E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[Lucy Pull]

GEFS a little more amplified.

Operational was on the amped and western side of ensembles. A small cluster of members very close to operational. 

[Duca892]

Other than the EURO/EUROAI I believe almost everything trended better at 12z and GFS continued that at 18z. It’s certainly trying 

[coastal front]

Gfs would be close to an all timer in 30 years living by the beaches. Desperately need the euro to show support for even a moderate hit at this stage and then I’ll really believe 

[coastal front]

Euro ai was wise but the regular euro improved up stairs.lets hope we can build on this momentum we built up today lol

[LVblizzard]

18z Euro doesn’t give us what we want but it improved quite a bit over 12z at both H5 and the surface. Tonight’s 0z runs will be very interesting.

[Heisy]

18z euro a huge positive step towards gfs/cmc. I just hope it’s not an off run hiccup. If we build off it at 00z we’re in the game.

[Duca892]

Still needs a lot it seems, but we still have about a 100hrs to go yet

[Newman]

I mean, even as is, much of SE PA gets a light 1-3" snow from the H5 pass on the Euro. I don't think there's a single model that is a complete whiff.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Looks like winter isnt over either after this weekend per the GFS. Models continue to trend colder next 2 weeks. Here's the March 3 system: