E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[pl0k00n111]

5 hours ago, Albedoman said:

 I am still on board with this prediction guys,  My biggest concern is really severe ice jamming and floods by March.  If this pattern even hints at relaxing and opening the Gulf of America with moisture, we are in some deep flooding shit folks with ice jammming.  Bridges may go down throughout the region and the folks on Adams Island on the Lehigh River in the LV, their homes will be destroyed  and or flooded.  The ice jams that I remeber while I was the Twp manager in Lower Mt Bethel Township, I saw mobile homes and cars 40 feet in the air  stuck in trees. Its going to be really really bad if we get a quick warmup with flooding rains after this pattern change, especially around the 22nd time period. 

Here is a ice jam flood in my parents backyard back in 1994 on the neshaminy creek! Destroyed a steel shelter with ease. 

https://youtu.be/4cBZ7FzovYg?si=6t9P1b7Rov8UDorU

[RedSky]

Oh nelly wind blew over chip the 30ft ice cream man on 309 in Coopersburg 

[anthonyweather]

Next period to keep an eye on. PV on our side should be some colder air to work with.

Probably another rug pull from models. Before you know it will be March


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[anthonyweather]

Ground blizzards today


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[Duca892]

Well next weeks storm is at least back on the GFS. Too far north but let’s see

 

[MickeyTim6533]

3 hours ago, anthonyweather said:

Probably another rug pull from models. Before you know it will be March


.

Sun Angle

[Birds~69]

7 hours ago, anthonyweather said:

Ground blizzards today


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Those areas where there’s fields/open space  on both sides of the road the blowing snow creates havoc…

3F

[Ralph Wiggum]

10 hours ago, RedSky said:

Oh nelly wind blew over chip the 30ft ice cream man on 309 in Coopersburg 

Sad day

[Duca892]

Feels like next week on GFS is just a much warmer version of the last storm we had 

[Birds~69]

11 hours ago, RedSky said:

Oh nelly wind blew over chip the 30ft ice cream man on 309 in Coopersburg 

 

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Sad day

His face planted in the ground…foreshadow, our remaining Winter?

6F

[Birds~69]

Healthy upright Chip…

8f

[MickeyTim6533]

1 hour ago, Duca892 said:

Feels like next week on GFS is just a much warmer version of the last storm we had 

[Mikeymac5306]

Been a volunteer firefighter for 35 years and this morning was the absolute coldest fire I have ever been to. 

I opened my mouth to breathe, and it felt like I was inhaling ice cubes. 

8 degrees now. 

[Hurricane Agnes]

I bottomed out at 4 (4.3) and it's currently a sunny and breezy 8 with dp -4.

[JTA66]

42 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

Been a volunteer firefighter for 35 years and this morning was the absolute coldest fire I have ever been to. 

I opened my mouth to breathe, and it felt like I was inhaling ice cubes. 

8 degrees now. 

Come July you’ll be begging for this weather.  

8F

[Ralph Wiggum]

We are in the thick of it. 7F and my auto fill home heating oil company let my tank run dry. The joys of home ownership. Sitting at 61F in the living room. Emergency oil fill on the way.

Any of you guys ever bleed a furnace oil line?

Ensembles signaling some wintry weather 15th then again 20th with another AO plunge and more winter for at least the remainder of Feb, tho weeklies and cfs stuff suggest March will be quite the ride. 

[Albedoman]

13 hours ago, RedSky said:

Oh nelly wind blew over chip the 30ft ice cream man on 309 in Coopersburg 

https://www.mcall.com/2026/02/07/giant-chip-split-high-winds-inside-scoop-coopersburg/

[Chief83]

6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

We are in the thick of it. 7F and my auto fill home heating oil company let my tank run dry. The joys of home ownership. Sitting at 61F in the living room. Emergency oil fill on the way.

Any of you guys ever bleed a furnace oil line?

Ensembles signaling some wintry weather 15th then again 20th with another AO plunge and more winter for at least the remainder of Feb, tho weeklies and cfs stuff suggest March will be quite the ride. 

Same happened to me. Ran out of oil.  In my case my oil delivery guy did the bleed. It took about 2 minutes. I was going to do it. You tube video shows it . Not hard to do. 

[ChescoWx]

East Nantmeal looks like it had the coldest reading this morning with a low of 2.5 above zero. Of note Atglen DEOS, KMQS Coatesville Airport and the West Grove DEOS stations all will tie the County record for most consecutive days below freezing high days today at 16 straight days set way back in 1961! They are on track to set a new consecutive record of 17 days tomorrow. It looks like all spots will finally get above freezing on both Tuesday and Wednesday before falling back below freezing for max temps on both Thursday and Friday. The week looks pretty dry with only a slight chance of some precipitation toward Wednesday.

[JTA66]

28 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

We are in the thick of it. 7F and my auto fill home heating oil company let my tank run dry. The joys of home ownership. Sitting at 61F in the living room. Emergency oil fill on the way.

Any of you guys ever bleed a furnace oil line?

Ensembles signaling some wintry weather 15th then again 20th with another AO plunge and more winter for at least the remainder of Feb, tho weeklies and cfs stuff suggest March will be quite the ride. 

That’s rough! Fortunately it’s never happened to me but it’s always been a fear of mine. I got a refill last year and I must have been down to my last drop. The guy knocked on my door to see if I was still alive…lol!

Good luck!

[Ralph Wiggum]

27 minutes ago, Chief83 said:

Same happened to me. Ran out of oil.  In my case my oil delivery guy did the bleed. It took about 2 minutes. I was going to do it. You tube video shows it . Not hard to do. 

I was going to do it. Just not sure if I need to turn power off at the emergency switch or leave it on. Also, should keep the heat turned to 'off' on the thermostat while I bleed or does that need to be turned on also?

[KamuSnow]

39 minutes ago, Chief83 said:

Same happened to me. Ran out of oil.  In my case my oil delivery guy did the bleed. It took about 2 minutes. I was going to do it. You tube video shows it . Not hard to do. 

I think the emergency delivery guys know how to do it, happened to us when we first moved here, and the driver took care of it. @Ralph Wiggum

[Ralph Wiggum]

ICON is a MECS next Sunday. 

[Mikeymac5306]

1 hour ago, JTA66 said:

Come July you’ll be begging for this weather.  

8F

Never! I will take 100-degree weather over this any day! Even fighting fire. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

GFS also with a hit. Winter not wanting to end. Its like the jelly of the month club.

[JTA66]

But Ralph, that’s unpossible. Winter is over 

[Ralph Wiggum]

5 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

But Ralph, that’s unpossible. Winter is over 

GFS clipped us but bombogenesis right after it passed. Was close to something bigger. Ends up sub 970 low in the Atlantic.

[Voyager]

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

We are in the thick of it. 7F and my auto fill home heating oil company let my tank run dry. The joys of home ownership. Sitting at 61F in the living room. Emergency oil fill on the way.

Any of you guys ever bleed a furnace oil line?

Ensembles signaling some wintry weather 15th then again 20th with another AO plunge and more winter for at least the remainder of Feb, tho weeklies and cfs stuff suggest March will be quite the ride. 

Are you serious? This is just going to keep on keeping on?

[Voyager]

22 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

Never! I will take 100-degree weather over this any day! Even fighting fire. 

I'm not a fire fighter, but I'm right there with you regarding summer heat vs winter cold.

[RedSky]

51 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Are you serious? This is just going to keep on keeping on?

Unfortunately yes

3 polar vortex disrupting CME's in November, December and start of February with one of the top active ending solar cycles since the Carrington event. This could be a one in 500 year or more occurrence. Historic stuff studies will be done.