The Iceman Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Heisy said: Man it’s freezing out. Absolutely brutal. Anyway, for the 15th range threat. Just sticking with the euro Ai since imo it’s the best model at this range. Seems to me if the energy comes out too early it gets crushed, too late and we lose confluence over the area and it’s rain for the city. We basically need the euro Ai progression, but with improved 50/50 setup. I’m confident there will be a storm, frozen? Eh It’s the rebound storm. -NAO and ao are surging towards neutral around that time, like you said if the confluence holds we snow, and probably snow big. I will say the models have tended to overplay the weakening of the NAO and AO ridging in the long range all year long. This is the pattern change storm, I don’t expect any model to have a hold on it until at least mid week. I like the look on the Euro AI though and especially the ensembles in the 500 means.. we run the risk of raining but the pattern is ripe for a big juicy qpf storm which is well needed either way… 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 11F…winds blowing snow all around /off rooftops is relaxing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 13F here, and gusty. Ended with .2" snow past 18 hrs. In other news, I finally utilized the ignore feature on this site. 2 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: 13F here, and gusty. Ended with .2" snow past 18 hrs. In other news, I finally utilized the ignore feature on this site. Thing is, you will still see that persons post if someone else quotes him/her…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, Birds~69 said: Thing is, you will still see that persons post if someone else quotes him/her…. Just added last evenings snow to my signature and saw i am at 30.6" on the season. Still a tenth of an inch shy of what we saw by the airport for Blizzard 96 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Getting nastier out there by the minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Temp down 3 degrees in last 25 mins. Sitting at 9F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Increasing winds starting to roll in... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago It wasn’t a HECS but moving my shovel to the back of the garage worked its magic again. OTOH, my shovel has spent the better part of the last decade there, so there’s that. It’s slice open a taun-taun with your light saber and crawl inside cold, down to 9F. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago With our 1.3" of snow since yesterday here in EN we are up to 35.4" of snow for the season. This is almost at our average for an entire winter season of 35.5" The extreme cold warning continues until tomorrow at noon. Temperatures have fallen into the single digits across the area and will struggle to get much above 10 degrees with wind gusts as high as 55mph. Lows tonight will be within a couple degrees of zero and highs tomorrow into the mid-teens. We finally see a moderating trend with 4 climate stations across Chester County finally rising above freezing on Tuesday after a record setting 17 days below freezing. We might see some light freezing rain or rain on Wednesday as temperatures rise into the upper 30's. Models still hint at a storm possibility toward next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago On 2/1/2026 at 7:11 PM, Albedoman said: Pattern change 6-12" 2/14-17 time period I am still on board with this prediction guys, My biggest concern is really severe ice jamming and floods by March. If this pattern even hints at relaxing and opening the Gulf of America with moisture, we are in some deep flooding shit folks with ice jammming. Bridges may go down throughout the region and the folks on Adams Island on the Lehigh River in the LV, their homes will be destroyed and or flooded. The ice jams that I remeber while I was the Twp manager in Lower Mt Bethel Township, I saw mobile homes and cars 40 feet in the air stuck in trees. Its going to be really really bad if we get a quick warmup with flooding rains after this pattern change, especially around the 22nd time period. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Ice Jam guy! 9F/Gusty 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Gusts are still increasing. Temp down to 12.6F with chills down to -5F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Sunny windy NW 20-35 mph gusting to 45-50 10f humidity 35% dew point -3 windchill -13 picked up 0.20” of snow last night. Total Snow Year: 25.80” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago When the Stop sign is frantically moving back/forth/side/side doing that flippy-floppy motion like it's having a seizure you know it's windy... 9F/highest gusts of the day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berks_SnowMan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Doesn’t seem too windy outside of Reading, Pa right now. Was worse this morning.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief83 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Worcester, PA. Highest gust 37.8 mph. Lowest wind chill -9.7. Brutal outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18 minutes ago, Berks_SnowMan said: Doesn’t seem too windy outside of Reading, Pa right now. Was worse this morning. . Really? im in Exeter township and we have 26 mph winds...with higher gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 56 minutes ago Share Posted 56 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said: Really? im in Exeter township and we have 26 mph winds...with higher gusts Highest winds are moving east slowly in time as the high pressure builds in from the northwest and the bombing coastal storm slowly pulls away in the Atlantic gradually lessening the pressure gradient west to east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago 10 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Highest winds are moving east slowly in time as the high pressure builds in from the northwest and the bombing coastal storm slowly pulls away in the Atlantic gradually lessening the pressure gradient west to east. This is true however winds are still forecast to gust to 45mph overnight Currently i have a lull would estimate I have 15mph winds gusting to 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 32 minutes ago Share Posted 32 minutes ago Valentines weekend is now a two storm deal first storm suppressed into the Carolina's and a follow up storm north late weekend or that Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 26 minutes ago Share Posted 26 minutes ago Except for the euro op it loves the southeast nothing like it's Ai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 24 minutes ago Share Posted 24 minutes ago Always great to see Boston get a surprise snowstorm in single digit temperatures Becoming bitter just like the cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 20 minutes ago Share Posted 20 minutes ago Winds gusting close to 60mph in Harrisburg i suspect they return soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted 17 minutes ago Share Posted 17 minutes ago 1 hour ago, BBasile said: Gusts are still increasing. Temp down to 12.6F with chills down to -5F. 52mph top gust so far out here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted 14 minutes ago Share Posted 14 minutes ago 2 hours ago, JTA66 said: It wasn’t a HECS but moving my shovel to the back of the garage worked its magic again. OTOH, my shovel has spent the better part of the last decade there, so there’s that. It’s slice open a taun-taun with your light saber and crawl inside cold, down to 9F. Good job with the shovel, thanks! No kettle fire tonight, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 minutes ago Share Posted 2 minutes ago Winds are starting to return No snow to blow though just my two week old plaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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