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June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike


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Just now, LibertyBell said:

it was odd we didn't hit 100 in August, I thought without any rain it would happen at least once.

the dry spell didn't really start until mid to late August-so by then it's tough to hit 100 with the rapidly shortening days

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36 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

JFK
1995

Rainfall totals

May: 3.44
June: 2.73
Jul: 3.37
Aug: 0.22
Sep: 3.41
 

that 0.22 in August was mostly on the 31st I think.  I thought we'd make it through the entire month and just before midnight as the last day of the month was about to end this really weird front came down from the north and deposited that small amount of rain just before midnight :-(

 

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33 minutes ago, Sundog said:

How far SW can it go. Just an epic bust on the models 

The models yes, but some sniffed it out.  Unfortunately, most did not have it in their official forecasts.  The NWS did highly consider it as a possibility in their discussion.  For most of us, it's just a "busted" forecast, but for those who ventured out into local waterways, it was another story.

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Late day highs as far as I'm concerned are still a bust. Peaking at 90 for like an hour when you spent most of the day in the 70s and some 80s and the expected highs were mid 90s+ and sunny produces a total different day perception wise. 

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3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Late day highs as far as I'm concerned are still a bust. Peaking at 90 for like an hour when you spent most of the day in the 70s and some 80s and the expected highs were mid 90s+ and sunny produces a total different day perception wise. 

Been beautiful since late morning, say around noon, out in Suffolk. Nice sunny and hot and no sea breeze. Still humid so you can definitely feel it

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1 hour ago, Dark Star said:

If there was meteorological gambling, I would put $100 on EWR to hit 90 today...

EWR always hits 90 on marginally hot days. They should make it. But Central Park with 81 at 3PM and a high thin overcast is I think unlikely. Yes there could be a spike over the next 2-3 hours but I think mid-upper 80s would probably do it for today. Look for an extremely warm and humid overnight, however and temperatures probably to rise to 90-95 degrees by lunchtime tomorrow. I am comfortable going for a high temperature of 86 today and 93 tomorrow, 98 Tuesday. But we shall see how possible storms affect this. They should be well to our north mostly.

WX/PT

 

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2 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

EWR always hits 90 on marginally hot days. They should make it. But Central Park with 81 at 3PM and a high thin overcast is I think unlikely. Yes there could be a spike over the next 2-3 hours but I think mid-upper 80s would probably do it for today. Look for an extremely warm and humid overnight, however and temperatures probably to rise to 90-95 degrees by lunchtime tomorrow. I am comfortable going for a high temperature of 86 today and 93 tomorrow, 98 Tuesday. But we shall see how possible storms affect this. They should be well to our north mostly.

WX/PT

 

still a chance at 100 on Tuesday for the city and western long island, looks like we are capped today in the mid to upper 80s because the sun is fighting through a high overcast.

we were hotter yesterday but it was much less humid.

 

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8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

still a chance at 100 on Tuesday for the city and western long island, looks like we are capped today in the mid to upper 80s because the sun is fighting through a high overcast.

we were hotter yesterday but it was much less humid.

 

I am doubtful that we hit 100. The pattern is too active with too many pop-up storms. Once the dew points get to a certain point lift in the atmosphere will easily pop storms. I am looking for 93 at Central Park tomorrow and 98 on Tuesday, 92 on Wednesday. 

WX/PT

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3 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

It all counts. I've shoveled plenty of "fake" snow, bundled up for "fake" cold and I'm sure I'd sweat in fake heat, whether the sun was up or not. 86/77 here, in full sun, deplorable but to each their own. 

If it wasn't for the dewpoints today would have felt pretty decent.

There's a strong breeze and temps are tolerable. 

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12 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

I am doubtful that we hit 100. The pattern is too active with too many pop-up storms. Once the dew points get to a certain point lift in the atmosphere will easily pop storms. I am looking for 93 at Central Park tomorrow and 98 on Tuesday, 92 on Wednesday. 

WX/PT

I consider 98 as a bust when the Euro is saying 106 still. 

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1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

that 0.22 in August was mostly on the 31st I think.  I thought we'd make it through the entire month and just before midnight as the last day of the month was about to end this really weird front came down from the north and deposited that small amount of rain just before midnight :-(

 

JFK 5th, 6th and 12th had light rainfall in Aug 1995

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1 minute ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

For the Euro we once knew, it is. I don't think it's quite as good today.

WX/PT

 

Notice when we have ridges of this magnitude and strong,  the heat overperforms - assuming enough clearing and no seabreeze, outside of central park.  

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