NorthShoreWx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, TheClimateChanger said: Interesting. I don't know how a park could have a warmer microclimate than surrounding urban neighborhoods. Doesn't make much sense. I agree. But it's not colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: I'm not sure everyone would agree. By the way, the two charts you posted show NYC's warmest period and one of Raleigh's coldest. It still says something about how NYC has warmed, but is a stretch for the subtropical argument. That was intentional. I wanted to limit the analysis to higher quality data, excluding the older, warm-biased rooftop station at the downtown WB office in Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 4 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: By comparison, Orlando is pretty close to true tropical thresholds in recent years. Over the past 15 years, only January has dropped below the 18C/64.4F threshold. And only by a few degrees. I kind of get the rationale for -3C being a threshold proxy for enduring winter snow cover, but what is behind the 64.4 for tropical? (apologies that we are mixing °C and °F) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 5 hours ago, MJO812 said: Well now it certainly won’t happen. Fantasy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 hour ago, NEG NAO said: Anyone else notice that Upton and Mt. Holly in addition to other NWS offices have a new AFD format - using "Key Messages" ??? Hope none of this is AI driven...the computerized voice on their weather radio stations is bad enough AFD from KOKX 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah they announced it last month I think That’s right. On 12/16/2025 at 10:12 AM, IrishRob17 said: NOUS41 KOKX 161406 PNSOKX Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 0906 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY TRANSITIONING TO A NEW FORMAT FOR THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION BEGINNING JAN 7 2026... Beginning with the afternoon issuance on January 7th 2026, the National Weather Service New York, NY Forecast Office will transition to a Key Message format for the Area Forecast Discussion (AFDOKX). This strategic change aligns the Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) with an impacts-first message philosophy, enabling our office to streamline communication and reduce redundancy. This transition moves away from a strictly chronological layout to focus immediately on potential weather impacts and hazards. By prioritizing Key Messages, we aim to enhance clarity and eliminate duplication within the Area Forecast Discussion. A side-by-side comparison of the old format and the new format templates can be found at: https://www.weather.gov/erh/newAFD The latest local AFD can be found at the following link: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=okx&issuedby=OKX&product=AFD For any questions, please contact: Nelson Vaz Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service New York NY [email protected] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 This forum is a buzz kill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 31 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: Dude GfS clobbers the area again next weekend with a 5-8 inches area wide Clobbered? 5-8” is a clobbering now?! How far have we fallen… 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 2 hours ago, Blue Dream said: This forum is a buzz kill Why? People are talking about the possibility of a storm even if it's not exactly likely at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: Clobbered? 5-8” is a clobbering now?! How far have we fallen… I'm still not uncanceling my winter cancel post until we reach somewhat close to seasonal/average snow totals. I'll believe it when I see it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 27 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said: I'm still not uncanceling my winter cancel post until we reach somewhat close to seasonal/average snow totals. I'll believe it when I see it We? I’m still running above average at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: Clobbered? 5-8” is a clobbering now?! How far have we fallen… I remember the 2000s-2015ish a clobbering was nothing less than 12 and was usually 18+. I’m spoiled 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, Prue11 said: I remember the 2000s-2015ish a clobbering was nothing less than 12 and was usually 18+. I’m spoiled Thank you for realizing that you were spoiled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 7 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: We? I’m still running above average at this point. Hey man, Kars4kids is the foremost authority on winter. Those are the rules. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 two months in and the guy i'm seeing probably knows more than most of you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: two months in and the guy i'm seeing probably knows more than most of you Knowing more than me is setting the bar rather low 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: two months in and the guy i'm seeing probably knows more than most of you Oh wow someone has a significant other and wants to brag about it. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Knowing more than me is setting the bar rather low I do know that putting on a coat in winter isn’t too difficult though, so I have that going for me. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 29 minutes ago, forkyfork said: two months in and the guy i'm seeing probably knows more than most of you Thats quite the boomer phone case. Does he still look at the ETA model? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 8 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Thats quite the boomer phone case. Does he still look at the ETA model? Posts on ne.weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: two months in and the guy i'm seeing probably knows more than most of you Is this how you met: "Read any good skew-T's lately"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 @LibertyBell You good buddy? Miss ya this winter. You always had some interesting thoughts and questions, hope you’re well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 13 hours ago, forkyfork said: two months in and the guy i'm seeing probably knows more than most of you Forky for the win lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 18 hours ago, forkyfork said: two months in and the guy i'm seeing probably knows more than most of you Admittinlgy, I was never good at using those... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 GFS ends the threat, brutal cave to all other guidance. Winter still nowhere to be found Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 11 hours ago, Krs4Lfe said: GFS ends the threat, brutal cave to all other guidance. Winter still nowhere to be found Do you feel better now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 we should call this the panic room Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 one of these storms will work for us big time hopefully! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Somebody should go over to the January 2026 thread and take all the BS posts about January snow and cold chances being over and put them here in the banter thread- its wrecking that thread. Also I think some people have multiple accounts and just posting nonsense posts to cause problems in the main threads... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 4 hours ago, NEG NAO said: Somebody should go over to the January 2026 thread and take all the BS posts about January snow and cold chances being over and put them here in the banter thread- its wrecking that thread. Also I think some people have multiple accounts and just posting nonsense posts to cause problems in the main threads... Alot of trolls 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 40 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Alot of trolls What’s your final prediction for seasonal snowfall this year. I still think NYC ends up with 15 at most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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