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June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike


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27 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

28th warmest next to 4th warmest

70°+ Junes are becoming the new normal for Long Island.

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2024 72.0 0
2 2010 71.9 0
- 1999 71.9 0
3 2025 71.6 2
- 2008 71.6 0
4 1994 71.3 0
5 2001 70.9 0
6 2020 70.7 0
7 2021 70.6 0
8 2014 70.5 0
- 1991 70.5 0
9 1984 70.1 0
10 2011 70.0 0
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17 minutes ago, bluewave said:

70°+ Junes are becoming the new normal for Long Island.

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2024 72.0 0
2 2010 71.9 0
- 1999 71.9 0
3 2025 71.6 2
- 2008 71.6 0
4 1994 71.3 0
5 2001 70.9 0
6 2020 70.7 0
7 2021 70.6 0
8 2014 70.5 0
- 1991 70.5 0
9 1984 70.1 0
10 2011 70.0 0

To be fair, summers should always be judged by number of 90/95/100 degree days.

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18 minutes ago, bluewave said:

70°+ Junes are becoming the new normal for Long Island.

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2024 72.0 0
2 2010 71.9 0
- 1999 71.9 0
3 2025 71.6 2
- 2008 71.6 0
4 1994 71.3 0
5 2001 70.9 0
6 2020 70.7 0
7 2021 70.6 0
8 2014 70.5 0
- 1991 70.5 0
9 1984 70.1 0
10 2011 70.0 0

of those, 2010, 1999 and 2025 (so far) are looking pretty good.  The others were boosted by elevated minimums.

 

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17 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

To be fair, summers should always be judged by number of 90/95/100 degree days.

This June finished 3rd for 90° days at ISP and 1st for 95° and 100° days. The 70° day low count came in at 2nd place. This June set the new all-time high at 101° by a full 5°.The low max of 77° tied for the highest in June. 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun 90° days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1988 6 0
2 2012 5 0
- 1999 5 0
3 2025 4 2
- 2003 4 0
- 1997 4 0
- 1991 4 0
- 1966 4 0

 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun 95° days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2025 2 2
2 2012 1 0
- 2008 1 0
- 1999 1 0
- 1994 1 0
- 1991 1 0
- 1988 1 0
- 1966 1 0

 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun 100° days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2025 1 2
2 2024 0 0
- 2023 0 0
- 2022 0 0

 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun 70° lows
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2021 5 0
- 2013 5 0
- 2008 5 0
- 2002 5 0
- 1969 5 0
2 2025 4 2
- 2024 4 0
- 1999 4 0

 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun all-time high
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2025 101 2
2 1994 96 0
- 1966 96 0
3 2012 95 0
- 2008 95 0
- 1999 95 0
- 1991 95 0
- 1988 95 0

 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun all-time low max
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2025 77 2
- 2012 77 0
3 2010 75 0
4 2021 74 0
- 1999 74 0
5 2019 73 0
- 2013 73 0
- 2008 73 0
- 2001 73 0
- 1998 73 0
- 1991 73 0
6 2024 72 0
- 2003 72 0
- 1994 72 0
- 1984 72 0
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12 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This June finished 3rd for 90° days at ISP and 1st for 95° and 100° days. The 70° day low count came in at 2nd place. This June set the new all-time high at 101° by a full 5°.The low max of 77° tied for the highest in June. 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun 90° days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1988 6 0
2 2012 5 0
- 1999 5 0
3 2025 4 2
- 2003 4 0
- 1997 4 0
- 1991 4 0
- 1966 4 0

 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun 95° days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2025 2 2
2 2012 1 0
- 2008 1 0
- 1999 1 0
- 1994 1 0
- 1991 1 0
- 1988 1 0
- 1966 1 0

 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun 100° days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2025 1 2
2 2024 0 0
- 2023 0 0
- 2022 0 0

 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun 70° lows
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2021 5 0
- 2013 5 0
- 2008 5 0
- 2002 5 0
- 1969 5 0
2 2025 4 2
- 2024 4 0
- 1999 4 0

 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun all-time high
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2025 101 2
2 1994 96 0
- 1966 96 0
3 2012 95 0
- 2008 95 0
- 1999 95 0
- 1991 95 0
- 1988 95 0

 

Time Series Summary for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun all-time low max
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2025 77 2
- 2012 77 0
3 2010 75 0
4 2021 74 0
- 1999 74 0
5 2019 73 0
- 2013 73 0
- 2008 73 0
- 2001 73 0
- 1998 73 0
- 1991 73 0
6 2024 72 0
- 2003 72 0
- 1994 72 0
- 1984 72 0

This was my favorite June, we even topped 2010 records!!

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19 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

This was my favorite June, we even topped 2010 records!!

It’s possible that the 103° recoded out at Baiting Hollow could be the new all-time high for any month on Eastern Long Island. 
 

Go
Climatological Data for BAITING HOLLOW, NY - June 2025
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Sum 2242 1700 - - 30 187 1.12 0.0 -
Average 80.1 60.7 70.4 4.0 - - - - 0.0
Normal 76.7 56.2 66.4 - 52 93 3.86 M -
Above Normals represent the month through 2025-06-29.
2025-06-01 71 45 58.0 -4.0 7 0 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-02 68 50 59.0 -3.3 6 0 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-03 73 45 59.0 -3.6 6 0 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-04 81 50 65.5 2.6 0 1 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-05 81 55 68.0 4.8 0 3 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-06 89 64 76.5 13.0 0 12 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-07 84 67 75.5 11.6 0 11 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-08 79 60 69.5 5.3 0 5 0.10 0.0 0
2025-06-09 75 59 67.0 2.5 0 2 0.02 0.0 0
2025-06-10 64 60 62.0 -2.8 3 0 0.02 0.0 0
2025-06-11 71 57 64.0 -1.2 1 0 0.21 0.0 0
2025-06-12 84 61 72.5 7.0 0 8 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-13 92 64 78.0 12.2 0 13 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-14 78 58 68.0 1.9 0 3 0.18 0.0 0
2025-06-15 61 57 59.0 -7.5 6 0 0.22 0.0 0
2025-06-16 68 59 63.5 -3.3 1 0 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-17 71 61 66.0 -1.1 0 1 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-18 71 63 67.0 -0.4 0 2 0.15 0.0 0
2025-06-19 83 64 73.5 5.7 0 9 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-20 90 67 78.5 10.4 0 14 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-21 86 62 74.0 5.6 0 9 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-22 88 70 79.0 10.3 0 14 T 0.0 0
2025-06-23 92 71 81.5 12.5 0 17 0.05 0.0 0
2025-06-24 95 70 82.5 13.2 0 18 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-25 103 71 87.0 17.5 0 22 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-26 98 65 81.5 11.7 0 17 0.12 0.0 0
2025-06-27 71 62 66.5 -3.6 0 2 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-28 75 63 69.0 -1.3 0 4 0.05 0.0 0
2025-06-29 M M M M M M M 0.0 0
2025-06-30 M M M M M M M M M
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17 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It’s possible that the 103° recoded out at Baiting Hollow could be the new all-time high for any month on Eastern Long Island. 
 

Go
Climatological Data for BAITING HOLLOW, NY - June 2025
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Sum 2242 1700 - - 30 187 1.12 0.0 -
Average 80.1 60.7 70.4 4.0 - - - - 0.0
Normal 76.7 56.2 66.4 - 52 93 3.86 M -
Above Normals represent the month through 2025-06-29.
2025-06-01 71 45 58.0 -4.0 7 0 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-02 68 50 59.0 -3.3 6 0 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-03 73 45 59.0 -3.6 6 0 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-04 81 50 65.5 2.6 0 1 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-05 81 55 68.0 4.8 0 3 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-06 89 64 76.5 13.0 0 12 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-07 84 67 75.5 11.6 0 11 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-08 79 60 69.5 5.3 0 5 0.10 0.0 0
2025-06-09 75 59 67.0 2.5 0 2 0.02 0.0 0
2025-06-10 64 60 62.0 -2.8 3 0 0.02 0.0 0
2025-06-11 71 57 64.0 -1.2 1 0 0.21 0.0 0
2025-06-12 84 61 72.5 7.0 0 8 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-13 92 64 78.0 12.2 0 13 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-14 78 58 68.0 1.9 0 3 0.18 0.0 0
2025-06-15 61 57 59.0 -7.5 6 0 0.22 0.0 0
2025-06-16 68 59 63.5 -3.3 1 0 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-17 71 61 66.0 -1.1 0 1 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-18 71 63 67.0 -0.4 0 2 0.15 0.0 0
2025-06-19 83 64 73.5 5.7 0 9 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-20 90 67 78.5 10.4 0 14 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-21 86 62 74.0 5.6 0 9 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-22 88 70 79.0 10.3 0 14 T 0.0 0
2025-06-23 92 71 81.5 12.5 0 17 0.05 0.0 0
2025-06-24 95 70 82.5 13.2 0 18 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-25 103 71 87.0 17.5 0 22 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-26 98 65 81.5 11.7 0 17 0.12 0.0 0
2025-06-27 71 62 66.5 -3.6 0 2 0.00 0.0 0
2025-06-28 75 63 69.0 -1.3 0 4 0.05 0.0 0
2025-06-29 M M M M M M M 0.0 0
2025-06-30 M M M M M M M M M

Is that also the greatest difference ever recorded between land and sea temperatures, Chris?

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On 6/28/2025 at 10:02 AM, LibertyBell said:

I grew up near Prospect Park, and spent my weekends playing frisbee in there growing up :-)

 

Yeah, great part of NYC. The whole area from around Prospect Park to the Brooklyn Waterfront has seen a real renaissance over the last 20 years. Gorgeous views especially when we get some snow.

 

 

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28 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, great part of NYC. The whole area from around Prospect Park to the Brooklyn Waterfront has seen a real renaissance over the last 20 years. Gorgeous views especially when we get some snow.

 

 

It's where I experienced the April 1982 Blizzard!!

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56 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

It's where I experienced the April 1982 Blizzard!!

That still remains one of my all-time favorite snowstorms. Probably the most electrified blizzard. The record cold and snow in April 1982 would have been impressive in the 1880s or 1780s. 

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The temperature soared into the lower 90s in many parts of the area today. Today was also the second time this year and 18th time overall that Central Park did not reach 90° or above when Islip, JFK Airport, LaGuardia Airport, and Newark reached 90° or above. 17/18 (94%) of those dates have occurred since 2000 and 12/18 (67%) have occurred since 2010. Prior to 2000, 0.6% of days with 90° or above highs at Islip, JFK, LaGuardia, and Newark did not reach 90° in Central Park. Since 2000, 10.1% of such days saw a high below 90° at Central Park while 10.6% had no high of 90° at Central Park since 2010.

Very warm weather will prevail through mid week. New York City will see highs in the upper 80s. Newark will likely be near or just above 90° on each day during this period. 

Excessive heat does not appear likely to return through at least the first week of July. However, there is somewhat less certainty than yesterday. Both the 0zz GFS and ECMWF show potential for more significant heat during the July 6-8 period. 

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.2°C for the week centered around June 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.03°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least late summer.

The SOI was +2.81 on Friday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.405 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.2° (1.2° above normal). 

 

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39 minutes ago, bluewave said:

That still remains one of my all-time favorite snowstorms. Probably the most electrified blizzard. The record cold and snow in April 1982 would have been impressive in the 1880s or 1780s. 

The only comparable snowstorms I can think of occurred in the 1870s.  I wonder what caused that snowstorm and cold so many decades after the planet had already started to warm?

 

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