JonClaw Posted Friday at 09:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:10 PM Love it or hate it, I can't deny betting on Kalshi about how much snow will fall at CP has made me some serious guitar gear money. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer67 Posted Friday at 09:24 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:24 PM 13 minutes ago, JonClaw said: Love it or hate it, I can't deny betting on Kalshi about how much snow will fall at CP has made me some serious guitar gear money. Got a bunch in around even money on 6+ for the month and 10+ at about 3:1 several hours ago...odds have significantly changed since lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted Friday at 10:30 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:30 PM whichever way it goes this is an all-timer for the GFS, you’re going to hear “remember feb 2026?” at some point every winter the rest of your life 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer67 Posted Friday at 11:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:47 PM 2 hours ago, golfer67 said: Got a bunch in around even money on 6+ for the month and 10+ at about 3:1 several hours ago...odds have significantly changed since lol Was just able to sell at 88% of the total payout without a flake falling. Don't need to worry about any last second bad trends the other way. Gonna sprinke some on 20+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted Friday at 11:52 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:52 PM I have posted a contest for this predicted snowfall event, using the five locations NYC, LGA, ISP, JFK, EWR. The deadline will be 0100h Sunday (06z 22nd). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KrummWx Posted yesterday at 03:21 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:21 AM I'm driving up from Raleigh to DC on Saturday and DC to Manhattan on Sunday, looks like y'all yous guys are finally gonna give me the storm I fuckin needed. The dry slot over MBY last storm damn near killed me. I'll be in New York all next week...stoked. I lived in Mt Holly NJ from 2008-2011 and got to experience the crazy 2009-2010 season where we got like 24" in one storm then another 8" and in Dec it was ~12-18" or so, I can't remember exactly...but it was epic. Bringing my lady too who was born and raised in NC and is not used to legit NE snows....please please please let this pan out another 12-18" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted yesterday at 05:08 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:08 AM 1 hour ago, KrummWx said: I'm driving up from Raleigh to DC on Saturday and DC to Manhattan on Sunday, looks like y'all yous guys are finally gonna give me the storm I fuckin needed. The dry slot over MBY last storm damn near killed me. I'll be in New York all next week...stoked. I lived in Mt Holly NJ from 2008-2011 and got to experience the crazy 2009-2010 season where we got like 24" in one storm then another 8" and in Dec it was ~12-18" or so, I can't remember exactly...but it was epic. Bringing my lady too who was born and raised in NC and is not used to legit NE snows....please please please let this pan out another 12-18" lol Stay here, and give me a detailed report after how it goes. Trust me-make it happen. It's 50 min from Penn Station. Allegria Hotel - ReservationDesk.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted yesterday at 05:16 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:16 AM 6 hours ago, Santa Claus said: whichever way it goes this is an all-timer for the GFS, you’re going to hear “remember feb 2026?” at some point every winter the rest of your life Didn’t the GFS hold onto the follow up storm after 1/25 a bit too long as well? It was the last to trend out to sea; that was definitely in my head all week. Expecting it to finally cave, and it didn’t. Crazy times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted yesterday at 02:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:18 PM this shit better verify man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted yesterday at 02:45 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:45 PM this shit better verify manshould you be working on your sleigh, Kringle?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted yesterday at 05:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:12 PM The second half of this winter has me wanting to move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted yesterday at 07:43 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:43 PM Accuweather going super conservative still calling for 6-10 inches here with a blizzard warning underneath for 20-24. Wow, I’ve never seen a disparity like that and I’ve always considered Accuweather decent for snow - they must be very bearish. I’m in Seaside at the moment with my parents but same in TR / Manchester, 6-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago accuweather minutecast lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 22 minutes ago, Santa Claus said: accuweather minutecast lol Sometimes it’s good to know what to expect in precisely 11 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago snowmap hope it verifies more i went a little conservative not sure why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago So the Blizzard of '26 begins as light rain. As Joe Beradelli says, "The devil is in the details". Is the western ridge positioned correctly? Is the high to our north oriented for favorable cold air? Where will the dry slot form? Will the dry slot be too large? Many things to consider besides just model agreement. As stated before, I hate the term "banding". Most convective systems produce "waves" of varying degrees of intensity of the precipitation. When I think of banding, I tend to think more in terms of deformation zones, points of occlusion, ocean air warm fronts, etc. Throwing banding out there is just a cop out. Models are crunching areas of higher precipitation, like eastern Monmouth County in NJ and Staten Island. Will we have winds of 35 mph or more for greater than 3 hours across a major portion of the region, or will this be confined to just eastern parts of Long Island or the Jersey shore? Since the potential exists, the NWS is obligated to issue the warning. But as some mets know, wind is perhaps the most overly "exaggerated" feature forecast by the models. We shall see shortly. Probably my last best chance of a major snow storm before my move down to Tennessee. Best of luck to all... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago This Gold Medal hockey game though... ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago A boatload of weather weenies was last seen rowing south into the death band. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 33 minutes ago, JonClaw said: Travel ban in NYC 9PM to Noon tomorrow. Lol! What is NYC communist China now? If you got to travel, you got to travel. Tell em to kick rocks. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, sussexcountyobs said: Lol! What is NYC communist China now? If you got to travel, you got to travel. Tell em to kick rocks. Actually back in the day when they called a State of Emergency in NJ, like in the Blizz of 96, the general public was not allowed to travel! We had the NG driving around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, sussexcountyobs said: Lol! What is NYC communist China now? If you got to travel, you got to travel. Tell em to kick rocks. I don't think a travel ban is enforceable, per se. What they're really saying/warning is that if you go out and get stuck, you'll be on your own for a while. You won't be considered an emergency call. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kjtc1979 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, WIN said: I don't think a travel ban is enforceable, per se. What they're really saying/warning is that if you go out and get stuck, you'll be on your own for a while. You won't be considered an emergency call. Mayor said basically that at the press conference. They did this for the last blizzard warning. I think the trains were shut down then too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, WIN said: I don't think a travel ban is enforceable, per se. What they're really saying/warning is that if you go out and get stuck, you'll be on your own for a while. You won't be considered an emergency call. you're making too much sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just as an fyi if you are driving in a travel ban as a non-essential person and get into an accident, your insurance will NOT cover the damage. You will also receive a major fine 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, Blizzardo said: Actually back in the day when they called a State of Emergency in NJ, like in the Blizz of 96, the general public was not allowed to travel! We had the NG driving around I drove to work that morning. Granted, I'm exempt from travel bans. But there were alot of other people on the roads. And I saw nobody getting pulled over, or turned around. It would probably be Unconstitutional if ever brought before Supreme Court? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 9 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said: Lol! What is NYC communist China now? If you got to travel, you got to travel. Tell em to kick rocks. I.. must...resist...injecting...politics... Ok I looked at a snow map, I'm good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WIN said: I don't think a travel ban is enforceable, per se. What they're really saying/warning is that if you go out and get stuck, you'll be on your own for a while. You won't be considered an emergency call. Exactly. And rightly so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, sussexcountyobs said: I drove to work that morning. Granted, I'm exempt from travel bans. But there were alot of other people on the roads. And I saw nobody getting pulled over, or turned around. It would probably be Unconstitutional if ever brought before Supreme Court? No it wouldn’t. Governments do have the right to shut down roadways to non-essential traffic during emergencies. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I guess people memory-holed Cuomo banning travel during 2016's Blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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