LongBeachSurfFreak Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Surprised to see a flood watch for the island. There are some discrete cells off the jersey shore, that could consolidate as they head north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago That's an impressive precip shield to our NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago big dry slot for NJ and NYC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Surprised to see a flood watch for the island. There are some discrete cells off the jersey shore, that could consolidate as they head north. Not seeing it. The steady heavy rain is well NW and maybe the stuff developing over coastal NJ clips eastern LI. Many of us on LI probably get the shaft zone in between. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 58 / 56 light rain here / heaviest N+W. Still think we're good for 0.50 - 1.00 with areas N/W doubling or more than tripling thise amounts. Clear out Sat and make way for a nice weekend with Mothers Day and Mon the 12th approaching or into the low 80s. Next system cuts off into the south and slowly comes northeast between Tue - Thu with next round of rains. Beyond there the recent timing has been kind to weekend weather with perhaps another nice weekend 17-18. Ridging and more warmth , perhaps heat to close the last 1/3 of the month (in that period, not the whole 10 days). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 6 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Not seeing it. The steady heavy rain is well NW and maybe the stuff developing over coastal NJ clips eastern LI. Many of us on LI probably get the shaft zone in between. Yeah I could see the east end getting crushed again while further west gets slotted. We had that super persistent area of convection off the Jersey Shore with the last event too. Must be some sort of feedback with a Gulf Stream eddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Records: Highs: EWR: 93 (2000) NYC: 94 (1979) LGA: 92 (2000) JFK: 86 (2000) Lows: EWR: 33 (1947) NYC: 34 (2020) LGA: 36 (2020) JFK: 34 (2020) Historical: 1894: Portland, OR had its latest freeze when the temperature fell to 32°. This is the only May freeze in Portland's history. 1966 - Record snows fell in the northeastern Ohio and western Pennsylvania, including 3.1 inches at Pittsburgh PA and 5.4 inches at Youngstown OH. Snow also extended across parts of New York State, with eight inches reported in the southern Adirondacks. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - A late season snowstorm hit parts of Pennsylvania, New York State, and southern and central New England. Heavier snowfall totals included 27 inches at Slide Mountain NY and 20 inches at Norwalk CT. At Boston it was the first May snow in 107 years of records. The heavy wet snow caused extensive damage to trees and power lines. The homes of half a million persons were without power following the storm. (9th-10th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Lightning struck some trees about 150 yards away from a home in Alabama, and followed the driveway to the home. The charge went through the house and burned all the electrical outlets, ruined appliances, and blasted a hole in the concrete floor of the basement. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Unseasonably warm weather spread from the Pacific Northwest to the Upper Mississippi Valley. Fifteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. It was the fourth day of record warmth for Eugene OR and Salem OR. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - A massive cyclone in the central U.S. produced severe thunderstorms from eastern Texas to the Upper Ohio Valley. A strong (F-3) tornado ripped through Middleboro KY causing more than 22 million dollars damage. Thunderstorms in east central Texas produced hail three and a half inches in diameter at Groesbeck, and near Fairfield. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front in the south central U.S. produced golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 62 mph at Mira LA, and during the morning hours drenched Stuttgart AR with five inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the central U.S. during the evening hours, mainly from southeastern Missouri to southwestern Indiana. Severe thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes, including two strong (F-2) tornadoes in southern Illinois. Strong thunderstorm winds gusted to 85 mph at Orient IL, and to 100 mph at West Salem. Thunderstorms drenched northeastern Illinois with up to 4.50 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago The extended EPS has this rainy pattern into late May. We may continue the recent years pattern of rain on at least one of the Memorial Day weekend days. As the upper low will still be near the Northeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 10 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Records: Highs: EWR: 93 (2000) NYC: 94 (1979) LGA: 92 (2000) JFK: 86 (2000) Lows: EWR: 33 (1947) NYC: 3 (2020) LGA: 36 (2020) JFK: 34 (2020) Historical: 1894: Portland, OR had its latest freeze when the temperature fell to 32°. This is the only May freeze in Portland's history. 1966 - Record snows fell in the northeastern Ohio and western Pennsylvania, including 3.1 inches at Pittsburgh PA and 5.4 inches at Youngstown OH. Snow also extended across parts of New York State, with eight inches reported in the southern Adirondacks. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - A late season snowstorm hit parts of Pennsylvania, New York State, and southern and central New England. Heavier snowfall totals included 27 inches at Slide Mountain NY and 20 inches at Norwalk CT. At Boston it was the first May snow in 107 years of records. The heavy wet snow caused extensive damage to trees and power lines. The homes of half a million persons were without power following the storm. (9th-10th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Lightning struck some trees about 150 yards away from a home in Alabama, and followed the driveway to the home. The charge went through the house and burned all the electrical outlets, ruined appliances, and blasted a hole in the concrete floor of the basement. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Unseasonably warm weather spread from the Pacific Northwest to the Upper Mississippi Valley. Fifteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. It was the fourth day of record warmth for Eugene OR and Salem OR. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - A massive cyclone in the central U.S. produced severe thunderstorms from eastern Texas to the Upper Ohio Valley. A strong (F-3) tornado ripped through Middleboro KY causing more than 22 million dollars damage. Thunderstorms in east central Texas produced hail three and a half inches in diameter at Groesbeck, and near Fairfield. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front in the south central U.S. produced golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 62 mph at Mira LA, and during the morning hours drenched Stuttgart AR with five inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the central U.S. during the evening hours, mainly from southeastern Missouri to southwestern Indiana. Severe thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes, including two strong (F-2) tornadoes in southern Illinois. Strong thunderstorm winds gusted to 85 mph at Orient IL, and to 100 mph at West Salem. Thunderstorms drenched northeastern Illinois with up to 4.50 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 20” at Norwalk seems highly sus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 21 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Yeah I could see the east end getting crushed again while further west gets slotted. We had that super persistent area of convection off the Jersey Shore with the last event too. Must be some sort of feedback with a Gulf Stream eddy. the Gulf Stream. I'm looking forward to a very nice weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 11 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: 20” at Norwalk seems highly sus. This is also the anniversary of the May 2020 snow. There was 7" at Providence RI in the May 1977 event and over a foot in the Poconos (13-17 inches.) In the May 2020 event we had 2-4 inches in the Poconos over a two day period with temperatures falling into the upper teens and wind chills near 0. That 20" in Norwalk might be a typo for Norfolk, CT, which is in the Litchfield Hills in CT and the snowiest spot in the state. 1977 - A late season snowstorm hit parts of Pennsylvania, New York State, and southern and central New England. Heavier snowfall totals included 27 inches at Slide Mountain NY and 20 inches at Norwalk CT. At Boston it was the first May snow in 107 years of records. The heavy wet snow caused extensive damage to trees and power lines. The homes of half a million persons were without power following the storm. (9th-10th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 19 minutes ago, bluewave said: The extended EPS has this rainy pattern into late May. We may continue the recent years pattern of rain on at least one of the Memorial Day weekend days. As the upper low will still be near the Northeast. whats causing these semipermanent upper lows, it feels like it's the same one hanging around for weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 26 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Records: Highs: EWR: 93 (2000) NYC: 94 (1979) LGA: 92 (2000) JFK: 86 (2000) Lows: EWR: 33 (1947) NYC: 3 (2020) LGA: 36 (2020) JFK: 34 (2020) Historical: 1894: Portland, OR had its latest freeze when the temperature fell to 32°. This is the only May freeze in Portland's history. 1966 - Record snows fell in the northeastern Ohio and western Pennsylvania, including 3.1 inches at Pittsburgh PA and 5.4 inches at Youngstown OH. Snow also extended across parts of New York State, with eight inches reported in the southern Adirondacks. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - A late season snowstorm hit parts of Pennsylvania, New York State, and southern and central New England. Heavier snowfall totals included 27 inches at Slide Mountain NY and 20 inches at Norwalk CT. At Boston it was the first May snow in 107 years of records. The heavy wet snow caused extensive damage to trees and power lines. The homes of half a million persons were without power following the storm. (9th-10th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Lightning struck some trees about 150 yards away from a home in Alabama, and followed the driveway to the home. The charge went through the house and burned all the electrical outlets, ruined appliances, and blasted a hole in the concrete floor of the basement. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Unseasonably warm weather spread from the Pacific Northwest to the Upper Mississippi Valley. Fifteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. It was the fourth day of record warmth for Eugene OR and Salem OR. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - A massive cyclone in the central U.S. produced severe thunderstorms from eastern Texas to the Upper Ohio Valley. A strong (F-3) tornado ripped through Middleboro KY causing more than 22 million dollars damage. Thunderstorms in east central Texas produced hail three and a half inches in diameter at Groesbeck, and near Fairfield. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front in the south central U.S. produced golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 62 mph at Mira LA, and during the morning hours drenched Stuttgart AR with five inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the central U.S. during the evening hours, mainly from southeastern Missouri to southwestern Indiana. Severe thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes, including two strong (F-2) tornadoes in southern Illinois. Strong thunderstorm winds gusted to 85 mph at Orient IL, and to 100 mph at West Salem. Thunderstorms drenched northeastern Illinois with up to 4.50 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Tony what was the record low on this date in 2020 at NYC.... you wrote 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 20 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: This is also the anniversary of the May 2020 snow. There was 7" at Providence RI in the May 1977 event and over a foot in the Poconos (13-17 inches.) In the May 2020 event we had 2-4 inches in the Poconos over a two day period with temperatures falling into the upper teens and wind chills near 0. That 20" in Norwalk might be a typo for Norfolk, CT, which is in the Litchfield Hills in CT and the snowiest spot in the state. 1977 - A late season snowstorm hit parts of Pennsylvania, New York State, and southern and central New England. Heavier snowfall totals included 27 inches at Slide Mountain NY and 20 inches at Norwalk CT. At Boston it was the first May snow in 107 years of records. The heavy wet snow caused extensive damage to trees and power lines. The homes of half a million persons were without power following the storm. (9th-10th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) Yeah that’s what I was thinking. Norwalk is low elevation right near the coast. Norfolk the opposite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MorristownWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago .85 already in the gauge already. Much needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Oh look, just enough rain to wet the ground again. Central and south Jersey going to be rising on drought monitor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Euripides said: Oh look, just enough rain to wet the ground again. Central and south Jersey going to be rising on drought monitor. Didn't you used to live in Douglaston? Or am I mixing you up with someone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago The rain finally developed far enough east to put us under a steady heavier rain for several hours. We were closing in on an inch before I left and it was still raining pretty good. It looks like we might dry slot, maybe scattered lighter showers after 10 AM or so. But I think we've already reached at least the low side of the predictions, and the water for the plants is welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: big dry slot for NJ and NYC Maybe not a true dry slot that we seem to see all too often; maybe a "weak" slot? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Heavy rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 23 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Yeah that’s what I was thinking. Norwalk is low elevation right near the coast. Norfolk the opposite. Also the rain just started here and it's pretty heavy!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago NYC will get clipped by this heavy batch. Not sure how much it will end up totaling, but it's better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 20 minutes ago, Sundog said: Didn't you used to live in Douglaston? Or am I mixing you up with someone else? Yes that was me as we lived right around the block from the Douglaston Manor. Moved to South Old Bridge back in 2014. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: Tony what was the record low on this date in 2020 at NYC.... you wrote 3. 34 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 hours ago, Brian5671 said: big dry slot for NJ and NYC That dry slot has given me .75", tripling what I got for the last storm. Though now there is a dry slot moving in which is totally fine with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 minutes ago, FPizz said: That dry slot has given me .75", tripling what I got for the last storm. Though now there is a dry slot moving in which is totally fine with me. The question is do you get any more or is that it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: The question is do you get any more or is that it? I hope not, but it looks like some on and off showers will continue at least for the western half of nj thats on the edge of that dry slot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 26 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Also the rain just started here and it's pretty heavy!! Yeah I’m in West Hempstead at my gf place and it just got really dark. If we end up with any very heavy rain I’ll have to head home to monitor the basement. We had 7’ of water in it during the heavy rains August 23 when we had 10”. My landlord blamed my veggie garden for the flooding! So I have a channel cut through it now that drains out to the street. I graded the ground perfectly so I’m waiting to see how it handles some really heavy rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: 20” at Norwalk seems highly sus. more on the storm https://www.newenglandstormcenter.com/post/may-shock-looking-back-on-new-england-s-epic-mother-s-day-snowstorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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