November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...

[DavisStraight]

2 hours ago, dryslot said:

Looks like folks in the elevated areas of Western Maine are going to see there first snow overnight, Looks like 3-6" above 2,500' with C-2" possibly down to the valley floor.

Local mets are saying same thing.

[dryslot]

Just now, DavisStraight said:

Local mets are saying same thing.

Yeah, Good to get an early start even if its gone in a few days.

[DavisStraight]

11 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Local mets are saying same thing.

Not sure if we watch the same channels we get two news channels from Portland.

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Not sure if we watch the same channels we get two news channels from Portland.

WCSH6 and WGME13?

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

Beautiful fall day anywhere in SNE where sun is sustaining
 

60 in view

47 here.  A real beaut.

[WinterWolf]

2 hours ago, SJonesWX said:

as usual I have no idea what you are talking about. 51 and cloudy here, sun has not been out all day aside from around 7am.

He doesn’t know what he is talking about either.  
 

All the CONFIRMED torch talk last week by him…and we haven’t seen it.  Although that is very typical.  

[DavisStraight]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

WCSH6 and WGME13?

WMTW8 and News Center Maine

[moneypitmike]

My snowblower starts—winter cancel.

[dryslot]

8 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

WMTW8 and News Center Maine

Yes, WCSH6 is News Center Maine, And WMTW8, I speak to both of those stations mets with my spotter reports.

[powderfreak]

Wet snow falling at 1,500ft outside my window.

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

My snowblower starts—winter cancel.

So did mine but its also my mower in the summer............

[H2Otown_WX]

Euro and GFS are worlds apart past D8-9 but unfortunately the GEFS doesn't seem to support the GFS idea of reloading the PNA ridge. I must not understand the PNA domain because the forecast for the next week on the teleconnections site shows it as neutral despite the huge ridge developing this weekend/early next week.

[powderfreak]

We snow.

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

We snow.

Yeah looks like there could be some decent accums in the slightly higher terrain in Coos and adjacent ME tonight. 

[powderfreak]

24 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah looks like there could be some decent accums in the slightly higher terrain in Coos and adjacent ME tonight. 

Yeah those 1500ft+ spots should clean up.  Even 1,000ft out that way.

[vortex95]

On 11/4/2025 at 3:54 PM, vortex95 said:

The late Wed/early Thu event looks very impressive.  Low pressure 998 mb over Lake Huron  noon EST Wed, and rapidly deepens to 979 mb just E of EPM by 6am EST Thu.  

Interesting and unexpected things can happen in such a case.  W/ most low pressures that RI, there is often a "sweet spot" location that takes full advantage of this RI, meaning you can get absolutely crushed above expectations.  The way the pattern is currently, New England is in this sweet spot.  So wild precip and wind is possible.  Perhaps the most impressive example of this was the Bliz of '78.

The mean trough position has been very good for the E Coast events for over a month now.  Best lead into winter for a pattern I have seen in some time.

One thing about these kind of situations, the "surprise factor" is higher than typical.  Given the mean trough position is excellent for the NEUS (we saw what happened last night -- overperfomed), why not?  When its "good," it can be *really* "good."  meaning sometimes you can get in to patterns that are relentless, everything goes right, and so nuts that even CoastalWx will forget his pain from the lack of snow he dealt w/ in the 80s (no 4-8" backlash, instead sunny when he got up in the morning), and the pitiful winters in the 2020s so far!  Jan-Feb 2015 was such one period.  Entire winters like 1992-93 and 1995-96 were like this.

CoastalWx also needs to keep in mind Dec 9, 2005 in mind when it comes to wind w/ these type of storms.  Sting jet!  He'll be looking for the PVU anomaly and tropospheric fold I bet.  LOL.
 

Model backed off. 

[Torch Tiger]

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

We snow.

is that your first accumulation near the base?  I know you have seen snow..

[powderfreak]

3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

is that your first accumulation near the base?  I know you have seen snow..

Second accums at the base.  We had about an inch of slop on Saturday AM.

No accumulation to date at home, 750 feet lower.  

[Torch Tiger]

  

[dendrite]

We take!

[alex]

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah those 1500ft+ spots should clean up.  Even 1,000ft out that way.

Still rain here, but very light. 

[MJO812]

14 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

  

Awesome runs

Buckle up

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Awesome runs

Buckle up

big winter underway!

[WinterWolf]

8 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Awesome runs

Buckle up

Guess it’s nice to see it being modeled…which is the only take away at 15 days out. 

[dryslot]

Snowing at Saddleback.

[dryslot]

I thought the off hour runs were no good, lol

[powderfreak]

32 minutes ago, alex said:

Still rain here, but very light. 

We are flipping over here in town in the valley.

For all purposes it’s a white rain but it is just dumping precipitation.  Feels like 2F away from a true paste bomb.  Bet the hill is getting smoked at 1500+.

[Torch Tiger]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I thought the off hour runs were no good, lol

you have been here long enough to know it's only the ones that look like shit. 

[dryslot]

Just now, Torch Tiger said:

you have been here long enough to know it's only the ones that look like shit. 

That's why i lol'd

[WinterWolf]

25 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That's why i lol'd

At 360 hrs…it’s a dam joke anyway.  Doesn’t matter what hour it is at that range.