ineedsnow Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not on any ensemble guidance Meh it's like in winter when models show a great pattern and snow chances on day 10 only to go to crap.. also models have been showing heat in the extended for 2 months now and nothing to show for it.. maybe this time works out though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Meh it's like in winter when models show a great pattern and snow chances on day 10 only to go to crap.. also models have been showing heat in the extended for 2 months now and nothing to show for it.. maybe this time works out though They haven’t shown any sustained heat like this. Not once . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They haven’t shown any sustained heat like this. Not once . This looks maybe average to slightly above for the end of June.. nothing crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: I'll take big heat all Summer for that The diabolical miscreant dystopian ahole in me would rather it be August 21 ...right about on lolly-pop top of the highest OHC climo available around New England coastal waters, after (say) a Hades summer really cooked the shit to historic SSTs. Hell, I remember once swimming/surfing Narragansett Beach in southern RI and the water temp at the buoy/mouth of the Bay just around the corner was 81 ... Granted, it was more like razor thin 74 out in the Bite water S of L.I. but if you're trying/hoping to conserve as much jesus h christitude of storm momentum as possible, September is already starting to create just that much stabilizing marine boundary layer to steal some greedy wind points away. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 13 hours ago Author Share Posted 13 hours ago 15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The diabolical miscreant dystopian ahole in me would rather it be August 21 ...right about on lolly-pop top of the highest OHC climo available around New England coastal waters, after (say) a Hades summer really cooked the shit to historic SSTs. Hell, I remember once swimming/surfing Narragansett Beach in southern RI and the water temp at the buoy/mouth of the Bay just around the corner was 81 ... Granted, it was more like razor thin 74 out in the Bite water S of L.I. but if you're trying/hoping to conserve as much jesus h christitude of storm momentum as possible, September is already starting to create just that much stabilizing marine boundary layer to steal some greedy wind points away. lol The SST's were always 78F if not 83F peak, saw and measured those every year I used to measure from the late 80's through 2005. The "good" years you can bake some inlets to 80's easily - EWB, West Fal., and so on. It's basically a 1000 or 10,000 /year miracle to rip a cat 3-near 4? up into NE? lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 13 hours ago Author Share Posted 13 hours ago I know the privy folk won't like this, but I would not wish away a FM strong cat 3- borderline 4 (130-140? mph weakening to 120) rocketing forward N or even NNW <3 into SNE. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 51 minutes ago, dendrite said: Got up to 61° but back to overcast. Not one peak of sun here today and it's back to misery mist. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago That period starting late week/early the following week does look like the first decent shot of a heat wave for SNE. Maybe even 4-5 days in the 90s 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: I know the privy folk won't like this, but I would not wish away a FM strong cat 3- borderline 4 (130-140? mph weakening to 120) rocketing forward N or even NNW <3 into SNE. We take! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 13 hours ago Author Share Posted 13 hours ago 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: We take! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago Just now, Torch Tiger said: Yeah I’ll pass. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 13 hours ago Author Share Posted 13 hours ago 1938 was terrible but I mean, aren't there worse possibilities? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Just now, Torch Tiger said: 1938 wasn't terrible but I mean, aren't there worse possibilities? For up here? ... I know the mud scrolls or whatever hint at pretty powerful storms in the 1400s or whatever... Not sure we could top a 1938 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 12 hours ago Author Share Posted 12 hours ago 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: For up here? ... I know the mud scrolls or whatever hint at pretty powerful storms in the 1400s or whatever... Not sure we could top a 1938 *WAS terrible. 1635 was the GOAT though, something like that could be improbable damage. Ideally it is like Hurricane Carol but 15-30mph stronger LF's and much larger, like a mini Typhoon Tip <3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 13 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: I know the privy folk won't like this, but I would not wish away a FM strong cat 3- borderline 4 (130-140? mph weakening to 120) rocketing forward N or even NNW <3 into SNE. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Just now, Torch Tiger said: *WAS terrible. 1635 was the GOAT though, something like that could be improbable damage Some debate about if 1635 was worse than 1938... I know it pushed a lot of water ahead of it. With CC and all, it does lend to the idea that a more powerful storm could survive up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago EPS is real warm. Yeah it may cool off at the end but still AN. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 12 hours ago Author Share Posted 12 hours ago 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Some debate about if 1635 was worse than 1938... I know it pushed a lot of water ahead of it. With CC and all, it does lend to the idea that a more powerful storm could survive up here Yeah, who knows which was "worse" but the 1635 route probably had overall warmer waters (Late August rocket fuel) and took on slightly warmer waters than the 1938, due to a 1944 ish curve closer to shelf waters. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 12 hours ago Author Share Posted 12 hours ago 1938 reduix would be fvcking crazy <3 awful 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 10 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: 1938 reduix would be fvcking crazy <3 awful The property damage would bankrupt insurance companies. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 2 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Meh it's like in winter when models show a great pattern and snow chances on day 10 only to go to crap.. also models have been showing heat in the extended for 2 months now and nothing to show for it.. maybe this time works out though Not like this. I would suggest this particular scenario will come down to amplitude more or less, not whether it happens or not – with regard to temperature is being above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 25 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: The property damage would bankrupt insurance companies. Actually, it wouldn’t Because mein Trumpf will pardon corporation for their obligatory ownership of the cost, while simultaneously hanging civility to cry and die because they are a blue state - which means that they are guilty of the only violation he sees as a crime: not sucking his narcissistic ego prick 3 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 11 hours ago Author Share Posted 11 hours ago 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Actually, it wouldn’t Because mein Trumpf will pardon corporation for their obligatory ownership of the cost, while simultaneously hanging civility to cry and die because they are a blue state - which means that they are guilty of the only violation he sees as a crime: not sucking his narcissistic ego prick co-operation and unity, we all help each other ? does that happen any more? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago We better get 90’s and 100’s into September. This is fooking awful 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 14 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: We better get 90’s and 100’s into September. This is fooking awful some said we would be burning up by now 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: some said we would be burning up by now Don't forget Stein. 45 rainy weekends In a row say otherwise. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 1 minute ago, kdxken said: Don't forget Stein. 45 rainy weekends In a row say otherwise. even if the heat comes we will be heading towards the end of June and haven't had much heat at all yet.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: even if the heat comes we will be heading towards the end of June and haven't had much heat at all yet.. heh. Perhaps but climatologically June is not a hot span anyway believe it or not. it’s more like July 1 to August 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: even if the heat comes we will be heading towards the end of June and haven't had much heat at all yet.. Exactly, I wouldn't mind a few above normal days. Cold finish to Summer last year and a cold start this year. A little warmth would be nice. Certainly no more effing rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: We better get 90’s and 100’s into September. This is fooking awful It's coming. EPS is ridiculously warm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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