Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[AccuChris]

0z 3km NAM QPF is pretty paltry


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[mahantango#1]

3 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

0z 3km NAM QPF is pretty paltry


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Everything fading away?

[AccuChris]

Everything fading away?

Too soon to tell. This is one run of one model but will need to see what the rest of the 0z suite shows


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[Jns2183]

My brother got my daughter and I , a nephew of his dog. Pure Husky. I had to put my dog down a year ago. He was alive before my daughter was born. He knew I was looking for one because I thought it was the right time with her almost 11. Yeah I definitely shed some tears with this one. My daughter is on cloud 9.

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[Jns2183]

Gfs says get ready for true ice storm

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[Jns2183]

Merry Christmas to all

Apparently the nuclear tests in the 60s had a significant impact on weather. We all know what that impact was in this area.

https://purehost.bath.ac.uk/ws/portalfiles/portal/205424677/PrecipMod_Paper_preprint.pdf

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[Ruin]

3 hours ago, AccuChris said:

0z 3km NAM QPF is pretty paltry


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lol omfg models are pathetic ok hold up before you bash me. We go from one model run that produces .50-1.00 of liquid to now 0.05 for a vast majority of the state? We deserve better this isnt even a advisory lvl event. If each model run over lets say 4-5 of the same model showed less and less ok id accept it. But 1 model run to the next and it just vanishes like a fart in the wind? The National Weather Service (NWS) operates on an annual budget of roughly 1.3-1.4 billion dollars yearly. When they do get it wrong which is more often then many want to admit nothing happens people accept the weather forecast was wrong. we deserve better then this has the outcome happen yet? No but what the hell is with all the flopping like a dead fish with model all the dang time?

[mahantango#1]

Merry Christmas everyone! 

[Jns2183]

lol omfg models are pathetic ok hold up before you bash me. We go from one model run that produces .50-1.00 of liquid to now 0.05 for a vast majority of the state? We deserve better this isnt even a advisory lvl event. If each model run over lets say 4-5 of the same model showed less and less ok id accept it. But 1 model run to the next and it just vanishes like a fart in the wind? The National Weather Service (NWS) operates on an annual budget of roughly 1.3-1.4 billion dollars yearly. When they do get it wrong which is more often then many want to admit nothing happens people accept the weather forecast was wrong. we deserve better then this has the outcome happen yet? No but what the hell is with all the flopping like a dead fish with model all the dang time?

You do realize every other model is 4x-5x that?

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[canderson]

Merry Christmas, all! 

[paweather]

Merry. Christmas all! Thanks for allowing me to post again. I am fortunate to have great people on this forum that I never met in person just by name! 

[pawatch]

Merry Christmas All! May the snow gods be with us this upcoming year!

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Merry Xmas to all! Kids are already done opening gifts over here. Smiles a mile wide. 

[mahantango#1]

[paweather]

8 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Wow I’m in zone 3 that is calling for 3-6”  I’ll take it but high doubts. 

[mahantango#1]

1 minute ago, paweather said:

Wow I’m in zone 3 that is calling for 3-6”  I’ll take it but high doubts. 

I doubt it too. That map conflicts with the NWS.

[canderson]

16 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Someone making this map had too much egg nog. 

[mahantango#1]