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O'Brother Septorcher


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5 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

looks like the drought is over looking at the 0z models

GYX has us with a 50% of >0.25".  We'll need a bit more to end the drought, maybe like the 5.54" dumped on Sept. 21, 1966 at NYC that ended the 1960s MA/SNE drought (though it was several wet months later before the end was confirmed).  At the time, that deluge was Central Park's 3rd greatest daily precip, also the most for a non-TC event.

Another full sun day, though w/o the frost - upper 30s for the low after the 30/29 on Sat/Sun.

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sun is sloped and tepid, getting more sloped and cooler ...

soon 60+ dps will only make the side streets sweat - nothing else of consequence.

the reason is because the sun doesn't dump in enough energy to keep both a higher dp air mass afloat, while also providing enough energy to simultaneously elevate the kinetic temperature. granted this is all more so the environmental limitation (at this latitude) by mid oct+ ... but is already more challenging. 

 

 

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21 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

sun is sloped and tepid, getting more sloped and cooler ...

soon 60+ dps will only make the side streets sweat - nothing else of consequence.

the reason is because the sun doesn't dump in enough energy to keep both a higher dp air mass afloat, while also providing enough energy to simultaneously elevate the kinetic temperature. granted this is all more so the environmental limitation (at this latitude) by mid oct+ ... but is already more challenging. 

 

 

another in a long line of excellent posts!

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2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

That is an absurdly narrow band of high QPF.  You have to think it’s a little more widespread than that.

I like the HPC QPF five-day precip forecast, as it now stands. More rain than I have seen (Brattleboro or here) in like months? Seems like years...

 

p120i.gif

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