December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[mob1]

Decide for yourselves...

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, mob1 said:

Decide for yourselves...

Well, Anthony was right. Subtle, but there. 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

QPF is less at 18z with a subtle shift SE.

Tightening gradient pile south / north 

[JACKASS]

55 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Maybe a tad SE. 

 

55 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Bumped slightly north 

[CoastalWx]

Yeah from coating to half inch. Deep.

[40/70 Benchmark]

27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Has there been any word or announcement on when EMassWx first call map will be out?

Just doing what one map tomorrow.

[mob1]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Well, Anthony was right. Subtle, but there. 

But there's this one unincorporated town in Morris County NJ that lost a hundredth of an inch so technically everyone was right. 

All kidding aside, the difference is negligible. I just hope we slowly increase QPF amounts from here on out. 

 

 

 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah from coating to half inch. Deep.

Not the point bro…it didn’t go SE, and qpf increased(not a lot), but it did increase. Be a good sport. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Not the point bro…it didn’t go SE, and qpf increased(not a lot), but it did increase. Be a good sport. 

He and son ripping nips and hammered. Let em go 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Euro all kidding aside is probably a couple inches here 2-3”

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Euro all kidding aside is probably a couple inches here 2-3”

Verbatim, Maybe more if you get the fluff. At this point, that’s a win…and you’ll be on the board.  Win win. Hopefully it holds for all of us. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

He and son ripping nips and hammered. Let em go 

He’s mad I have no winter spirit anymore.  Told him welcome to my youth. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

These amounts plus great ratios and many south of 84 get 2-4”

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

These amounts plus great ratios and many south of 84 get 2-4”

Yeah, .22 here could easily be 3-4”

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

He’s mad I have no winter spirit anymore.  Told him welcome to my youth. 

No severe no cane no winter spirits. Dew spirits mean a lot though!

[CoastalWx]

I just want something to go right. Literally one event in 4 year has gone right and it was 5.9” last January. I’m just done at this point. Dews and beach weather can’t come soon enough.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I just want something to go right. Literally one event in 4 year has gone right and it was 5.9” last January. I’m just done at this point. Dews and beach weather can’t come soon enough.

I mean, you probably have a 50/50 shot at a couple inches Sunday. Beggars can’t be choosers. Enjoy it 

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

These amounts plus great ratios and many south of 84 get 2-4”

Totally agree. Question is whether it’s right. 

(I’ve always thought measurable was coming from this in CT)

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I just want something to go right. Literally one event in 4 year has gone right and it was 5.9” last January. I’m just done at this point. Dews and beach weather can’t come soon enough.

Unfortunately for beach weather…you’re about as far away from that as one could be on 12/11.  Hang tough bro…we all feel it. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Totally agree. Question is whether it’s right. 

(I’ve always thought measurable was coming from this in CT)

That’s the million dollar question, talking with Dylan now about that.  I’m leaning model blend which gives about .15-.30” qpf across the state. However if gfs and others trend the wrong way tonight then this is just another coating or so. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah, .22 here could easily be 3-4”

Could it also be 1", with the dry air eating away the first hours of precip?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Could it also be 1", with the dry air eating away the first hours of precip?

No dry air to overcome 

 

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Unfortunately for beach weather…you’re about as far away from that as one could be on 12/11.  Hang tough bro…we all feel it. 

It comes sooner and lasts longer every year.

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Could it also be 1", with the dry air eating away the first hours of precip?

 

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

No dry air to overcome 

 

I was gonna say…it’s pretty saturated according to what some METS were saying yesterday. 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It comes sooner and lasts longer every year.

Ya…no it doesn’t. And it Ended pretty quick this year too. 

[ineedsnow]

9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Unfortunately for beach weather…you’re about as far away from that as one could be on 12/11.  Hang tough bro…we all feel it. 

 

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It comes sooner and lasts longer every year.

December 25th is right around the corner  

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

 

December 25th is right around the corner  

The warmth is shrinking..as we knew it would. It’s been the trend all autumn. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya…no it doesn’t. And it Ended pretty quick this year too. 

Trend line baby.

Toes in the water. Weenie in the sand. No need to worry, I got Wolfie in my hand…life is good today.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

The warmth is shrinking..as we knew it would. It’s been the trend all autumn. 

Yeah good luck with that 

[Baroclinic Zone]

21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I just want something to go right. Literally one event in 4 year has gone right and it was 5.9” last January. I’m just done at this point. Dews and beach weather can’t come soon enough.

Split open and melt