soadforecasterx Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Seems like models are leaning towards a type of overrunning event. This might be better than the coastal comming up the coast. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Icon way back north so I’m sure gfs will go south now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Nam and rgem come in colder at 00zWell out of both of their ranges though. Grain of salt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago we should probably create a storm thread tomorrow, at least for the NW folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago GFS looks south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: GFS looks south It is but I forgot how north the GFS was at 18z. More mix this run at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: It is but I forgot how north the GFS was at 18z. More mix this run at least. It’s so warm compared to euro/cmc ukemt lol. Takes the 32 line up almost to New York/PA line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago CMC with it's usual ice storm, Euro with it's C-2" before rain and then maybe some back end snow, that's probably what will happen, you don't need to stay up, go to sleep now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Difference in gfs and cmc at h5 by hr 72 is laughable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago it's another ice storm (to rain) from the cmc. same output for the last 4 model runs of that. Euro likely to do the exact same thing it did at 18z as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Euroish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago It’s kinda clear that this is a N and W thing at this point. Oh well, not too sad. We were playing with house money anyway. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago GFS has the December 6-7 event. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago Euro is approximately the same as 18z, maybe a little more precip and a little more north. But it also asks the lowlands to wait kindly for their turn. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 16 minutes ago, bncho said: Euro is approximately the same as 18z, maybe a little more precip and a little more north. But it also asks the lowlands to wait kindly for their turn. I'd be flipping estatic if it wasn't 282 hours away lol but at least it's another one to track. And this one seem colder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 6z Euro and Eps 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Someone start a thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Someone start a thread! I nominate you good sir! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago I like this slow movement. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Paul Roundy @PaulRoundy1 The west Pacific warm pool is changing shape. Eventually it will allow for more convection near the Dateline, which can favor western N. America ridges. Paul Roundy @PaulRoundy1 38m If the western ridge is far enough west, it can favor a central N. American trough and eastern ridge. 1997 Feb-Mar had eastern US ridging in spite of central Pacific convection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 9 hours ago, winter_warlock said: I'd be flipping estatic if it wasn't 282 hours away lol but at least it's another one to track. And this one seem colder Don't stare at it too long, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Here is today’s 12z gfs from 45 and 102 hours. Looks very similar, pattern repeating itself. It is decent just gotta take advantage of one of these waves. Cold source nearby. Also, this might produce…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I think 12/10 is the one to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Canadian/GEM also has the Dec 6 storm, then vodka cold afterwards 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I knew I had seen the surface maps showing surface Highs moving off the coast to our east and NE. I found it. Looks like we may hve to get used to it for the winter if the Euro seasonal is correct. The link below is for the period of Dec-Feb. If you scroll forward to J-M, it's even stronger. As long as we get better cold into the area, we should still have our shots at snow. Next week's problem is only being 3-4 degrees too warm, which is more a function of the early season. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/seasonal_system5_standard_mslp?area=NAME&base_time=202511010000&stats=ensm&valid_time=202512020000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, TSSN+ said: It did not lol Had a tease for the 6th. Does seem like that the 6th is another “real” window at least. All I can ask for at the start of the season is a few chances to keep me busy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago EPS was tasty... but we shall see lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, yoda said: EPS was tasty... but we shall see lol Cold? Snowstorms? December 2009? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 58 minutes ago Author Share Posted 58 minutes ago Just now, Jersey Andrew said: Cold? Snowstorms? December 2009? 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Entire Eps run droolworthy. @mitchnick putting it in the wrong thread lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 37 minutes ago Share Posted 37 minutes ago EPS says we're guaranteed to see measurable snow by 12/14... we shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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