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Tracking the tropics - 2025


tiger_deF
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15 minutes ago, FXWX said:

If "gone wild" means continuing the theme of almost no chance of tropical threat, then I agree!

For here?  pretty much never, so we are (well, I'm) not discussing that.

For the overall tropical Atlantic? Things will heat up a bit.  Though I'm skeptical outside of GOM at this point, until there is a legitimate contender. 

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12 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

For here?  pretty much never, so we are (well, I'm) not discussing that.

For the overall tropical Atlantic? Things will heat up a bit.  Though I'm skeptical outside of GOM at this point, until there is a legitimate contender. 

Just kidding... I would be very surprised if we didn't see an uptick heading in late month period.  We've got no where to go but up? Lol

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I'm not sure what the science is in this area of TC genesis ... or if there's any correlation at all, but this current high ranked invest out in the MDR has a very large initial mass field envelopment.   I'm wondering if that presages a system that is also spatially larger than normal?   It is evolving westerly return flow along the equatorial side, as evidence by cloud material/satellite, but these initial stages of that evolution extends to an unusually vast distance SW and S, some 500 km ...

image.png.346719b21530dfb4bc02b71d8c91a7b6.png

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