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May 2025 Obs/Discussion


weatherwiz
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40 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Disaster on GFS below normal and another Nor’Easter.

going to have to wait until post June 1. 

Hopefully that will be the last of it. The first week of June right now is a big tossup...it's either going to be warm and humid or another disaster. There are signals for each side of the spectrum here but I am very nervous about the signals for crap given that is the theme we're in. 

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7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Much more realistic than some wild Euro/ Gfs run of another 40 degree nor 

God bless you man.  In a span of like 20 minutes went from "it has no support" to the one model that doesn't show it (GGEM) is "much more realistic."

I'm not saying one is better than the other, but I always enjoy your mental gymnastics through this stuff, :lol:.

 

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18 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Nothing like hanging your hat on cmc d4-6 when it’s all alone….

If I had a dollar for every time it’s been mentioned in this forum that the Canadian model is “junk” in this forum, I would be able to buy it, cash.

Of course it’s not total junk but it’s funny when it gets brought up when other models are not in agreement with an opinion on the forecast.

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4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Did anyone mention temperatures?  Where’s this idea of 40s coming from when folks mentioned models showed rain next Saturday?

Folks are on that train, the posts are clearly indicating that we'll see similar outcomes as last week.  Perhaps slightly modified with climo but very similar.  I don't see that right now, but won't deny a day or two of crapola 40's night 50's/60's highs

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1 hour ago, bristolri_wx said:

The common sense weather take is we are stuck in this weather pattern until we are not. Not rooting for it, but, hard to dismiss another terrible stretch of weather with an anomalous storm considering the last few weeks.

Shit happens…

ACATT...see "another terrible stretch with an anomalous storm..."

I don't think that is going to be accurate, but not saying impossible either.  

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