October 2025 Discussion and Obs

[bluewave]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Yep-the more infamous winter was the year before at Valley Forge, but that winter is said to have been even colder and deadlier.

The 1976-1977 winter was a weaker reflection of that one. But it’s still the coldest winter that I have ever experienced. Waiting for the school bus at 7:45 am with temps near 0° and strong winds was a memorable experience. 
 

https://www.facebook.com/greaterlongisland/posts/the-great-south-bay-frozen-circa-1976-1977-️-who-remembers-when-you-could-drive-/979944926830556/

[Stormlover74]

52 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

The front is coming through in the morning. Not a good time if we want organized rain. Wouldn’t surprise me at all if this is another bust.

It's possible but the other models are all considerably wetter and the nam is notorious for doing this and then reversing course just before start time. Euro is probably too wet though 

[bluewave]

Water conservation measures announced in some localities as the reservoir levels get down to 70%. This has been a top 10 driest fall to fall period across the region. Nantucket has been one of the driest spots with the coastal storms getting suppressed to our south.
 

https://www.wfsb.com/2025/10/03/bristol-mayor-announces-water-restrictions-amid-drought/?outputType=amp

 

 

[jm1220]

58 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It's possible but the other models are all considerably wetter and the nam is notorious for doing this and then reversing course just before start time. Euro is probably too wet though 

We’ll see. Ground is bone dry so the rain is badly needed. 

[bluewave]

New all-time October high of 83° set up at Caribou and several locations in Canada.

Time Series Summary for Caribou Area, ME (ThreadEx) - Month of Oct
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2025	83	25
2	2011	82	0
3	2023	79	0
-	2017	79	0
-	2005	79	0
-	1968	79	0
-	1947	79	0
4	1983	78	0
-	1970	78	0
5	2024	77	0
-	2021	77	0
-	2002	77	0
-	2001	77	0
-	1979	77	0
-	1950	77	0
-	1946	77	0

 

 

 

[psv88]

62 this morning. Last warm day for a while

[Picard]

3 hours ago, jm1220 said:

The front is coming through in the morning. Not a good time if we want organized rain. Wouldn’t surprise me at all if this is another bust.

Bust likely.  There's no way we're getting what the wetter models are showing.  I'd say the NAM has the best chances of being correct and it wouldn't be out of the question to say that's even overdone for some.

[SACRUS]

 

71 / 63 partly cloudy.  Warm with front / clouds approaching it'll be interesting to see if / who can make 80.  Front brings some rain / showers 0.25 - 0.50,  Clear out Wed morning,  cooler dry Wed  - Fri.   Cutoff low into the southeast with low near the Carolinas later this weekend Sun (10/13).  Forecats bring clouds later Sunday/Monday with more rain just touching southern sections before the storm drifts out.   Rigde builds back over and a warmer 10/15 and beyond - euro warmer / gfs.

 

[Rmine1]

24 minutes ago, Picard said:

Bust likely.  There's no way we're getting what the wetter models are showing.  I'd say the NAM has the best chances of being correct and it wouldn't be out of the question to say that's even overdone for some.

Be more of a bust if it actually rains 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 88 (1949)
NYC: 88 (1944)
LGA: 85 (1944)
JFK: 83 (2007)


Lows:

EWR: 38 (1958)
NYC: 39 (1999)
LGA: 40 (1954)
JFK: 39 (1984)

Historical:

 

1749: A hurricane passed a short distance offshore from Virginia to New Jersey. At Lewes, DE, on the Delaware Bay, the raging ocean cut a passage through the beach near Cape Henlopen into the Bay with a 5 foot clearance so that small boats could sail through. In Philadelphia, Benjamin Franklin was watching this storm. Being reported first in North Carolina then Virginia, he drew confirmation for his hypothesis made with the hurricane of 10/22/1743 that coastal storms moved from the southwest and were preceded by northerly winds. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1946: A hurricane made landfall near Bradenton, FL with 80 mph winds and a 6 foot storm surge. The storm weakened to a tropical storm as it move across Tampa Bay and reached the Florida/Georgia border early the following day. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1959: The Soviet spacecraft, Luna 3, captured the first images of the far side of the Moon. The first image was taken at 3:30 UTC on the 7th of October. 

1962: Heavy flooding occurred in New England as Hurricane Daisy moved up the coast. 12.10 inches of rain fell at Reading, MA during a 3-day period. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1963: Boston, Massachusetts had a maximum temperature of 90 °F the highest temperature for October. They also had another 90 °F day on October 12, 1954. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

1970 - Widespread flooding took place across Puerto Rico. Rainfall amounts for the day ranged up to seventeen inches at Aibonito. A slow moving tropical depression was responsible for six days of torrential rains across the island. Totals in the Eastern Interior Division averaged thirty inches, with 38.4 inches at Jayuya. Flooding claimed eighteen lives, and resulted in 62 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)


1970: On this date through the 9th, a record breaking early season snow storm rocked parts of the upper Plains. Snowfall totals of 5 to 9 inches were common across the southwest and south central part of South Dakota. Late on October 8th and into the 9th, the southeast portion of the state was hit. Vermillion received 6 inches of snow on the 9th and that is the largest amount ever recorded there for so early in the season. The 5 inches that fell in Sioux Falls is the earliest significant snow on record for the area. The heavy snows also affected portions of western Iowa and western Minnesota. Amounts of up to 7 inches were recorded in northwest Iowa. The heavy, wet snow snapped many tree branches and downed power lines. Sioux City recorded their heaviest snow for so early in the season. In Nebraska, the winter storm brought 11.0 inches of snow near Wheatland, and a total of 8.0 inches to Scottsbluff. It also resulted in Scottsbluff setting a high of only 32°, the earliest day in fall with a high temperature at or below freezing there. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)



1959: The Soviet spacecraft, Luna 3, captured the first images of the far side of the Moon. The first image was taken at 3:30 UTC on the 7th of October. 

1981 - Seattle, WA, received four inches of rain in 24 hours, a record for the city. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - It was another hot day in the southwestern U.S. Tucson, AZ, hit 101 degrees for the second day in a row to again equal their record for the month of October. Phoenix AZ reported a record high of 103 degrees, and Blythe CA and Yuma AZ tied for honors as the hot spot in the nation with afternoon highs of 108 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Morning fog in the central U.S. reduced the visibility to near zero at some locations. Morning lows of 28 degrees at Rockford IL and 24 degrees at Waterloo IA were records for the date. Afternoon highs of 92 degrees at Hollywood FL and Miami FL were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Morning thunderstorms in central Texas drenched San Antonio with 3.10 inches of rain in six hours causing local flooding in northeastern sections of the city. Temperatures dipped below the freezing mark from the Northern Rockies to the Upper Mississippi Valley. (The National Weather Summary)
 

1992: An early fall snowstorm dumped from 7 to 10 inches of wet snow across the Belleville and Munden areas in north central Kansas. The combination of the heavy snow and high winds behind the storm caused tremendous amounts of tree and power line damage in this area. Approximately 20 power poles were snapped off and some residents were without power for up to 48 hours. Approximately 75 homes in the Belleville area sustained damage from falling trees and branches. Concordia, KS recorded its earliest snowfall on record as 2.1 inches fell. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1996: Tropical Storm Josephine tracked northeast across the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and crossing the coast in a relatively uninhabited region of north Florida. County officials estimated storm tides, storm surge plus astronomical tide ranged from up to 9 feet in Levy County to 4 to 6 feet in Pinellas and Hillsborough Counties, and 3 feet as far south as Lee County. Josephine produced a record 22 tornadoes (21 F0, 1 F2, plus one waterspout) over central and northern Florida, making it the most prolific tornado producing tropical cyclone in Florida history. These caused mostly minor damage, primarily to trees. One tornado, however, had a 7 mile long, 400 yard wide track across Edgewater in Volusia County. It severely damaged 30 homes, while 200 others had minor damage. Rainfall amount of up to 8.5 inches were reported over northern Florida in association with Josephine. Property damage in Florida was estimated to be over $49 million dollars. There were no deaths reported. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2001: The high temperature in Death Valley National Park was 95°, ending a record streak of 154 consecutive days with the high temperature 100° or hotter. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2007: Chicago, Illinois: With the mercury soaring to a record-breaking 87 °F race organizers cancel the Chicago Marathon 3.5 hours into the race. (Ref. WxDoctor)

2016: Hurricane Matthew was off the northeast coast of Florida. Matthew brought intense rainfall to the Carolinas on the 8th and 9th.

2018: Only 8 hours after becoming a depression, the National Hurricane Center upgraded the system to Tropical Storm Michael. Tropical storm force winds and torrential downpours were affecting portions of the coastal east-central Yucatan Peninsula.

[SACRUS]