E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[Voyager]

41 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Thing is we have had several below average months in a row. At some point, it's got to regress to the mean. If I were betting on this, seasonal mid-February, warm March, and torch April is the way to go. Just look at 2015. The bottom fell out of the thermometer in February, March was below average (mostly due to the first week), but things turned warmer in April, and May was near record warm.

From your keyboard to God's ears...

This winter has completely stolen my soul. I don't mind the cold snaps if we can moderate periodically in between, but this year the cold has been relentless.

Some love it. I don't.

[Birds~69]

Damn birds chirping out there like no one’s business putting a damper on the winter vibe. Cold, snow piles all around and birds chirping just don’t mix…

17f

[ChescoWx]

Today, across multiple sites in Chester County will be the 13th consecutive day with below freezing temperatures. This is already the 3rd longest streak since 1893. These locations should establish a new prolonged cold record on Monday which will be the 17th day. Also, today will be the 20th consecutive day with continuous snow cover. This is the 22nd longest stretch with snow cover since 1893 and our longest streak since the 32 days from January 31, 2021 through March 3, 2021. Our greatest stretch was the 61 days back in 1978 from January 12th through March 13th. We continue with well below normal temperatures through early next week. An arctic cold front crosses the area overnight Friday into Saturday morning likely to bring potentially brief heavy snow squalls with an inch or two of snow possible in spots with briefly poor visibility and driving conditions. Highs for Saturday will occur just before dawn with temperatures then crash into the single digits during the day with wind chills in the minus teens below zero. What a memorable winter this has already been and we still have more than 6 weeks to go!

[ChescoWx]

[TheClimateChanger]

1 hour ago, ChescoWx said:

Thanks for the update, Paul. I think the surprising thing is how common this really is over there in Western ChesCo. The creative ranking makes it seem more impressive, but really 39 years had as long or longer stretches (of what 132, 133 winters - maybe less if there's incomplete data?). So about 30% of the time assuming full data, perhaps higher. Not too bad - looks like you guys were due for a harsh one with just one such stretch since 2015 prior to the current one! I suppose there's some time to climb on the list still as well this go around.

Curious - do you always count ties as only one rank? 22nd longest really makes it sound so much more impressive than tied with 4 other years for 36th longest, which is how it actually ranks unless I'm misunderstanding your data above?

[ChescoWx]

10 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Thanks for the update, Paul. I think the surprising thing is how common this really is over there in Western ChesCo. The creative ranking makes it seem more impressive, but really 39 years had as long or longer stretches (of what 132, 133 winters - maybe less if there's incomplete data?). So about 30% of the time assuming full data, perhaps higher. Not too bad - looks like you guys were due for a harsh one with just one such stretch since 2015 prior to the current one! I suppose there's some time to climb on the list still as well this go around.

Curious - do you always count ties as only one rank? 22nd longest really makes it sound so much more impressive than tied with 4 other years for 36th longest, which is how it actually ranks unless I'm misunderstanding your data above?

Thanks climatechanger! on this type of count - always! 

[Duca892]

GFS saying lets party next midweek for a fairly quick hitter (only have TT so 6hr increments) 

[ChescoWx]

[The Iceman]

One storm at a time... like Birds mentioned yesterday, I'm excited for my coating to an inch early sat morning, it's trending better across all guidance. 

[Birds~69]

14 hours ago, snowwors2 said:

She ruined my mojo when she did that funky hairstyle thing last fall…Now it looks like she’s letting the dark grow in…Seems she and Adam J. are having competitive hair crisis issues‼️

Adam and Cecily on FB talking about hair. Ya know, girl talk... 

25F/Sunny

*Anxiously awaiting the massive Friday squall...

[Mikeymac5306]

The midweek storm shreds the weekend storm apart per GFS. We would still get a nice event. 

 

CMC shows a weak front next midweek followed by a cutter. 

[JTA66]

I returned the shovel to the back of the garage, it worked a few weeks ago.

[Mikeymac5306]

Extreme Cold Watch hoisted. That's one we don't see here often

High Wind watches for the coastal areas. 

[Birds~69]

30F @ 2:50pm…may not make it above or even to freezing.

We have pissed away tons of cold air with really nothing to show except keeping our current snow pack in check…makes my brain rattle a bit.

[The Iceman]

HRRR really weenies it up for tomorrow night

 

[The Iceman]

22 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

30F @ 2:50pm…may not make it above or even to freezing.

We have pissed away tons of cold air with really nothing to show except keeping our current snow pack in check…makes my brain rattle a bit.

I'm just glad to know we can still do long sustained cold in these parts... I was getting worried that transient cold was the new norm.

[LVblizzard]

6 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

HRRR really weenies it up for tomorrow night

 

NAM got better for tomorrow too. Drops 1-3” rather than the C-1” it’s been showing.

[Birds~69]

17 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

I'm just glad to know we can still do long sustained cold in these parts... I was getting worried that transient cold was the new norm.

Yeah, I was thinking the same. We really didn’t cash in with the cold air but it’s still capable.

A inch tomorrow and a nasty cold windy weekend is alright by me… 

31f @ 3:50pm…doesn’t look like freezing will happen.

[ChescoWx]

Indeed the NAM a little more impressed with the snow squalls tomorrow night. Saturday will be the coldest day of what has been one of our coldest winters in years!

[Birds~69]

NJ may receive a nice little event...

29F

[Duca892]

Andddd the midweek storm on the GFS is like nothing like it was at 12z lol 

 

[Birds~69]

3 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Andddd the midweek storm on the GFS is like nothing like it was at 12z lol 

 

Which literally means nothing that far out. Track the stuff on your doorstep first...

28F

 

[RedSky]

25 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

NJ may receive a nice little event...

29F

Or mby with the NAM's 2.1"

 

[RedSky]

Snow depth 10" 

It's a glacier

 

[Birds~69]

32 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Snow depth 10" 

It's a glacier

 

I tell ya I don't think I lost more than 1-2" (if?) from the storm 2 weeks ago. Depth-wise everything looks practically the same. Lawns, piles on side of roads and parking lot mountains. And it's not the dirty black crap either...it's generally still white.

27F    

[Birds~69]

47 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Or mby with the NAM's 2.1"

 

Lol...I just seen that little 2.1" circle in your area. Yeah, that won't happen...

[snowwors2]

2 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

I tell ya I don't think I lost more than 1-2" (if?) from the storm 2 weeks ago. Depth-wise everything looks practically the same. Lawns, piles on side of roads and parking lot mountains. And it's not the dirty black crap either...it's generally still white.

27F    

JUST said that to my wife this afternoon when we were out and about driving outside of our very rural area‼️

[anthonyweather]

I tell ya I don't think I lost more than 1-2" (if?) from the storm 2 weeks ago. Depth-wise everything looks practically the same. Lawns, piles on side of roads and parking lot mountains. And it's not the dirty black crap either...it's generally still white.
27F    

We’ve been having to use the propane torch on snow at work (water dept work) and the snow turns black and doesn’t melt…..


.

[KamuSnow]

5 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

30F @ 2:50pm…may not make it above or even to freezing.

We have pissed away tons of cold air with really nothing to show except keeping our current snow pack in check…makes my brain rattle a bit.

I'm ready for some fresh powder to blow around, but imagine this cold spell with bare ground or a dusting, no thanks. This has been awesome, even exceptional. Hoping for at least one more significant snow, ideally while some of what we have is still on the ground. I am enjoying this winter!

I did try sledding earlier, and I either need to lose some weight or get a bigger sled, the sleet layer was settling underneath the sled and slowing me down. If I got up to speed faster it might work. Fun stuff, lol. 23F currently.

[Birds~69]

18 minutes ago, anthonyweather said:

We’ve been having to use the propane torch on snow at work (water dept work) and the snow turns black and doesn’t melt…..


.

Non melting snow? Now that's a interesting concept....probably a dream come true for some weenies,