WinterWolf Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 17 minutes ago, FXWX said: That's because they are almost unheard of! Getting a stretch like in 14-15 is about as good as you can hope for... A solid 6 week period is what I'd be happy with. Wire to wire here SNE is almost impossible to achieve... Thank you. I don’t think they exist either. He was talking like they do exist. They don’t. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: You weren’t even born. What does that mean ? We can’t evaluate winters that we weren’t born yet? Can I not evaluate the great wire to wire 60’s winters because I was born in 1972? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What does that mean ? We can’t evaluate winters that we weren’t born yet? Can I not evaluate the great wire to wire 60’s winters because I was born in 1972? The point is wire to wire does not exist in SNE. They’re always a melt out, or a mild up, and/or a rain event. Mid December to mid March… with nothing but cold and snow the whole way…? Give me a break. And if there is one of those..there’s probably only one, since records have been kept anyway. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup 70-71 was exceptional for its almost wall to wall snow cover, and long running cold. But if it were to repeat at this day and age, this board would be filled with complaints of the lack of any true biggies! Lots more light to moderate events with a couple of +10" storms across CT... Feb. 1971 only saw 8.4" at BDL... December 70 was great month with 27", but only 1 big event. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 2 minutes ago, FXWX said: 70-71 was exceptional for its almost wall to wall snow cover, and long running cold. But if it were to repeat at this day and age, this board would be filled with complaints of the lack of any true biggies! Lots more light to moderate events with a couple of +10" storms across CT... Feb. 1971 only saw 8.4" at BDL... December 70 was great month with 27", but only 1 big event. So our snowiest month and we saw 8.4” at BDL in ‘71. DIT would be saying what he was saying in 14-15…nickels and dimes, and complaining to high heaven. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: It was fine last winter. We just couldn’t get the big storms. Yes, but wasn’t the PAC jet virtually a destructive influence for every significant winter storm chance we had? 25 minutes ago, dendrite said: “Wow…the 71st straight day of snow. Woke up to 4” this morning. Didn’t expect it” My wife almost lost it after having to clean more snow off her car after work today. Some of her coworkers live at lower elevation and haven’t seen anything this fall. I told her that’s how we know we picked the right location. WXW2 has nearly reached my abysmal 2024-25 total in less than two weeks time. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 21 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yes, but wasn’t the PAC jet virtually a destructive influence for every significant winter storm chance we had? My wife almost lost it after having to clean more snow off her car after work today. Some of her coworkers live at lower elevation and haven’t seen anything this fall. I told her that’s how we know we picked the right location. WXW2 has nearly reached my abysmal 2024-25 total in less than two weeks time. This is really hard to measure so hard to say the magnitude of the impact. It probably played some role. It was hard to really amplify ridges over the Rockies last winter. I’m sure there was a level of poor “luck” involved too in the sub-synoptic wavelengths. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: The point is wire to wire does not exist in SNE. They’re always a melt out, or a mild up, and/or a rain event. Mid December to mid March… with nothing but cold and snow the whole way…? Give me a break. And if there is one of those..there’s probably only one, since records have been kept anyway. One of the early 90s great winters came close to wire to wire. Every time it warmed up it was brief with a cold front with squalls ending it. Will probably remembers the year, I want to say 93-94. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 24-36 hours later and still going. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 24 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 24-36 hours later and still going. It’s even reaching here. Maybe half an inch tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Still a strong -PNA at 12/3 on EPS. As we said, gonna need to be after first week of Dec I think. That ridge is too far west in the Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Weeklies better come through. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago AI ensembles similar too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Still a strong -PNA at 12/3 on EPS. As we said, gonna need to be after first week of Dec I think. That ridge is too far west in the Pacific. Gefs ? Models might be struggling especially the eps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Still a strong -PNA at 12/3 on EPS. As we said, gonna need to be after first week of Dec I think. That ridge is too far west in the Pacific. 360 hrs…I mean how much stock can we put in that prog? 15 days out. I know, I know easier to peg long wave pattern and what not, but it’s still more than two weeks away. I know you’re just pointing it out, which is good to know. But again there are conflicting signals..which we’d expect at 15 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 52 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gefs ? Models might be struggling especially the eps. We don’t look at that. Especially for you, wait until after the first week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, WinterWolf said: 360 hrs…I mean how much stock can we put in that prog? 15 days out. I know, I know easier to peg long wave pattern and what not, but it’s still more than two weeks away. I know you’re just pointing it out, which is good to know. But again there are conflicting signals..which we’d expect at 15 days away. I think that is very reasonable output from that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Do note that it doesn’t mean interior could get something minor and have it melted a day or two later, I’m talking about more consistent stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think that is very reasonable output from that model. It may be…no arguments there. Do you feel the weeklies are a reasonable output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago It’s 11/18. Who cares if the cold dumps mostly out west for a week or two toward Dec? Pack usually starts settling in here 12/10-15 so it’s nbd to me until then. Anything between now and then typically melts away at some point anyway. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago GEFs are better with the PNA rising, but it’s the GEFS. I don’t understand why everyone is in a rush. We know how these go. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: It’s 11/18. Who cares if the cold dumps mostly out west for a week or two toward Dec? Pack usually starts settling in here 12/10-15 so it’s nbd to me until then. Anything between now and then typically melts away at some point anyway. That’s my point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It may be…no arguments there. Do you feel the weeklies are a reasonable output? I do actually. However those a have lower accuracy scores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago NYC may see first snows before most of us with this next system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: NYC may see first snows before most of us with this next system Im not seeing any snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I do actually. However those a have lower accuracy scores. Weeklies should be taken with a grain of salt but no clue why people are getting worried. Its only November . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Beer … testing… beer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Beer … testing… beer Testing weenies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Cloudburst with cloudflare 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Cloudburst with cloudflare Most dramatic cloud action of the winter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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