

“300’ drive”

Thursday looks brutal with the windchills.

[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, pawatch said:

My blower has got a lot of use this year. Mostly on 1.5” snows. If I don’t clean my drive it turns to ice. And probably wouldn’t have melted.

“300’ drive”

Thursday looks brutal with the windchills.

wow....

can you say.....snowPLOW!

thats a long driveway!!

you can get a plow cheap on marketplace.  I got brand new one that was for an Exmark Tractor (for free), and cut mount bracket apart and fabricated it to be a front pin mount for my UTV.  Works like a charm (minus my less than stellar welding), and it's saved my back a ton when at cabin.  

Hoping you get to use your blower Thurs.(not sure why i said Friday earlier other than I friday on the brain as i may have to travel from Etown to Lock Haven to Mansfield that day.)

Then I'll just stay up north and play w/ my plow.  I'll turn the negative in the the positive.