Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs

[Superstorm]

I liked seeing this posted yesterday in the Mid Atlantic region thread.

Good for Lakes Region. Could see some significant LES.

Not good climo period for us. We will probably be on warm side after that period 3 to 4 week period, as climo improves.


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[ChescoWx]

Some sun this morning, but showers are possible almost anytime today and tonight. We could see between 0.15" to 0.25" of rain by late tonight. Today will be our last mild day with temperatures a couple of degrees above normal with low 60's in the valleys. A strong cold front moves through late tonight and we fall back to near 40 degrees by morning. Our high temperature tomorrow will occur at midnight tonight with temperatures only rising a couple of degrees tomorrow morning before falling to freezing by tomorrow evening. Tuesday will likely see the higher spots remaining in the 30's for high temperatures. We will moderate a bit by Wednesday but temperatures for the rest of the week will remain well below normal for mid-November with highs struggling to escape the 40's through the week.

[Itstrainingtime]

Very heavy thunderstorm in progress.

[Itstrainingtime]

0.54" from that storm.

[canderson]

Sun is poking out in Manhattan. Hope the rain here is just light ….

[Mount Joy Snowman]

17 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

0.54" from that storm.

Looks like I’m up near three quarters of an inch already. Was not expecting nearly this much. 

[canderson]

Chicago is about to get hammered by a huge winter storM. Holy crap. Feet of snow possible.  

[Itstrainingtime]

54 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Looks like I’m up near three quarters of an inch already. Was not expecting nearly this much. 

Thoughts on Grunkemeyer? 

I'm pleased with his progress over 3 starts, especially given who he's faced.

[Superstorm]

Chicago is about to get hammered by a huge winter storM. Holy crap. Feet of snow possible.  

Is it lake enhanced?


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[Blizzard of 93]

26 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

Is it lake enhanced?


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Lake event, their Warning is impressive.

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Chicago IL
1121 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

ILZ103>105-108-100330-
/O.CON.KLOT.WS.W.0001.251110T0300Z-251110T1800Z/
Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Eastern Will-
Including the cities of Oak Lawn, Park Forest, Beecher, Orland
Park, Cicero, Northbrook, Schaumburg, Crete, Lemont, Palatine,
Evanston, Oak Park, Calumet City, Oak Forest, Des Plaines, La
Grange, Peotone, and Chicago
1121 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
NOON CST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Dangerous to impossible travel conditions due to intense
  lake effect snow expected. Snow rates in excess of 3 inches per
  hour, localized total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches, and
  northerly wind gusts in excess of 30 mph are expected.

* WHERE...Central Cook, Eastern Will, Northern Cook, and Southern
  Cook Counties.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to noon CST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Snow rates in excess of 3 inches per hour will cripple
  travel, including during the Monday morning commute. Strong
  northerly wind gusts in excess of 30 mph will lead to greatly
  reduced visibility, especially near the Lake Michigan shoreline.
  Periods of thundersnow will occur, as well.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow is often very localized,
  with conditions varying from safe to dangerous across just a few
  miles. Snow totals in the Winter Storm Warning area may vary
  considerably from one location to the next.