E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion

[simbasad2]

Is it too early to start looking at December? Unfortunately it seems like strong east coast ridging will kick off meteorological winter for us. Still far away, but most long range ensemble guidance supports temps reaching the 50s-70s. Thankfully short lived though as a really cold air mass will advect eastward by around December 5th. EPS Weeklies support a weak SER around this time, so maybe some overunning events next month?

 

 

[Nodriveslow]

12 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

I'm in a "townhouse" so basically a "row" ("attached" on both sides).  It got down to about 64 and once the heat was on, within a few days, and after the cold dry air after fropa, the humidity plunged to 22% (perfect for the expected static electricity zaps and nosebleeds).    Humidifiers were finally set up and i got the downstairs up to ~36% (with the upstairs ~40%, where the rain helped).  That 35% - 40% (max) range is good for me.  That central air heat can be a bear.

That's pretty impressive. I live in a twin and I'm exposed to the West/Northwest, so get blasted by the cold winds. Small house so doesn't take long to hear up. Normally nerd humidifier on in Jan and Feb.