michsnowfreak Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: I've never had a 20 incher in March, the month just doesn't have the juice Ironically. The biggest snowstorm on record in Toledo is 22.0" on March 1, 1900. And Detroit 24.5" April 6, 1886 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 44 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Ironically. The biggest snowstorm on record in Toledo is 22.0" on March 1, 1900. And Detroit 24.5" April 6, 1886 Spring snowstorms actually have the benefit of potentially much warmer air to the south causing a stronger storm. It just has to have cold enough air to work with on the cold side which isn’t always a guarantee the deeper into March you go. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Pure zzzzzs + East coast pattern, rough 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 The Wisconsin-Illinois state line is a naturally occurring snow boundary. It’s wild. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 hours ago, DocATL said: The Wisconsin-Illinois state line is a naturally occurring snow boundary. It’s wild. Just like it is in the opposite direction for warm fronts/tornadic supercells, with very rare exceptions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 6 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Pure zzzzzs + East coast pattern, rough looks active to me, and still not any sort of east coast pattern in sight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 9 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: looks active to me, and still not any sort of east coast pattern in sight. Models will likely continue to struggle with the details too. Expect some good and bad busts in the near future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RemoteSenses Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 I don’t trust the GFS at all this year - I’m looking at it as a total outlier entirely. ECM is really the only one worth watching IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Euro clipper fest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 We got a low end mid week duster and a fantasy range overrunning setup to track, neither looks major but could be worse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: We got a low end mid week duster and a fantasy range overrunning setup to track, neither looks major but could be worse Bears game mood flakes shot looking more likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Dare I say east coast pattern? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 7 minutes ago, DocATL said: Dare I say east coast pattern? Dare I say Florida panhandle pattern? https://x.com/floridatropics1/status/2012502858013307241?s=61 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 zzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Definitely not zzzzz. Next week looks interesting for sure. High potential. (Peaks at latest gfs model lol is that a triple phaser?) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Chicago916 said: Definitely not zzzzz. Next week looks interesting for sure. High potential. People quickly forget how unreliable the models are past 72 hours. How strong the clippers and phasing will determine how north the potential for next weekend can go. Models struggle with phasing and clipper strengths so who knows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 That overrunning event on 12z Goofus would be a 36-48 hour event for a whole lot of us. Won’t happen but at least we get some eye candy. That’s a big daddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 "the week before Groundhogs day IV storm" thread. Too soon for it though. That would be a ton of ice given the cold air mass prior. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 21 minutes ago, DocATL said: That overrunning event on 12z Goofus would be a 36-48 hour event for a whole lot of us. Won’t happen but at least we get some eye candy. That’s a big daddy. Dryslotted. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Dryslotted. Likely . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 hours ago, DocATL said: That overrunning event on 12z Goofus would be a 36-48 hour event for a whole lot of us. Won’t happen but at least we get some eye candy. That’s a big daddy. No 12z support 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 hours ago, Chicago916 said: Definitely not zzzzz. Next week looks interesting for sure. High potential. (Peaks at latest gfs model lol is that a triple phaser?) Nope, just more of the same garbage as far as the eye can see. Eastern lakes and LES peeps will continue to be placated though. Tolerable pattern for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 No 12z support Kind of a mirage and stream interaction never seems to work out in MBY. More likely scenario is an upper south/Ohio valley paste job with the western GL praying for a favorable clipper trajectory. Wisconsin cashes in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Eps warm in fantasy range, def sick of the cad and it's just starting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 GFS operational was much wimpier with next weekend’s storm but there are several good hits on the ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Zzzzz 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 10 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Zzzzz KEY MESSAGES - ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING, WITH SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS EXPECTED. - A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING WITH WEST NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH. SOME BLOWING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. - BITTERLY COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH WIND CHILLS 15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING. - A CLIPPER SYSTEM MAY BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW TO PARTS OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 7 hours ago, sbnwx85 said: GFS operational was much wimpier with next weekend’s storm but there are several good hits on the ensembles THERE REMAINS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY FOR THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ACTIVE PATTERN FOR OR NEAR THE LOCAL AREA. THE ENSEMBLES SEEM TO BE IN A LITTLE BETTER AGREEMENT FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THE LOCAL AREA, BUT THERE IS STILL A DECENT SPREAD IN POSSIBILITIES. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER PRECIP DEVELOPS FOR THE LOCAL AREA, CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE TO FAVOR A COLD/VERY COLD PATTERN. CM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 23 minutes ago, Baum said: KEY MESSAGES - ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING, WITH SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS EXPECTED. - A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING WITH WEST NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH. SOME BLOWING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. - BITTERLY COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH WIND CHILLS 15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING. - A CLIPPER SYSTEM MAY BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW TO PARTS OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. Dusters and cad aren't my jam 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 “Nickels and dimes, yours and mine. Did you cash in all your dreams?” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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