michsnowfreak Posted Thursday at 05:53 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 05:53 PM 5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: I've never had a 20 incher in March, the month just doesn't have the juice Ironically. The biggest snowstorm on record in Toledo is 22.0" on March 1, 1900. And Detroit 24.5" April 6, 1886 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted Thursday at 06:41 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:41 PM 44 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Ironically. The biggest snowstorm on record in Toledo is 22.0" on March 1, 1900. And Detroit 24.5" April 6, 1886 Spring snowstorms actually have the benefit of potentially much warmer air to the south causing a stronger storm. It just has to have cold enough air to work with on the cold side which isn’t always a guarantee the deeper into March you go. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Friday at 10:18 AM Share Posted Friday at 10:18 AM Pure zzzzzs + East coast pattern, rough 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted Friday at 01:00 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:00 PM The Wisconsin-Illinois state line is a naturally occurring snow boundary. It’s wild. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted Friday at 03:14 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:14 PM 2 hours ago, DocATL said: The Wisconsin-Illinois state line is a naturally occurring snow boundary. It’s wild. Just like it is in the opposite direction for warm fronts/tornadic supercells, with very rare exceptions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Friday at 04:37 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:37 PM 6 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Pure zzzzzs + East coast pattern, rough looks active to me, and still not any sort of east coast pattern in sight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted Friday at 04:48 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 04:48 PM 9 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: looks active to me, and still not any sort of east coast pattern in sight. Models will likely continue to struggle with the details too. Expect some good and bad busts in the near future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RemoteSenses Posted Friday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:47 PM I don’t trust the GFS at all this year - I’m looking at it as a total outlier entirely. ECM is really the only one worth watching IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted Friday at 06:19 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:19 PM Euro clipper fest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted yesterday at 10:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:45 AM We got a low end mid week duster and a fantasy range overrunning setup to track, neither looks major but could be worse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted yesterday at 12:44 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:44 PM 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: We got a low end mid week duster and a fantasy range overrunning setup to track, neither looks major but could be worse Bears game mood flakes shot looking more likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Dare I say east coast pattern? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 7 minutes ago, DocATL said: Dare I say east coast pattern? Dare I say Florida panhandle pattern? https://x.com/floridatropics1/status/2012502858013307241?s=61 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago zzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Definitely not zzzzz. Next week looks interesting for sure. High potential. (Peaks at latest gfs model lol is that a triple phaser?) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Just now, Chicago916 said: Definitely not zzzzz. Next week looks interesting for sure. High potential. People quickly forget how unreliable the models are past 72 hours. How strong the clippers and phasing will determine how north the potential for next weekend can go. Models struggle with phasing and clipper strengths so who knows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago That overrunning event on 12z Goofus would be a 36-48 hour event for a whole lot of us. Won’t happen but at least we get some eye candy. That’s a big daddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago "the week before Groundhogs day IV storm" thread. Too soon for it though. That would be a ton of ice given the cold air mass prior. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 21 minutes ago, DocATL said: That overrunning event on 12z Goofus would be a 36-48 hour event for a whole lot of us. Won’t happen but at least we get some eye candy. That’s a big daddy. Dryslotted. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Dryslotted. Likely . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 2 hours ago, DocATL said: That overrunning event on 12z Goofus would be a 36-48 hour event for a whole lot of us. Won’t happen but at least we get some eye candy. That’s a big daddy. No 12z support 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 3 hours ago, Chicago916 said: Definitely not zzzzz. Next week looks interesting for sure. High potential. (Peaks at latest gfs model lol is that a triple phaser?) Nope, just more of the same garbage as far as the eye can see. Eastern lakes and LES peeps will continue to be placated though. Tolerable pattern for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago No 12z support Kind of a mirage and stream interaction never seems to work out in MBY. More likely scenario is an upper south/Ohio valley paste job with the western GL praying for a favorable clipper trajectory. Wisconsin cashes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Eps warm in fantasy range, def sick of the cad and it's just starting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago GFS operational was much wimpier with next weekend’s storm but there are several good hits on the ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Zzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 10 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Zzzzz KEY MESSAGES - ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING, WITH SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS EXPECTED. - A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING WITH WEST NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH. SOME BLOWING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. - BITTERLY COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH WIND CHILLS 15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING. - A CLIPPER SYSTEM MAY BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW TO PARTS OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 hours ago, sbnwx85 said: GFS operational was much wimpier with next weekend’s storm but there are several good hits on the ensembles THERE REMAINS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY FOR THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ACTIVE PATTERN FOR OR NEAR THE LOCAL AREA. THE ENSEMBLES SEEM TO BE IN A LITTLE BETTER AGREEMENT FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THE LOCAL AREA, BUT THERE IS STILL A DECENT SPREAD IN POSSIBILITIES. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER PRECIP DEVELOPS FOR THE LOCAL AREA, CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE TO FAVOR A COLD/VERY COLD PATTERN. CM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 23 minutes ago, Baum said: KEY MESSAGES - ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING, WITH SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS EXPECTED. - A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING WITH WEST NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH. SOME BLOWING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. - BITTERLY COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH WIND CHILLS 15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING. - A CLIPPER SYSTEM MAY BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW TO PARTS OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. Dusters and cad aren't my jam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago “Nickels and dimes, yours and mine. Did you cash in all your dreams?” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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