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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion


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Just now, Duca892 said:

Can and should we maybe expect this to continue? I am not trying to cling to too much hope especially for the Lehigh Valley... but hard not to at least keep peeking now

IMO, if the 12z suite tomorrow has this or better, then we are likely onto something.

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There has been a lot of complaints on my FB page that we have had a "snow drought" this season. So I posted the below. "Through today some of you may be surprised to learn that here in the philly burbs of Chester County PA we are actually above normal in seasonal snowfall through today. With one significant snow and a bunch of little events we are at 12.8" of snow this season. Average through today is only 9.4". This means over 75% of our annual snowfall on average remains to fall. Here in Western Chester County, we average 36.1" of snow while Eastern Chester County is ~32" of snow. Maybe surprising to some of you but over at the PHL Airport they only average 21.7" of snow. Of note we on average are not too far off of the average snowfall for Chicago IL (38.4"). Any surprises with these stats? Below is our average snowfall by month. October (0.4") / November (1.2") / December (5.5") / January (9.7") / February (12.8") / March (6.0") / April (0.4")"

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4 hours ago, ChescoWx said:

Of note today back in 1912 Chester County recorded its lowest temperature on record of 19 degrees below zero at Coatesville 1SW. This was equaled at Phoenixville 1E (1/22/61) and Octoraro Lake (1/22/84.) Nothing close to that today here in Chesco...however our coldest weather of the season will arrive next week. This is also on average our coldest week of the year. We could see some light rain both today and especially later tonight this may change to a bit of light snow toward tomorrow morning which could make for some slippery spots for rush hour. Temperatures tomorrow will fall through the 20's during the day. We stay below freezing on Friday but moderate a bit with a bit of snow possible on Saturday with the arrival of the arctic front. Next week will feature well below normal temperatures.

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I’m sure to get to -19 we had snow on the ground that would be interesting.  I saw today in center city our heat island is well in effect as weeping cherry trees were flowering and blooming. 

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2 hours ago, ChescoWx said:

There has been a lot of complaints on my FB page that we have had a "snow drought" this season. So I posted the below. "Through today some of you may be surprised to learn that here in the philly burbs of Chester County PA we are actually above normal in seasonal snowfall through today. With one significant snow and a bunch of little events we are at 12.8" of snow this season. Average through today is only 9.4". This means over 75% of our annual snowfall on average remains to fall. Here in Western Chester County, we average 36.1" of snow while Eastern Chester County is ~32" of snow. Maybe surprising to some of you but over at the PHL Airport they only average 21.7" of snow. Of note we on average are not too far off of the average snowfall for Chicago IL (38.4"). Any surprises with these stats? Below is our average snowfall by month. October (0.4") / November (1.2") / December (5.5") / January (9.7") / February (12.8") / March (6.0") / April (0.4")"

9.4” here in Media and about 2.67” liquid since November 30th 2025 I’m fine with this above normal for here despite cold dry stretches which is typical in a La Niña winter or any winter. 

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3 hours ago, JTA66 said:

Agreed. Unlike the HECS it had for tomorrow, it has some support this time. Still a long ways to go, though. Patience!

Period around Jan 27-29 is the one to watch. It is a window ive been seeing for a couple days now and I noted it in the other sub. Patience will pay off. 24-25 system is N or W then pushes the boundary under us. Followup should be able to do something with cold air in place. Whether thats a weak overunning wave or an amped up thump to mix type, we will have to wait and see. 

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5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Icon gives se pa a modest little event on Saturday 

NAM and RGEM have a 1-3” event NW of 202 as well. Would really like to at least see something, it’s been weeks since we’ve had anything wintry aside from Sunday’s graupel squalls.

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